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If Your Fantasy Football League Drafted Today

by Bobby Sylvester | @bobbyfantasypro | Featured Writer
Nov 5, 2019

There is plenty to learn from Cooper Kupp’s breakout

Something I’ve found extraordinarily useful in my preparation for fantasy football drafts is to look back at what worked and what didn’t. Come August, we will be so far separated from the previous season that it will be difficult to remember why so many were excited about Le’Veon Bell, Damien Williams or Jared Cook and how everyone slept on Cooper Kupp, Austin Hooper and Chris Godwin. I figure now is the ideal time to study and prepare our minds for next season. I’ll get to my current top 200 rest of season rankings (for if your league drafted today), but first let’s take a pit spot to try to learn from where the general public failed.

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20 Biggest Risers Compared to Preseason ADP

The takeaways here are as clear as day. For running backs, we can throw our prior perception of talent out the window. We once thought Todd Gurley was awful under Jeff Fisher then he was amazing under McVay, and now he sucks again because the offensive line blows. The point, of course, is that volume and team scheme are the end all measurements of fantasy football production.

There are several common themes at the pass-catching positions. Cooper Kupp, Chris Godwin, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown and Devante Parker, for example, were all much better in terms of efficiency than their ADPs would suggest. They finally got healthy and/or found their way into snaps, and of course, took off. Austin Hooper, Mark Andrews and Terry McLaurin are the classic target hogs that would should have seen from a mile away. Then there are the athletic freaks (Darren Waller, D.J. Chark and D.K. Metcalf) who had no prior production and major question marks but more often than not, talent wins the day.

20 Biggest Fallers Compared to Preseason ADP

*Kerryon Johnson (ADP #29), Cam Newton (ADP #87), Ben Roethlisberger (ADP #113), DeSean Jackson (ADP #127) and Stephen Gostkowski (ADP #133) have been ruled out for the season

Let’s be fair, some of these were impossible to predict like Big Ben getting injured killing Conner and JuJu’s value or Baker Mayfield turning into Eli Manning overnight crushing Odell’s stock. For others, the writing was on the wall. For example, Antonio Brown and Josh Gordon obviously had red flags that should have kept us away. Duke Johnson had never sustained a workload before, Robby Anderson had the toughest schedule imaginable, Dante Pettis was in the preseason dog house, and Bruce Arians has historically shown us that he hates tight ends. Furthermore, Joe Mixon, Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson played for terrible offenses, Andy Reid was trying to replace Damien Williams all off-season and drafting defenses high never ever ever EVER works.

My Rankings

The rankings below are how I would personally draft for a 12-team, half PPR league with 15 rounds if my drafts were today. Make sure to let me know on Twitter what you would do differently or if you have any questions.

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Bobby Sylvester is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Bobby, check out his archive and follow him @BobbyFantasyPro.

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1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
3Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,CF
4Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
5Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
6Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
7Gerrit Cole (NYY)SP
8Trevor Story (COL)SS
9Trea Turner (WSH)SS
10Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
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11Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
12Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
13Juan Soto (WSH)LF
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
16Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
17J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
18Anthony Rendon (LAA)3B
19Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
20Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
21Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)SS
22Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
23Rafael Devers (BOS)3B
24Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
25Shane Bieber (CLE)SP
26Mike Clevinger (CLE)SP
27Jack Flaherty (STL)SP
28Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
29Pete Alonso (NYM)1B,DH
30Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
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11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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