Week 5 Target Analysis (2019 Fantasy Football)

Oct 9, 2019

Will the Redskins target shares change with a new head coach?

There are two major developments that can change the target analysis for a team. One is an injury or change at quarterback and the other is a change at head coach or offensive coordinator. This is not unusually early in the season for quarterback changes, every year quarterbacks suffer injuries early in the season and / or young quarterbacks take over for ineffective veterans. We are used to seeing that development early in the season. What is somewhat unusual is a head coach already being fired after just five games.

Washington let go of head coach Jay Gruden and while this is not the earliest a head coach has been let go, it is also not an occurrence that happens every year. St. Louis Rams head coach Mike Martz was also fired after five games in 2005. In 2008, there were two coaches let go after four games when the Rams fired Scott Linehan and the Oakland Raiders fired Lane Kiffin. More recently, the Oakland Raiders fired Dennis Allen after four games in 2014 and the Miami Dolphins fired Joe Philbin after four games in 2015.

It is not unprecedented for Gruden to be fired this early in the season, but it’s more common for teams to wait until the last few games or the end of the regular season to make a head coaching change than to pull the plug so early in the season. Letting go of Gruden could lead to some offensive changes in Washington. This will definitely impact how we look at the target analysis for their team going forward.

Here is a look at how Washington and the other 31 teams fared in the passing game and if you want to see the target breakdown for all players in Week 5, check out the Most Targeted Players at Fantasy Pros.

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Arizona Cardinals: Cardinals WR Christian Kirk did not play this week and the leading wide receiver was WR Larry Fitzgerald, who tallied just eight targets, six receptions, 58 yards, and no touchdowns. RB David Johnson had five targets, 65 yards, and no touchdowns. QB Kyler Murray has not thrown a touchdown in three of his last four games and he has only four touchdown throws in five games. He is the seventh-ranked fantasy quarterback due to his mobility, but there is not much fantasy upside to the other players in the offense with the lack of touchdown throws. They do have a great matchup against the Atlanta Falcons this week, but they also had one last week and scored only 26 points. The other issue is that Johnson and Kirk are both going to be questionable this week, which could mean we see more of RB Chase Edmonds and WR KeeSean Johnson. Edmonds will be fantasy viable this week, but Johnson had only three receptions on seven targets and 22 yards without Kirk in Week 5. He is not fantasy-relevant at this time.

Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons continue to struggle, but QB Matt Ryan had a big game with 330 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. The problem is that the production was so spread out, that the leading receiver was WR Calvin Ridley with nine targets, five receptions, 88 yards, and one touchdown. He was one of six players with at least 40 yards receiving. WR Mohamed Sanu and RB Devonta Freeman added touchdown scores. The good news is that even if the Falcons appear poised to win six or less games, they also score a lot of fantasy points. The problem is that it tends to be a bit unpredictable who is going to have the big game. Ridley was the star this week, but he had four receptions for 38 yards in the last two games. Atlanta offers a high ceiling and a low floor for their skill position players. Even WR Julio Jones has a pretty low floor. On a day where his offense scored 32 points, he was held to seven targets, three receptions, 42 yards, and no touchdowns. They do have a chance to rebound this week against a leaky Arizona defense.

Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens passing game did not do much on Sunday. QB Lamar Jackson had just 161 yards passing, one passing touchdown, three picks, and a QB rating of 54.9. The only touchdown went to WR Marquise Brown, who had five targets, three receptions, and 22 yards. TE Mark Andrews led the team in targets with seven targets, five receptions, and 45 yards. WR Willie Snead led the team in receiving yards with five targets, four receptions, and 51 yards. The analysis early in the year has been Andrews is a TE1, Brown is a WR3, and the rest of the team is spotty at best. That continued to be the case, even with Snead leading the team with 51 yards receiving. His floor is too low on a passing offense that has cooled off since a few good games against weak opponents early in the season. They have a nice matchup against a bad Bengals D at home this week, so a rebound game could be in order.

