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DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 11 (2019)

by Nate Snodgrass
Nov 14, 2019

If Ty Johnson is out, J.D. McKissic presents nice value on DraftKings

Welcome to Week 11 of the NFL season. We have some crucial fantasy players on bye this week. On bye are the Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, Tennessee Titans, and New York Giants.

Each week, I will provide a recap of the prior week’s picks. The cheaper the player, the higher value you are hoping to get. The ultimate goal is to get three-to-four times the price of each player. The higher the value, the better the play.

Quarterback: Daniel Jones 34.32 points (6.02x), Ryan Tannehill – 19.94 points (3.91x)
Running Back: David Montgomery – 6 points (1.13x), Ronald Jones II – 23.6 points (5.49x)
Wide Receiver: Zach Pascal – 4.6 points (0.87x), D.J. Moore – 24 points (4.62x)
Tight End: Mike Gesicki – 4.8 points (1.55x)

The goal of this article is to provide daily fantasy football advice for DraftKings value plays. Implementing a few value plays in your lineups allows for the opportunity to play the top-tier studs. The key with a value play is to find a player with a high floor that also has the opportunity for a breakout game. These value plays will be for DraftKings’ main slate each Sunday. Non-tight ends under $6K and tight ends under $4.5K will be considered value plays.

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Quarterback

Carson Wentz (PHI): $5,400 vs. NE
This is by no means a good matchup for Wentz, but his price is very cheap. A lot of New England’s dominant defensive performances came across below average quarterbacks. Carson Wentz is more talented than most of the quarterbacks that the Patriots have faced thus far. The Eagles’ defense will struggle to stop Tom Brady, forcing Wentz to score points in order to keep pace with them. As three and a half point underdogs, Vegas expects this game to remain close. I wouldn’t expect a ceiling game from Wentz, but he provides nice value at his price.

Kyle Allen (CAR): $5,300 vs. ATL
Often carried by Christian McCaffrey, Allen is just an average quarterback. In his last six starts, he has only averaged 222 yards and six touchdowns total. Outside of last week, the Atlanta Falcons’ defense has been poor. Allen has plenty of talented receiving options, and as long as CMC doesn’t dominate the touchdowns, Allen should be able to produce a good fantasy game this week.

Running Back

Brian Hill (ATL): $4,800 @ CAR
With Devonta Freeman out, Hill will step in as the Falcons’ lead running back. As evidenced last week, the Falcons won’t be afraid to give Hill the ball. He finished with 20 carries and one reception.

The Carolina Panthers have been one of the worst run defenses this year. Only three other defenses have allowed as many rushing yards as them and they have given up 17 rushing touchdowns this year. It’s not often that we get a starting running back at this price, so when we do, we must take advantage of it.

J.D. McKissic (DET): $4,600 vs. DAL
This is strictly a play if Ty Johnson is out this week. Johnson is in the concussion protocol and his status for Sunday is in doubt. If he is out, McKissic becomes the main running back.

He tends to catch more passes, which is beneficial on DraftKings. He may be lacking efficiency when running the ball, but he will make up for that with his receiving. If Matthew Stafford ends up playing, McKissic likely becomes an even better play.

Wide Receiver

Mohamed Sanu (NE): $5,100 @ PHI
Sanu had no problem stepping into the No. 2 role on New England’s offense. In their last game before the bye, he had 10 receptions on 14 targets. Brady seems to be trusting Sanu, which is great for his future outlook. A matchup against a pass funnel defense sets up the New England receivers well. I love Sanu this week and think he is even cash game viable.

DeVante Parker (MIA): $4,700 vs. BUF
Parker has started to develop a nice connection with Ryan Fitzpatrick. He has averaged five catches for 60 yards over his last four games. Fitzpatrick isn’t afraid to throw the ball in traffic to his big receiver, which is what Parker is. This is a tough matchup against the Bills, who tend to be a run funnel defense, but Parker should be able to at least put up his average.

Tight End

Ross Dwelley (SF): $3,400 vs. ARI
We’ve been picking on the Arizona Cardinals’ defense against tight ends all year. George Kittle would’ve been in a must-have spot this week as he was a few weeks ago, but Kyle Shanahan has made it seem like he is doubtful. This spot sets up perfectly for Dwelley, even though he did not capitalize last week. Despite only finishing with 5.4 DK points a week ago, I’d expect a bounce back this week against the Cardinals. Dwelley makes for a great value.

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Nate Snodgrass is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nate, follow him @NSnods.

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