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12 Players to Buy Low/Sell High (Fantasy Football)

Nov 6, 2019

Christian Kirk’s decent target volume makes him an ideal buy-low candidate

The byes, especially six-team byes like this one, present worthwhile opportunities for savvy fantasy owners to snag some buy-low targets as we approach the trade deadline. Players are always more likely to be dealt on their bye, especially if they’ve been underperforming. Selling high on athletes you believe won’t maintain their production can further increase your chances of getting your guy and improve your title hopes. To help you know who you should be looking to add or send away, our featured experts have given their thoughts on their favorite trade candidates below.

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Expert Buy Low Sell High
Matt SchaufDraft Sharks Mike Williams (WR – LAC) Aaron Jones (RB – GB)
Mike TagliereFantasyPros Christian Kirk (WR – ARI) D.K. Metcalf (WR – SEA)
Frank StampflRotoExperts D.J. Moore (WR – CAR) Todd Gurley (RB – LAR)
Andrew EricksonFantasyData D.J. Chark (WR – JAC) Damien Williams (RB – KC)
Mike WrightThe Fantasy Footballers Keenan Allen (WR – LAC) David Montgomery (RB – CHI)
Scott PianowskiYahoo! Sports Leonard Fournette (RB – JAC) Zach Ertz (TE – PHI)

 

Q1. Who is your favorite buy-low trade candidate at this point in the season and who are you willing to give up for him?

Christian Kirk (WR – ARI)
“Kirk is one of the better buy lows in fantasy football right now. Coming off a game with minimal production on national television, you should reach out to the Kirk owner to see what it would take to acquire him. He’s seen at least five targets in every game, including three games with 11 or more targets. The production has been minimal due to the lack of touchdowns, but follow the opportunity and fantasy points will follow. He’s very close to John Brown in the rest of season rankings, though you can get him for much cheaper than Brown. You can probably land him for someone like Golden Tate or Jarvis Landry.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Mike Williams (WR – LAC) 
“Williams is coming off the first 100-yard game of his career, but that’s probably not enough to keep his owner from trading away the No. 56 WR in PPR points per game. He ranks a solid 35th in targets, though, and is tied for 11th in red-zone looks, according to NFL Savant (one ahead of Keenan Allen). Williams is bound to do some scoring down the stretch. An Oakland defense allowing the league’s highest passing touchdown rate looks like an inviting matchup this Thursday. The Chargers face them again in Week 16. I’d take Williams straight up over Curtis Samuel, D.K. Metcalf, and Robert Woods.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC) 
“It doesn’t feel great, but I’d still be trying to buy Allen. He’s a top-tier WR in the NFL and I believe his talent will win out in the end. He’s got a matchup coming against Oakland this weekend and plays them again in Week 16. The targets have been there (double digits for two of the past three weeks). Allen has had stretches like this in the past before bouncing back in a huge way. I’d be willing to take the risk on trading players like Terry McLaurin, Allen Robinson, John Brown for the upside of Keenan Allen.”
– Mike Wright (The Fantasy Footballers)

D.J. Moore (WR – CAR) 
“The only thing wrong with Moore’s production this season is the lack of touchdowns. He’s currently on pace for 90 receptions and 1,128 receiving yards, yet has only found pay dirt once. The targets have been there as well. He has at least eight targets in four straight games and is second on the team with 13 red-zone targets. If you can flip a Kenyan Drake, Carlos Hyde, or another flex-type player for Moore, you should.”
– Frank Stampfl (RotoExperts)

D.J. Chark (WR – JAC) 
“My favorite buy-low guy is definitely Chark. He has been lackluster over the past few weeks with Minshew struggling. He’s on a bye week and gets a new quarterback with Nick Foles. Chances are the Chark owner is worried. You shouldn’t be. Foles can push the ball down the field and the Jaguars have a schedule that favors their passing game. As for what to give up for him, look to sell guys like D.J. Moore, Robert Woods, Tyler Boyd, or even John Brown. Brown has a rough stretch coming up.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyData)