Buffalo Bills: This team just keeps winning ugly, beating the Tennessee Titans 14-7 on the road. QB Josh Allen had two passing touchdowns, but only 219 yards passing. WR John Brown led the way with five receptions on five targets for 75 yards. WR Cole Beasley was not a PPR monster in this game with three targets, three receptions, and 21 yards. The touchdowns went to TE Lee Smith, who had his second reception of the season and WR Duke Williams, who had his fourth reception of the season. I can almost copy my write up from the previous week for this team. Brown is a viable WR3, Beasley can sometimes impress as a PPR monster, and the rest of the players are too volatile to be trusted in fantasy. There was some hope that TE Dawson Knox might emerge in this offense after two solid games, but he was held to five targets, two receptions, and 12 yards. Smith had the touchdown instead of him, further demonstrating Knox’s floor in fantasy. The Bills have a bye this week, before playing the Miami Dolphins in a dream matchup in Week 7.

Carolina Panthers: The Panthers continue to show they are a one-man show most weeks. They scored 34 points this week, most times a team scoring 34 points gives us many fantasy viable players for the week. RB Christian McCaffrey had 19 carries for 176 and two rushing touchdowns. He also had six receptions on nine targets for 61 yards and another touchdown. The rest of the team had 22 targets, 11 receptions, 120 yards, and no touchdowns. WR D.J. Moore had eight of those targets, six of those receptions and 91 of those yards. McCaffrey continues to be a fantasy star and the rest of the team is left to fight for the scraps. They travel to London this week to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That could be a very good matchup, but McCaffrey is the only truly safe play for them most weeks.

Chicago Bears: WR Allen Robinson had seven receptions, 97 yards, and two touchdowns. The next leading wide receiver was WR Anthony Miller with four receptions for 52 yards and RB Tarik Cohen had six receptions for 39 yards. Nobody else had more than 16 yards receiving. QB Mitchell Trubisky should emerge as the starter after the Week 6 bye, but this passing offense has seen Robinson show some flashes of good fantasy value and little else. WR Taylor Gabriel had a three-touchdown game in Week 3 and other than that performance, there has been very little else to cheer about in the passing game. This team is in need of a Week 6 bye as they try to hit the reset button on their 2019 season before facing the New Orleans Saints in Week 7. There are a lot of talented players on this team, but the inconsistent quarterback play has led to everyone but Robinson being a volatile nightmare with more bad performances than good ones.

Cincinnati Bengals: WR John Ross was having a great season before suffering a clavicle injury in Week 4. WR A.J. Green is going to miss at least another week and there is talk that he may be traded before the trade deadline. That led to WR Tyler Boyd leading the team with 14 targets, 10 receptions, 123 yards, and one touchdown. He is the star of this passing game with those two players not able to suit up. WR Auden Tate had only six targets but turned those into three receptions, 26 yards, and one touchdown. It is troubling that TE Tyler Eifert had a dream matchup against the Cardinals tight end defense and he had only two receptions on four targets for 14 yards. Boyd and Tate appear to be fantasy viable the rest of the way, but no other wide receiver or tight end has stepped up to become a third fantasy option in the passing game. Tate’s value could change if Green comes back in a Bengal uniform at some point this season.

Cleveland Browns: There was a lot of hype surrounding QB Baker Mayfield and rightfully so after a rookie season that saw him throw for 3,725 yards and 27 passing touchdowns. The production has not been there this year and he hit rock bottom on Monday Night Football. He was just 8 for 22 with 100 yards passing, no touchdowns, two picks, and a 13.5 QB rating. That is bad even by Browns standards and that led to very poor production for the skill position players. WR Jarvis Landry had 75 yards on four receptions and WR Odell Beckham Jr. had only 27 yards receiving and 20 yards passing. Nobody can produce viable fantasy numbers with a quarterback that plays as bad as Mayfield did on Monday Night. The Browns have a tough home game against Seattle in Week 6. Until Mayfield is playing right, this entire offense is suspect.  Beckham was supposed to be a fantasy star this year and instead, he is the 34th ranked fantasy wide receiver after five games.

Dallas Cowboys: QB Dak Prescott had a career-high 463 yards passing, but he was also down 31-3 in the second half and had to pass the ball non-stop in the second half to overcome a shaky start to the game. WR Amari Cooper had 14 targets, 11 receptions, 226 yards, and one touchdown. WR Michael Gallup had 14 targets, seven receptions, 113 yards, and one touchdown. Gallup is going to be fantasy viable this year. He is the better fantasy option over WR Randall Cobb, who had just six targets, three receptions, and 53 yards. I just do not think RB Ezekiel Elliott is going to be held to 12 carries most weeks and I do not think the Cowboys will throw the ball 44 times most weeks. This is definitely an outlier game, but Gallup has shown in multiple games that he can be a fantasy threat if the Cowboys throw the ball enough to involve both him and Cooper.

