FanDuel NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 10 (2019)
This isn’t a week to get too cute when it comes to picking the quarterbacks to include in some GPP stacks on FanDuel. Pricing is fairly flat among the viable options and ownership is typically pretty spread out and capped on quarterbacks. So, don’t worry about getting one of the more popular options on the slate. However, instead of pairing him with his obvious top receiving option, that is where we can start to get a little bit contrarian and pivot to the number two or three option, and maybe even bring it back on the other side with a likely lower owned and often cheaper player for a mini-game stack. Also, as is often the case in my FanDuel GPP column there is a hidden stack that can be found in the low-owned fliers section.
So, with that let’s stack’em up for Week 10.
Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC): $8,400 /Sammy Watkins (WR – KC): $6,400
Mahomes is expected to return to the starting lineup this week and should instantly be a strong option for at least your GPP lineups. He will face a Titans defense that has been stout against the run but below average against the pass with Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) ranking of 20th. The Titans will also be without their starting defensive back Malcolm Butler. Instead of pairing Mahomes with the undoubtedly more popular Tyreek Hill, look to pivot to Watkins at a cheaper price with lower ownership. In the four games this season, when both Mahomes and Watkins were healthy, Watkins averaged 9.5 targets while putting up 5.8 receptions for 91.3 yards per game with a total of three scores. Bringing it back with the Titans running back, Derrick Henry should also be less popular than jamming in a Titans receiver or tight end, and Henry has by far the higher chance for multiple scores.
Bring it back with: Derrick Henry (RB – TEN): $7,000
Drew Brees (QB – NO): $8,300 / Ted Ginn (WR – NO): $5,300
Sure, Brees will also be a very popular option this week with the Saints marching into Week 10 with the highest implied Vegas total on the slate while playing at home against the Falcons. However, we will once again try to differentiate our GPP stack by going away from the sure-to-be popular Michael Thomas and instead of pairing Brees with a cheap home run hitter in Ted Ginn. Ginn has scored in each of the last two meetings with the Falcons and should have no problems getting deep on a Falcons secondary that has allowed the highest yards per attempt (9.57) in the league over the last five weeks. Then instead of bringing it back with Julio Jones, look to pivot to the much cheaper Calvin Ridley who smashed the Saints in both their meetings last year with a total of 15 receptions for 239 yards and four (yes four!) touchdowns.
Bring it back with: Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL): $5,300
Nick Chubb (RB – CLE): $7,900 / DEF Browns: $3,500
The chalk running back and D/ST combo will certainly be Marlon Mack and the Colts D/ST in their home matchup with the Dolphins. A much lesser used option will be Chubb and the Browns D/ST at home against the Bills. With the return of Kareem Hunt from suspension this week, there is talk that he will “have a role” this week, but I don’t expect it to be significant enough to effect Chubb who has at least 17 touches in every game this season. The easier path to success against the Bills defense is on the ground where they rank 30th DVOA and have allowed 118 rushing yards (27th) and 1.25 touchdowns on the ground per game to running backs over the last five weeks. Pair Chubb with the Browns inexpensive defense which is averaging over three sacks per game and is playing at home against a sack-prone quarterback, Josh Allen.
Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG): $8,600
Many will look at the matchup for Barkley against the Jets and their second-ranked DVOA run defense which has allowed just 3.22 YPC to running backs this season and pass him by in favor of paying up for Christian McCaffrey or getting one of the cheap options. However, I believe this is a sneaky good spot for Barkley as he is guaranteed plenty of work with an average of 17 carries per game since returning from injury. He should get all of the goal line work against a Jets run defense that has allowed an average of one rushing score per week. Barkley will also absorb some of the targets available with Evan Engram out this week against a Jets defense that has allowed 6.6 receptions (29th) for 52 yards (28th) per game to pass-catching backs this season. Don’t let Barkley go overlooked this week.
- Matt Ryan (QB – ATL): $7,500
- Josh Allen (QB – BUF): $7,500
- Alvin Kamara (RB – NO): $8,300
- Aaron Jones (RB – GB): $7,600
- Odell Beckham (WR – CLE): $6,900
- John Brown (WR – BUF): $5,800
- Marquise Brown (WR – BAL): $5,300
- Gerald Everett (TE – LAR): $5,700
- O.J. Howard (TE – TB): $5,000