Monkey Knife Fight Best Bets Week 13 (2019 Fantasy Football)
Welcome to Monkey Knife Fight. Monkey Knife Fight is the most exciting new addition to the DFS arena. In a nutshell, Monkey Knife Fight is player props meets fantasy football in a DFS package. At Monkey Knife Fight, DFS players can utilize their fantasy football skill and knowledge to make over/under predictions on fantasy point, or stat based totals.
Every week we pour through Monkey Knife Fight’s (MKF) offerings to identify the top player total combinations. The over/under totals are dynamic, which means that a combination we see on Tuesday or Friday, may not still be offered on Wednesday or Saturday. The combinations offered sometimes change multiple times a day. This makes it imperative that one actively monitors the combinations offered for the best values. While many of the total offerings may fundamentally change permanently for the week, others stay on the board, while some others reappear.
In the last few weeks, we were able to get one of our top identified plays locked in for our readers, but due to the holiday, there was no such luck for Week 13. As such, instead of going in-depth on our top play, we will briefly discuss each of the top plays we identified for this week. As mentioned some of these combinations may no longer be offered in the same form, and sometimes the combination is no longer offered at all.
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D.J. Chark (WR – JAX) over 72.5 receiving yards
Ronald Jones (RB – TB) over 48.5 rushing yards
D.J. Chark should be a near-lock to clear this total in Week 13 versus Tampa Bay. At a sportsbook, this player prop would warrant an immediate multi-unit play. Chark has surprisingly only cleared this total in five of his 11 contests, and only once in his last three, but this play is all about the plus matchup against the Buccaneers defense.
The Ronald Jones line was more about getting in on the Chark action than the win probability of the total independently. The Jaguars have allowed a league-high 5.62 yards per carry on the season, giving the Jones over enough intriguing appeal to warrant some action.
A.J. Brown (WR – TEN) over 47.5 receiving yards
Jonathan Williams (RB – IND) over 64.5 rushing yards
Fresh off a 135 receiving yard outing, A.J. Brown, who has averaged 53.5 receiving yards after the catch over his past two contests, is a safe bet to clear 47.5 yards against Indianapolis. He was held to just 25 yards against them in Week 2 with Marcus Mariota under center but has cleared this total in three of his last five contests.
Jonathan Williams has been rolling with Marlon Mack sidelined. He has recorded back to back performances of over 104 rushing yards. Mack has not recorded back to back 100 rushing yard games during the fantasy season since October of 2018. Williams is a very safe bet to go over the surprisingly low 64.5 rushing yard line in Week 13.
Greg Olsen (TE – CAR) over 3.5 receptions
Kelvin Harmon (WR – WAS) over 29.5 receiving yards
Greg Olsen has hauled in at least five receptions in three straight contests, and only game flow can prevent him from recording at least four in a plus matchup against Washington. Paul Richardson re-injured himself in Week 12, leaving Kelvin Harmon as Dwayne Haskins number two receiver. Haskins is finally showing signs of life and has propelled Harmon to at least 43 receiving yards in two straight starts. With Richardson ruled out for Week 13, Harmon is a safe bet to clear the posted total.
Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA) under 79.5 receiving yards
Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN) over 86.5 rushing yards
Surprisingly, Lockett has only cleared 79.5 receiving yards in three of his 11 contests this season. A potential shootout against the Minnesota Vikings seems like an over spot, but his performances this season don’t justify the number. He had back to back 100 receiving yard outings against Atlanta and Tampa Bay and is a solid bet to do so once again against Minnesota. The data here, however, suggests an under play.
Dalvin Cook is averaging 92.5 rushing yards per game. He has gone over the posted total of 86.5 rushing yards in seven of his 11 contests this season. In what will likely be a run-heavy, ‘keep Russell Wilson off the field’ gameplan, Cook is a strong bet to hit the over against a Seahawks team that has surrendered 4.07 yards per carry to the running back position. Seattle has allowed 91.33 rushing yards per game to the backfields they have faced this season that consisted of at least one RB1.
Jack Doyle (TE – IND) over 41.5 receiving yards
Derrick Henry (RB – TEN) over 81.5 rushing yards
With fellow tight end Eric Ebron on injured reserve and star receiver T.Y. Hilton ruled out for Week 13, Jack Doyle should have an easy time recording more than 41.5 receiving yards. While Doyle has only recorded 42 or more receiving yards on three occasions this season, Ebron had done so on five. Now expected to dominate tight end snaps and targets, Doyle should easily clear the posted total.
Derrick Henry has recorded back to back performances of at least 159 rushing yards. He has cleared the 81.5 rushing yard total in six of his 11 contests this season. He had 82 rushing yards exactly against the Colts in Week 2. Henry should be able to easily eclipse the posted total.