Denver Broncos: WR Courtland Sutton continued his breakout season with four receptions for 92 yards and one touchdown. WR Emanuel Sanders had only one reception for nine yards. The problem in this game is that Denver had a lead and decided to take the air out of the offense. Sutton had most of his production on a 70-yard touchdown reception. The rest of the passing offense struggled to do anything on just 20 pass attempts. It just further solidifies that Sutton and Sanders are the only fantasy viable players in this offense. Some weeks Sutton will be the star and other weeks it will be Sanders. Sutton has the higher ceiling and floor, but nobody is truly safe in fantasy with QB Joe Flacco delivering them the ball.

Detroit Lions: The Lions had a bye week in Week 5 and they will hit the road to face a tough Green Bay defense that has been establishing big leads early and holding onto wins in the second half. There will be fantasy points to be had in the passing game and that starts with WR Kenny Golladay, who has 19 receptions for 243 yards and four touchdowns in four games. The player to watch is WR Marvin Jones. He has been establishing himself as their second receiver in the last few games and he has seven touchdowns in six games against the Packers. Six of those touchdowns have come as a member of the Lions and the other was when he was with the Bengals earlier in his career. This is the best defense this Packers team has had since 2014, but Jones has had a history of big games against the Packers. He could be a good fantasy play this week with Golladay drawing the most attention in the Packers secondary.

Green Bay Packers: The Packers were all about RB Aaron Jones in this game. He had 19 carries for 107 yards and four rushing touchdowns. He also led the team with eight targets, seven receptions, 75 yards, and no touchdowns. That left TE Jimmy Graham as the next leading receiver with three receptions for 41 yards. The passing offense has been a work in progress all year and with WR Davante Adams out this week, they leaned on Jones to carry the load. We keep looking for that other player to emerge in the offense, but so far Adams and Jones have been the stars of this offense, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been the next best weapon on the offense and nobody else has provided consistent fantasy value. There was an opportunity for other players to step up this week and instead it became the Jones show with the rest of the offense failing to produce much in fantasy. They play a Detroit team that has been very good early in the season and is coming off their bye week. Jones will still be an elite option, Adams will be too if he is able to play, and the rest of the offense is a big question mark.

Houston Texans: The Texans really need QB Deshaun Watson to understand that the NFL plays every week, not every other week. In Week 1, Week 3 and Week 5 he has thrown 11 touchdowns and just one pick. He has posted 114.3, 135.8, and 158.3 QB ratings for those weeks. In Week 2 and Week 4, he posted 70.9 and 75.3 QB ratings. He has not thrown a touchdown or a pick in those games. This week, he was insane with 426 yards passing and five passing touchdowns. Will Fuller led the way with 16 targets, 14 receptions, 217 yards, and three receiving touchdowns. After him, WR DeAndre Hopkins had eight targets, seven receptions, and 88 yards. TE Darren Fells had two receptions for 20 yards and two touchdowns after having seven receptions for 70 yards and one touchdown in the last four games. Even in this Week 5 offensive explosion, Fuller and Hopkins were the only players to have good fantasy value. That should be the case in most games this season if Watson can figure out how to play well in the even-numbered weeks.  He travels to Kansas City in Week 6 to play in a game that could emerge as a shootout.

Indianapolis Colts: The Colts knew they needed to slow the game down and control the clock and they did that with a time of possession of advantage of 37:15 to 22:45. The problem is that they ran the ball 45 times and they passed the ball only 29 times. QB Jacoby Brissett had only 151 yards passing and no passing touchdowns. RB Nyheim Hines led all players with 46 receiving yards and WR T.Y. Hilton was the only other player with more than 20 yards receiving, finishing with 37 yards. Hilton will continue to have solid fantasy value, but this team is going to ground and pound the ball behind a great offensive line and passing yards and passing touchdowns will be hard to come by at times this year. They have the ability to take the air out of the ball against the better offenses, but that does not lead to big fantasy numbers in the passing game.

Jacksonville Jaguars: WR D.J. Chark has emerged as a star this year, as he has 27 receptions, 485 yards, and five touchdowns on the season. If he maintains this pace, he will finish the year with 86.4 receptions, 1,552 yards, and 16 touchdowns. When you consider that he plays with Gardner Minshew, it is amazing that he has had a breakout start to the season, despite the loss of starting QB Nick Foles. He had 11 targets, eight receptions, 164 yards, and two touchdowns this week. WR Dede Westbrook also had 11 targets, seven receptions, 82 yards, and no touchdowns. Nobody else really gave much value in the passing game. TE James O’Shaughnessy was showing value as a streaming red zone threat, but he tore his ACL and he is out for the season. The Jaguars host the New Orleans Saints this week, Chark and Westbrook could both be good plays against their leaky secondary.