Leonard Fournette (RB – JAC) 
“It’s not that he’ll be dirt cheap, but the timing is right to seek a Fournette trade. For one thing, he’s on bye, so his owner might be in a win-now mindset and amenable to a swap. Second, Fournette’s touchdown count is comically unlucky given his usage; so as long as he stays on the field, positive regression is likely. Perhaps Marlon Mack or David Montgomery could land you Fournette, or maybe you could sell someone on Odell Beckham.”
– Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Sports)

Q2. Who is your favorite sell-high candidate at this point in the season and what would you try to get in return?

Aaron Jones (RB – GB) 
“It’d be tough to do, but I’d look into dealing Jones after Sunday’s Panthers game. His schedule beyond that includes visits to San Francisco and Minnesota (Week 16), plus a Week 11 bye. Leading Green Bay in targets while Davante Adams was out has inflated his fantasy numbers, while the four touchdowns at Dallas still make up half of his ground-scoring total. Jones hasn’t run one in since. He has also carried 13 times or fewer in seven of nine games. As a top-five PPR back, Jones should fetch quite a bounty on the trade market — with a wide variety of options.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

Todd Gurley (RB – LAR) 
“If you can sell Gurley based on his name then it’s something you should explore. He’s currently the RB23 with a whole mess of problems this season and averaging just 13.1 carries and 50.7 rushing yards per game with 3.9 yards per carry. Gurley has seen just 8% of the Rams’ target share this season and is on pace for just 32 receptions. If you can trade Gurley for an RB2 or WR2 that you trust more on a weekly basis, pull the trigger.”
– Frank Stampfl (RotoExperts)

Damien Williams (RB – KC) 
“Sell high? Don’t you mean Williams? He has been a bust up to this point and I am not going to let one 91-yard touchdown cloud what we have seen all season long. 40% of his season-long rushing yardage came on that run. He’s an easy sell candidate. Try to acquire RB2s with more defined roles, like Austin Ekeler or Matt Breida. I even like targeting running backs on bye weeks, like James White or Jordan Howard. You maybe be able to even get a package done to get Marlon Mack or Joe Mixon. Mixon gets the Dolphins in Week 16.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyData)

D.K. Metcalf (WR – SEA) 
“With Josh Gordon entering the Seahawks’ lineup this week, Metcalf is suddenly looking at the No. 3 receiver role on the team behind both Gordon and Tyler Lockett. Many will wonder just how much Gordon has left after the Patriots released him, but as far as the film’s concerned, he’s still plenty able to produce. Some will wonder about how much chemistry he and Russell Wilson will have, but don’t forget that Metcalf was considered a raw wide receiver who didn’t have much time to develop chemistry with Wilson this preseason, as he was out for multiple weeks after having his knee scoped. The future looks bright, but the Gordon signing was a big blow to his value this year. If you can get someone like Christian Kirk for him, that’d be an ideal buy-low, sell-high situation.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Zach Ertz (TE – PHI) 
DeSean Jackson is done for the year and Dallas Goedert isn’t going away. Ertz will never be a bad player, but fresh off a 9-103-1 haul (easily his best game of the year), you have a selling window. I would try to get a running back with a high floor for weekly touches; maybe you could land Chris Carson. It’s possible you might have to wait a week, as some owners will be reluctant to buy Ertz during his holiday, but he’s been mildly overrated the entire season. ”
– Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Sports)

David Montgomery (RB – CHI) 
“He’s not a player that is a must-sell by any means, but I’d be happy to sell Montgomery high. His breakout performance was against the Chargers, a team that has given up top-10 numbers to running backs in five of nine games. He managed to save last week’s game against the Eagles purely off of touchdowns. Montgomery seems like a fine RB2 play the rest of the year, but I’d rather go out and trade him for Devin Singletary plus extras.”
– Mike Wright (The Fantasy Footballers)


Thank you to the experts for naming their trade candidates. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.


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