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Fantasy Football Feast or Famine: Week 10 (2019)

Nov 8, 2019

Look for David Montgomery to feast against the Lions this week.

We’ve officially passed the midway point of the fantasy season. As everyone expected, D.J. Chark is a top-six receiver, Austin Hooper and Darren Waller are top-three tight ends, and New England’s defense is one of fantasy’s leading scorers.

If you’re busy trying to figure out whether this week will be a Mike Evans week or Chris Godwin week, this article might not be too helpful. What I will do is look at some players with the most divisive rankings among the experts and predict whether they will feast or starve.

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Quarterbacks

Kyler Murray (ARI)
Highest rank: QB2. Lowest Rank: QB18.

Six straight quarterbacks have scored 17 or more fantasy points against the Buccaneers — four of those totaled at least 23.7. Tampa Bay has allowed an average of three touchdowns and 330.5 yards over those six games.

Kyler Murray has posted at least 21 points in three of his last five games. He should make it four of six in this game.

Prediction: Feast

Other feasters: Philip Rivers (LAC) at OAK, Ryan Tannehill (TEN) vs KC.

Matthew Stafford (DET)
Highest rank: QB4. Lowest rank: QB22.

The number of quarterbacks to post 20 fantasy points against the Bears this season? Zero. Chicago has had issues offensively and with their run defense, but their pass defense has been rock solid for the most part.

Stafford comes into this game having thrown for at 340 yards and three touchdowns in three consecutive games, but this might be a week to avoid him.

Prediction: Famine

Other famines: Baker Mayfield (CLE) vs. BUF, Jared Goff (LAR) at PIT.

Running Backs

David Montgomery (CHI)
Highest rank: RB4. Lowest rank: RB23.

In half PPR formats, six different running backs have totaled at least 20 fantasy points against the Lions. In fact, Detroit has allowed at least 17 points to a back in all but one game this season. The Lions are on pace to surrender 2,830 yards and 26 touchdowns to the position. Welp.

Matt Nagy is finally giving David Montgomery the rock and it’s paying off in a big way for fantasy owners. The rookie has totaled 223 yards and three scores over his last two games. He should feast again in this matchup.

Prediction: Feast

Other feasters: Ronald Jones (TB) vs. ARI, Devin Singletary (BUF) at CLE.

Todd Gurley (LAR)
Highest rank: RB7. Lowest rank: RB26.

I mentioned this last week and it still stand true this week — not a single running back has reached 14 fantasy points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. And the Steelers have faced a repertoire of backs that includes Sony Michel, Mark Ingram, Austin Ekeler, Melvin Gordon, Joe Mixon, Chris Carson, and Marlon Mack.

Todd Gurley has looked like a shell of himself this season. Gurley has had just one game all season with more than 70 yards from scrimmage. The saving grace for the 25-year-old has been touchdowns, as Gurley has scored seven times in seven games. Pittsburgh has allowed just one score to the position since Week 3, so points could be hard to come by for Gurley.

Prediction: Famine

Other famines: Devonta Freeman (ATL) at NO, Kenyan Drake (ARI) at TB.

Wide Receivers

Emmanuel Sanders (SF)
Highest rank: WR10. Lowest rank: WR36.

The Seahawks have allowed a receiver to go for over 150 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Seattle has also allowed four 100-yard receivers over their last five games. This week, it’ll be Emmanuel Sanders’ turn to tee off on this secondary.

Sanders has scored in each of his two games with San Francisco, and he posted a 7/112/1 line on 9 targets against Patrick Peterson and the Cardinals. With George Kittle’s status in doubt, Sanders is in a prime position to post another big line.

Prediction: Feast

Other feasters: Davante Adams (GB) vs. CAR, Zach Pascal (IND) vs. MIA.

Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)
Highest rank: WR14. Lowest rank: WR29.

Only one receiver has managed to score more than 14 points in half PPR formats against Buffalo, and that was Jamison Crowder in Week 1. Crowder caught 14 passes in that game for a mere 99 yards.

Odell Beckham Jr. has had just one game all year with more than 13.1 fantasy points – and that occurred way back in Week 2. Those who drafted OBJ early could be in for another rough week.

Prediction: Famine

Other famines: JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) vs. LAR, Tyrell Williams (OAK) vs. LAC.

Tight Ends

O.J. Howard (TB)
Highest rank: TE7. Lowest rank: TE28.

Unless you have one of the studs, you’re going to need to take a flyer. O.J. Howard has the talent and matchup to produce, but will he have the opportunity? Howard has just 13 receptions on 18 targets through six games.

If there’s ever a week for Howard to break out, it would be against an Arizona team that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

Prediction: Feast

Rankings

Check out my rankings to see where the rest of your players stack up:


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Elisha Twerski is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Elisha, check out his archive or follow him @ElishaTwerski.

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1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
3Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
4Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
5Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
6Julio Jones (ATL)WR
7Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
8DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
9Aaron Jones (GB)RB
10Chris Carson (SEA)RB
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11Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
12Michael Thomas (NO)WR
13Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
14Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
15Tevin Coleman (SF)RB
16Mike Evans (TB)WR
17Mark Ingram (BAL)RB
18Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
19Tyler Lockett (SEA)WR
20Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
21Phillip Lindsay (DEN)RB
22Devin Singletary (BUF)RB
23Chris Godwin (TB)WR
24Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
25Davante Adams (GB)WR
26Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
27Carlos Hyde (HOU)RB
28D.J. Moore (CAR)WR
29D.J. Chark (JAC)WR
30Julian Edelman (NE)WR
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
5Trevor Story (COL)SS
6Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
7Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
8Trea Turner (WSH)SS
9Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
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11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
13Gerrit Cole (FA)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
16Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
17Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
18Juan Soto (WSH)LF
19Anthony Rendon (FA)3B
20Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
21Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
23Starling Marte (PIT)CF
24Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
25Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
26Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
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11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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