Kansas City Chiefs: WR Byron Pringle had two receptions for 20 yards entering Sunday Nights game and he led the Chiefs with six receptions for 103 yards and one touchdown. That is life with QB Patrick Mahomes. Any player can have a breakout game at any time in this offense. The problem is they never had the ball, so nobody else had a touchdown reception and they threw the ball only 39 times in this game and ran it only 14 times. This offense is going to change when WR Tyreek Hill returns this week. They host a Houston team that gave up a ton of points to the Atlanta Falcons, so any Chiefs player could emerge this week on an offense that is normally much more high-scoring than they were on Sunday against a Colts team that was able to take the air out of the ball for both teams. Keep an eye on WR Sammy Watkins. He left the game with a hamstring injury and if he misses time, the players that broke out with Hill gone could continue to have good value if Watkins is out.

Los Angeles Chargers: This offense was lost on Sunday, as QB Philip Rivers had only 211 passing yards on 48 pass attempts and no touchdowns. RB Austin Ekeler and WR Mike Williams dominated the targets with 29 targets. The problem is Ekeler had 15 receptions for only 86 yards and Williams had only six receptions for 74 yards. The big fantasy loser the last two weeks has been WR Keenan Allen. He was the best fantasy wide receiver in the league after three weeks. In Week 4, he was held to just five receptions for 45 yards in Miami and he had just four receptions for 18 yards in Week 5. He should be a WR1 against Pittsburgh this week, but it is concerning how bad this offense is playing right now and whether these bad fantasy games are going to be a trend for them going forward.

Los Angeles Rams: I think WR Cooper Kupp has clearly emerged as the top wide receiver in this offense. He led the team with 17 targets and turned those into nine receptions, 117 yards and one touchdown. He has had at least nine targets in every game and at least 12 targets in each of the last three games. What was interesting in this game is that TE Gerald Everett was second on the team with 11 targets, seven receptions, and 136 yards. WR Robert Woods had nine targets, five receptions and 48 yards. WR Brandin Cooks had three targets, one reception, and 29 yards. I still like Woods and Cooks to have big game, but they are behind Kupp in the pecking order. Everett has 19 targets in his last two games. He is a player to add for owners that stream at the tight end position if he is going to see that many targets in the passing game. They have a tough home game this week against a 49ers D that has been strong out of the gate.

Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins had a bye week and they come back to action in Week 6 against a Washington team that fired head coach Jay Gruden after five games. I feel like this is the game we find out how bad the Dolphins will be this season. They have already been outscored 163-26 in the first four games, so we know they are awful.  However, all four games were against 2018 playoff teams. Washington has started the season 0-5 and they have lost 11 of their last 12 games with their only win being a 16-13 win at Jacksonville last year. If Miami loses by double-digits again this week, it will strengthen the case that we are watching historical awfulness. WR Devante Parker and WR Preston Williams could have sleeper flex appeal this week, but they have only 201 yards and one touchdown each in four games. What makes them attractive is a terrible Washington secondary. We will find out if Miami is able to take advantage of good matchups this week, as it is the first one they have had in 2019.

Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings finally found their groove in the passing game in Week 5 with QB Kirk Cousins throwing for 306 yards and two touchdowns. The problem is that WR Adam Thielen had seven receptions for 130 yards and two touchdowns. RB Dalvin Cook had six receptions for 86 yards and no touchdowns. WR Stefon Diggs and WR Bisi Johnson had four targets each and 44 and 43 yards receiving. This offense could still not produce two viable fantasy wide receivers in their best passing game of the season. This is going to be a run-oriented offense, but it would be nice if Thielen and Diggs could have big games in the same game. So far, that has not been the case. They draw the Philadelphia Eagles at home in Week 6, who have a shaky secondary, but the Vikings have not shown they will be able to take advantage of that by having two fantasy viable wide receivers.

