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Week 9 Target Analysis (2019 Fantasy Football)

Nov 6, 2019

Emmanuel Sanders has immediately stepped into a prominent role with the 49ers.

Week 9 of the NFL season saw the home teams dominate, as the only true road teams to win were the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals on Thursday Night Football and the Dallas Cowboys over the New York Giants on Monday Night Football. Sunday belonged to the home team, as the Jacksonville Jaguars were the only home team to lose. They were only the home team in name though, as that loss to the Houston Texans occurred in London.

Despite the home team dominance, most of the big passing performances were by road quarterbacks as the only home quarterbacks to top 300-yards passing were Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson and Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew, but again his home game was in London. Five of the seven three touchdown or more passing games were also by road quarterbacks with only Wilson and Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick having three or more passing touchdowns at home.

Let’s take a look at how all 32 NFL teams did in the passing game in Week 9 and who their favorite targets were in the passing game. If you want to see how every team distributed their targets, check out Fantasy Pros Most Targeted Players.

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Arizona Cardinals: I am not sure how excited I am about the Cardinals passing offense, even though it was better in Week 9. On the one hand, I was very surprised to see that QB Kyler Murray had 241 yards passing and two passing touchdowns. He had not thrown a touchdown pass in four of his previous five games. On the other hand, WR Andy Isabella had 88 yards receiving and a receiving touchdown on one reception. Take that out of the mix and Murray was 16 for 23 with 155 yards and one touchdown pass. That is a pretty pedestrian effort, even against the 49ers tough defense. WR Larry Fitzgerald was held to four receptions for 38 yards and he appears to have hit a wall at 36-years old. WR Christian Kirk should be better than his two receptions for eight yards on five targets.

I think the most interesting question is whether RB Kenyan Drake will have a substantial role in the passing game going forward. He had four receptions for 52 yards on four targets and he could continue to have a role with RB David Johnson and RB Chase Edmonds injured. Johnson is expected to be back this week from his ankle injury, but Edmonds is expected to still be out with a hamstring injury. That could allow Drake to have a role again in Week 10 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense. The Buccaneers are 31st against fantasy wide receivers, which could open the door for Fitzgerald and Kirk, but Drake is the player that showed the most flash in his Arizona debut.

Atlanta Falcons: It seems likely that QB Matt Ryan will be healthy enough to play this week on the road against the New Orleans Saints and this matchup is a mixed bag. Ryan is only 8-13 against the Saints, but he also has averaged 302.6 passing yards per game and he has 39 touchdown passes in 23 games against them. Last year, Ryan had 751 yards passing, seven passing touchdowns, and one interception in two games against the Saints.

WR Julio Jones, WR Calvin Ridley, and TE Austin Hooper should all be on the fantasy radar this week in a game that could turn into a shootout against the Saints and QB Drew Brees. Ryan is on the road and he will likely lose again this week, but the passing numbers could be plentiful in Week 10. I am not sure if I would go deeper than those three in the passing game though. WR Russell Gage did see nine targets and seven receptions in his last game, but he still seems like a risky fantasy play at this point.

Baltimore Ravens: People can keep telling me that QB Lamar Jackson has developed into a pocket passer, but the numbers do not back that up. He was 17 for 23 with 163 yards and one touchdown pass against the New England Patriots. The Ravens dominated on the ground with 41 rushing attempts for 210 yards and three touchdowns. Jackson had 16 of those rushing attempts for 61 yards and two touchdowns. I am not knocking Jackson, he is on pace to break QB Michael Vick’s single-season rushing record for a quarterback and he is the top-scoring fantasy quarterback in the NFL. The problem is the wide receivers are ranked 31st and their running backs have the second-fewest receptions and the second-fewest receiving yards in the NFL.

The only position that has been worth owning in the passing game is the tight end position, which is second in fantasy points scored in the NFL. TE Nick Boyle had five receptions for 27 yards and one touchdown and TE Mark Andrews had two receptions for 21 yards last week. The only receiver that went over 30-yards receiving was WR Marquise Brown with four targets, three receptions, and 48 yards.

Jackson may be passing better from the pocket this year than 2018, but he is still not a true pocket passer. This offense is driven by his ability to run the ball and the rest of the options in the passing game are spotty at best. Even in a game where the Ravens scored 37 points, no player topped 50-yards receiving in this game. The Ravens have a great matchup against the winless Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10. Maybe the passing numbers will improve against a weaker opponent.

Buffalo Bills: This is the same write up I have about the Bills every week. WR John Brown has WR3 potential, which he lived up to with four receptions for 76 yards. WR Cole Beasley can sneak into the mix, which he did with two receptions for 13 yards and one touchdown. No other receiver or tight end had more than 20 yards receiving.

