Are you excited for Week 12? I know I am, but I hope that we have to sit through fewer blowouts. That said, blowouts can be nice if you’re a DFS player — as long as you’ve started players from the winning team. And each week, I’ll be covering the players who are expected to be highly owned in DFS according to our handy projected ownership tool to give you some lineup advice. Ready? Let’s get started.
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Quarterback
Matt Ryan takes on the Buccaneers, and he’s a strong bet against their second-worst defense against quarterbacks. They are surrendering a whopping 25.9 DraftKings points per game to the position, ensuring that Ryan will have a stable floor this week. Even though he’ll be without Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman, last week proved that Atlanta could win without them. It’s no surprise that a quarter of DraftKings players are expected to slot Ryan into their lineups, but he’s not quite chalk, and there are some strong plays elsewhere. After Ryan, we’ve got a few options at around 10% projected ownership. Russell Wilson is the first of these guys. He’s having an MVP-caliber season, and he’s got the Eagles this week. However, Philadelphia has improved defensively in recent weeks. Since Week 8, the Eagles have only given up 44 points, or 14.667 points per game. They’ve done it against some decent teams, too, as they played the Bills, Bears, and Patriots over that span. Although I’m confident in Russ as a quarterback, I don’t know if the matchup justifies his $6,800 salary. The Eagles’ passing defense is even in the top half against opposing quarterbacks. Drew Brees slides in next against the Panthers. Unlike the Eagles, the Panthers have been cold lately. The Falcons throttled them last week, and I’d look for the Saints to do the same here. While Carolina has been decent against opposing quarterbacks this season, as they have only given up 17.5 DraftKings points per game to the position, they’ll need Kyle Allen and the offense to maintain possession, and I’m not sure if that’ll happen. Ryan Fitzpatrick is projected to be another popular pick, and with his affordable salary and easy matchup, I think that he’s a smart play. The Browns are on a two-game winning streak, but they’ve just lost defensive end Myles Garrett for the season. Look for the drama to limit them this week as the Dolphins should keep it close in Cleveland. Carson Wentz takes on the Seahawks in what’s statistically the second-best matchup of the five. The “Legion of Boom” is long dead, and Seattle is currently giving up a tenth-highest 21 DraftKings points per game to quarterbacks. While Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor might be beaten up, Wentz still has his tight ends. I think he’s a smart value option with less risk than Fitzpatrick.