New England Patriots: The Patriots rebounded nicely with QB Tom Brady having 348 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. QB Phillip Dorsett left the game in the first quarter with a hamstring injury and did not have a catch in the game. That gave more targets to WR Julian Edelman, WR Josh Gordon, and RB James White. Edelman had nine targets, eight receptions, 110 yards, and one touchdown. Gordon had eight targets, five receptions, and 59 yards. RB James White had nine targets, six receptions, and 46 yards. RB Brandon Bolden caught a touchdown pass and TE Ryan Izzo caught his first touchdown pass of the season and his fourth catch. Brady looked good in this game, but the expected players dominated the targets with two players having outlier touchdowns. Dorsett catches a tough break that he has only until Thursday to recover from his hamstring injury, he will likely be out in a great matchup against the New York Giants. That means Edelman, Gordon, and White should again dominate the targets this week.

New Orleans Saints: If people were wondering if an offensive explosion would change the fantasy calculus in New Orleans, the answer was no. QB Teddy Bridgewater had 314 yards passing and four passing touchdowns against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The two star players dominated the action with WR Michael Thomas and RB Alvin Kamara accounting for 20 of the 34 targets. Thomas had 11 receptions for 182 yards and two touchdowns. Kamara had six receptions for 42 yards. The only other player top 40 yards was TE Jared Cook with four receptions for 41 yards and one touchdown. WR Ted Ginn had two targets, two receptions, 35 yards, and one touchdown. Thomas and Kamara can survive in the Bridgewater offense and they can even have monster games like Thomas had on Sunday. Nobody else has a high enough floor or ceiling to justify being in fantasy lineups most weeks.

New York Giants: WR Golden Tate was back this week, but he finished with only six targets, three receptions, and 13 yards. WR Sterling Shepard and TE Evan Engram dominated the targets. Shepard had 10 targets, five receptions, and 49 yards. TE Even Engram had 11 targets, six receptions, and 42 yards. WR Darius Slayton had the only touchdown of the game and led the team with 62 yards receiving. The good news is that QB Daniel Jones is learning on the job and he will have better games than he had on Sunday. The bad news is that Engram may not play with a banged-up knee on a short week and they travel to New England to face the best defense in the league. This is probably not the week to stream Giants skill position players, other than RB Saquon Barkley. He has a chance to play this week, which would be a huge boost to the entire offense. My guess is that they will not play him in a rebuilding season against an AFC opponent and they will wait until Week 7 to bring him back against the Arizona Cardinals.

New York Jets: The Jets need QB Sam Darnold back in the fold, otherwise their offense is worthless in both fantasy and real life. QB Luke Falk had 120 passing yards and 52 yards lost on nine sacks. WR Demaryius Thomas led the way with nine targets, four receptions, 47 yards, and no touchdowns. RB Le’Veon Bell also had nine targets, seven receptions, and 45 yards. The good news is that Darnold will start at home this week against the Dallas Cowboys.  That should give some of the skill position hope, but I would be careful playing too many Jets against a defense that ranks second against fantasy receivers and fourth against fantasy quarterbacks.  They also play the New England Patriots at home in Week 7, who have the best defense in the NFL this season. Darnold is going to have his work cut out for him in his first two games coming back from mono.

Oakland Raiders: The Raiders had a big win in London against the Chicago Bears, but it did not translate into a big passing day. TE Foster Moreau led the way with five targets, four receptions, 46 yards, and no touchdowns. WR Tyrell Williams did not suit up in this game and TE Darren Waller was held to four receptions and 39 yards. Waller and Williams should continue to be fantasy viable after the Week 6 bye, but nobody else has been able to establish himself as a third option in this passing game. The Raiders have a bye in Week 6 before facing the Green Bay Packers on the road in Week 7.

Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles only needed to pass the ball 29 times against a Jets team they led 17-0 at the half. It is probably a good idea to take the air out of the ball against a team that is down 17 points and has scored just 23 points in their last three games. The Jets never made the game interesting and TE Zach Ertz led the way with seven targets, five receptions, 57 yards, and one touchdown. WR Alshon Jeffery had eight targets, six receptions, 52 yards, and no touchdowns. The Eagles will be better in other matchups this season, they just had no reason to throw the ball in the second half with an insurmountable lead against one of the worst offenses in the NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers: The big question this week is who will be behind center. QB Mason Rudolph took a knockout hit from Ravens S Earl Thomas and his head slammed into the ground a second time on the fall to the ground. The hit led to Rudolph’s facemask being removed and an early trip to the locker room. QB Devlin Hodges finished the game with seven completions in nine attempts for 68 yards. WR Diontae Johnson led the team with eight targets but caught only five passes for 27 yards. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster caught seven of his seven targets for 75 yards and one touchdown. The offense has very little upside at the Los Angeles Chargers if Hodges is behind center. That was a nasty concussion and time will tell how long it takes Rudolph to recover from that hit, but I would be shocked if he is behind center this week.

