Friday brings us a nice looking ten-game slate on DraftKings. At this point there is no real influential injury news, the significant names that are out tonight have been out for at least a couple of games already, so the prices around them have risen. There will almost surely be some news that changes a lot of things before lock, so keep your ear to the ground. For now, here are the best spots and plays I am seeing.
Check out today’s NBA Sharpshooter from DraftKings 
Best Team Situations
Wizards vs. Hornets
Both of these teams find themselves in a plus matchup. The Wizards average Vegas implied total for the year is 112 points, and they currently sit at 120 tonight. The Hornets average implied total is 107, and tonight it is 114. Those are two substantial differences, so we can feel pretty confident about this game outputting some big-time fantasy scores.
Pistons (vs. Hawks)
The Pistons have an implied total tonight that is eight points higher than their average (116 to 108). The Hawks have allowed an above league average team fantasy points total in eight straight games, and have given up massive totals in their last three (304, 260, 257 to LAC, LAL, and MIL). For context, the league average is 227.
Guards
Luka Doncic (PG/SG – DAL): $11,400 vs. Cavaliers
We were given a DFS lesson about blowout risk from Doncic on Wednesday. The Mavericks were hosting the Warriors and were a massive 15 point favorite, Doncic projected to absolutely crush his price tag, but the blowout risk was a worry. What if the Mavericks were up by 25 at halftime and Doncic was not needed in the second half? How could he possibly pay off a near $10,000 salary in less than 30 minutes? Well, he scored 75 DraftKings points in 25 minutes, a 2.94 FPPM rate, the highest of the season thus far. The lesson to be learned here is if you think the price is too low on a stud, do not avoid them just because of the blowout risk – if the blowout materializes, it is likely because that player had a huge game in limited minutes. The same blowout risk is present tonight, but there is another factor as well – the price has ballooned to $11,400 (an alarming $1,600 increase). It is true that Luka is averaging 62 DK points on the year and 71 over his last four games, but this is not a home run play for me with that massive price increase.