San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers are a ground and pound team and they grounded and pounded the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. They ran the ball 40 times for 275 yards and two touchdowns. That did not leave much for the passing game as they threw for only 181 yards and RB Matt Breida also had one of the touchdown receptions. TE George Kittle caught the other touchdown pass and he led the team with eight targets, six receptions, and 70 yards. The only other player with more than 40 yards receiving was Marquise Goodwin, who finished with four targets, three receptions, and 41 yards. We keep waiting for these young receivers to breakout, but WR Dante Pettis had just one reception for 11 yards and WR Deebo Samuel was even worse with one reception for three yards. There has not been much upside in the passing game for the 49ers. Even though they are 4-0 early in the season, it is their defense and running game that is carrying the day.

Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks ran the ball 43 times and they passed it only 23 times, but the wide receivers and tight ends made the most of it when they were targeted. TE Will Dissly led the way with four targets, four receptions, and 81 yards. WR Tyler Lockett had four targets, four receptions, 51 yards, and one touchdown. WR D.K. Metcalf had three targets, two receptions, and 44 yards. WR David Moore scored a touchdown on what would be his third reception of the year and RB Chris Carson had a touchdown reception as well. Dissly, Lockett, and Metcalf have emerged as the playmakers in this passing offense. Dissly and Lockett have the highest ceilings and floors with Metcalf being a bit more boom/bust depending on the targets and game flow. They travel to a Cleveland Browns team that was dismantled by the 49ers on Monday Night Football.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: It is scary for fantasy owners when WR Mike Evans has a low enough floor that he can be held without a catch. That is what happened on Sunday, as WR Chris Godwin was the only fantasy viable player in the passing game. Godwin had seven receptions on nine targets for 125 yards and two touchdowns. The big takeaway for me is that TE O.J. Howard is utterly worthless in fantasy football. He was held to one reception for 10 yards and he has 11 receptions for 141 yards in five games. At a certain point, it does not matter how much talent he has, talent does not lead to fantasy points and he is just not seeing enough targets or production to justify a fantasy roster spot. Godwin and Evans are the only players to own in this passing game, but Evans showed just how bad this fantasy offense can be for fantasy owners. Players like him are not supposed to finish games with no receptions, that donut creates the lowest possible floor for a player that should instead be a WR4 in his bad games.

Tennessee Titans: It was expected that QB Marcus Mariota could not duplicate his strong game against the Atlanta Falcons against a tougher defense and that was the case. He finished with just 183 yards passing and no passing touchdowns. WR A.J. Brown had just two targets, two receptions, and 27 yards. WR Corey Davis had four targets, two receptions, and 28 yards. This offense is at the mercy of one of the most inconsistent quarterbacks in the NFL, which leads to games like this one against good defenses like the Buffalo Bills. Nobody on this passing offense can be trusted for consistent production. They travel to the Denver Broncos in Week 6. It is a winnable game with fantasy points for the taking, but Mariota tends to leave more fantasy points on the field than he tallies most weeks.

Washington Redskins: If you are in a desperation situation due to the bye or injuries, you could do worse than take a flyer on a Washington player and hope he dominates a bad Miami squad. The problem with looking at past target shares to make an educated guess this week is that head coach Jay Gruden has been fired and replaced by interim head coach Bill Callahan. That could lead to some changes on the offense and render past target shares meaningless. I am a little surprised that they do not just name QB Dwayne Haskins the starter and figure out if he is the quarterback of the future or a bust in a lost year. A good game against a bad Miami could be a big boost to his confidence and start him trending in the right direction. Instead, Callahan has only said the starter will not be Haskins. QB Colt McCoy showed nothing in Week 5 against the Patriots with 119 yards passing and no passing touchdowns. The leading wide receiver was WR Terry McLaurin with three receptions for 51 yards on seven targets. I think the prudent strategy is to keep rolling with McLaurin and RB Chris Thompson if you need them. Only start the other players in this offense if you are down to no other good options.

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Derek Lofland is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Derek, check out his archive and follow him @DerekLofland.

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18Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
19Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
26Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
27Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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