The interesting development has been the emergence of RB Devin Singletary. He tallied three receptions for 45 yards to add to his 95 yards rushing and a touchdown. He is starting to overtake RB Frank Gore in this offense and his receiving ability is making him the second passing target in this offense behind Brown. Other than Brown, Beasley, and Singletary there is not much happening in the Bills passing game. The Bills travel to the Cleveland Browns in Week 10.

Carolina Panthers: The Panthers had a slightly more productive offensive week, but the theme was the same. RB Christian McCaffrey had 24 carries for 146 yards and two rushing touchdowns. He was only targeted three times in the passing game, but he still had three targets, three receptions, 20 yards, and one touchdown. This is still the McCaffrey Show and he is going to dominate the offense each and every week.

What was nice though is that WR D.J. Moore had 10 targets, seven receptions, and 100 yards and WR Curtis Samuel had six targets, three receptions, 64 yards, and one touchdown. The only other relevant fantasy player was TE Greg Olsen and he had five targets, three receptions, and 40 yards. That was only relevant, because the tight end position is not a big-scoring position.

It was a very good fantasy day for the Panthers offense, but this is still an offense that revolves around McCaffrey dominating the action. They travel to Green Bay Packers in Week 10, whose defense has been declining in recent weeks.

Chicago Bears: This tells you everything you need to know about the Bears offense. Per Elias Sports, the Bears had nine yards of total offense in the first half, the lowest yardage total in an NFL game over the last 40 years. That was against an Eagles team that is currently 19th in points allowed and 10th in yards allowed. QB Mitchell Trubisky finished the day with 125 yards passing and the only receiver with more than 40 yards was WR Taylor Gabriel. He did finish with three receptions for 69 yards, but one of those receptions went for 53 yards.

There is not much upside on this offense outside of WR Allen Robinson. He showed how low his floor can be in this offense with five targets, one reception, and six yards. The Bears host the Detroit Lions next week and it will be hard to trust an offense that failed to reach 200 yards passing for the fourth time in eight games this year.

Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals are coming off their bye week and here is going to be their biggest challenge in Week 10. The Bengals have the worst run defense in the league, surrendering 1,421 yards rushing and 5.1 yards per attempt. The Ravens are the top rushing offense with 1,639 yards rushing and 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. That means that the Ravens could steamroll the Bengals and the Bengals will never have the ball on offense.

The Ravens possessed the ball 39:42 in the first matchup at home against the Bengals this year. The Bengals had no rushing game with just 14 rushing attempts and they still threw the ball only 39 times with that little commitment to the running game. WR Auden Tate was the only receiver to break 50-yards receiving with 91 yards receiving and no touchdowns. The good news is that WR A.J. Green is on pace to make his first start of the season, but with QB Ryan Finley making his first start and the offense in danger of possessing the ball for less than 20 minutes, there is not much upside to starting any Bengals in this game.

Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield has not had multiple touchdown passes in a game this year and he has not passed for more than 300 yards since a Week 4 matchup in Baltimore. Denver has a good pass defense and Mayfield actually played fairly well with 273 yards passing, one passing touchdown, and no interceptions.

WR Odell Beckham led the way with five receptions for 87 yards and WR Jarvis Landry had the most targets with 13 targets, six receptions, 51 yards, and one touchdown. The only other player with more than 30 yards receiving was WR Antonio Callaway with four receptions for 56 yards. Cleveland has a home game against the Buffalo Bills, but there is not much hope for an offense that specializes in mediocre passing numbers.

Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys did not do much in the first half, as there was only a minute left in the half and the Cowboys were down 12-3. They scored 10 points in the final 52 seconds of the half and they scored 24 points in the second half to salvage their fantasy day.

WR Amari Cooper led the way with four receptions for 80 yards and one touchdown. TE Jason Witten added eight receptions for 58 yards and TE Blake Jarwin scored a touchdown on a pass play that went for 42 yards. WR Michael Gallup salvaged a disappointing day with a touchdown reception. He had only two receptions for 33 yards in what looked like an opportunity for big fantasy numbers against a bad Giants defense.

The Cowboys have a tough Sunday Night Football Game against the Minnesota Vikings. I probably would only trust Cooper in that matchup with the other wide receivers and tight ends unlikely to do much.

Denver Broncos: QB Brandon Allen was not great in his Bronco debut, but he was good enough with 20 pass attempts, 12 completions, 193 yards, two passing touchdowns, and no interceptions. The good thing is that WR Courtland Sutton still had decent fantasy value with eight targets, five receptions, 56 yards, and one touchdown. TE Noah Fant added three receptions for 115 yards and one touchdown.

The problem is that Fant had a 75-yard touchdown, so that game may not be a duplicable event. The Broncos will not be a great passing offense this year, but it was good to see Sutton remain a productive player without QB Joe Flacco. Fant also showed why he is a good streaming option, but he is dicey in an offense that threw the ball only 20 times. The Broncos have a bye week before a tough game at the Minnesota Vikings in Week 10.

Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford had 406 yards passing and three passing touchdowns, which gave the Lions’ two star receivers in this game. WR Kenny Golladay led the way with four receptions for 132 yards and one touchdown. WR Marvin Jones had eight receptions for 126 yards and another touchdown. TE T.J. Hockenson was the only other player with more than 50 yards receiving, finishing with 56 yards through the air. RB J.D. McKissic scored the other receiving touchdown.

The Lions have a tough road matchup against the Chicago Bears defense in Week 10. Golladay is always a must-start, but the rest of the players are going to be boom/bust fantasy options on the road against a tough defense.

Green Bay Packers: Do not be fooled by QB Aaron Rodgers having 161 yards passing in this game. He had only 61 yards passing through three quarters before having a respectable fourth quarter with his team trailing 26-3. This was the fifth lowest passing total of his career when he plays all four quarters. In my opinion, this was an outlier game. The offense struggled to gain yards, convert first downs, and sustain drives. WR Davante Adams had 11 targets, seven receptions and only 41 yards. RB Jamaal Williams scored the only Packers touchdown and WR Allen Lazard led the way with 44 yards receiving.

The Packers should be much more productive in Week 10 at home against the Carolina Panthers, although the bar is pretty low to improve on Week 9. If they have another game like Week 9, there may be a reason for concern. This seems like an outlier game by a team that appeared to be overlooking their opponent on the road after a great October.

Houston Texans: The Texans offense was not stellar in London, but QB Deshaun Watson did have 201 yards passing and two passing touchdowns. RB Duke Johnson led the way with five receptions for 68 yards and WR DeAndre Hopkins led the way with 11 targets. He turned those targets into eight receptions, 48 yards, and one touchdown. TE Darren Fells scored the other touchdown on his only catch and nobody else had a significant fantasy impact in the passing game.

That is the frustrating thing about the Texans offense some weeks. As good as Watson can be, it does not always translate to their skill position players having big games. Even Hopkins with 11 targets had a pretty average fantasy day. They will have a bye in Week 10 before they travel to Baltimore in Week 11.

Indianapolis Colts: QB Jacoby Brissett had to leave the game with an injury and he is not going to be starting this week. That means that QB Brian Hoyer will be starting and he had 168 yards passing and three passing touchdowns in relief. That was a solid effort, but there are a few things to keep in mind with this home matchup against the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins head coach Brian Flores was employed in New England from 2004 to 2018 and he was a defensive coach from 2011 to 2018. Hoyer was there from 2009 to 2011 and 2017 to 2018, so Flores is very familiar with the throws that Hoyer can make and what he struggles to do at the NFL level.

Hoyer will also be without his best playmaker in the passing game, WR T.Y. Hilton. WR Zach Pascal will probably be the beneficiary of Hilton being out, as he had six targets, five receptions, 76 yards, and one touchdown in Week 9. WR Parris Campbell was the only other wide receiver to top 50-yards receiving and TE Jack Doyle and WR Chester Rogers scored the other touchdowns in the passing game. The matchup is great against Miami at home this week and there is some upside for the skill position players, but there are also some concerns for a Colts team that will be playing with a backup quarterback this week that the Dolphins head coach has a ton of familiarity with from their days together in New England.

Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars will be making a huge change after the Week 10 bye week as QB Nick Foles will be returning to the starting lineup and QB Gardner Minshew will go back to the bench. Minshew did not generate much offense in London, as he did have 309 yards on 47 pass attempts, but no touchdowns and two picks.

WR Keelan Cole led the way with five receptions for 80 yards and no other player had more than 50 yards receiving other than RB Ryquell Armstead. Foles only played one game before missing the next two months with a collarbone injury, but he does like to take shots downfield and WR D.J. Chark could still thrive in the vertical passing game and WR Dede Westbrook could also have value when he returns from injury. The Jaguars travel to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 11. It will take a game or two to see how Foles distributes the ball in this offense, but there is a chance that Chark and Westbrook remain the most targeted players in this offense.

Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs did a good job to win in Week 9 without QB Patrick Mahomes. QB Matt Moore had 275 yards passing and one passing touchdown. The three best skill position players in the passing game dominated the action. WR Tyreek Hill had six receptions for 140 yards and one touchdown on eight targets. WR Sammy Watkins had 10 targets, seven receptions, 63 yards, and no touchdowns. TE Travis Kelce added nine targets, seven receptions, and 62 yards receiving. No other player had more than five yards receiving.

I think guys like WR Demarcus Robinson and WR Mecole Hardman could have sporadic big games playing with Mahomes, but the offense is starting to settle in with Hill, Kelce, and Watkins dominating the action most weeks and the other players looking to make the most out of a few targets per game.

Los Angeles Chargers: Los Angeles relied more on their running game than their passing game in a 26-11 win over the Green Bay Packers. The Chargers dominated this game leading 26-3 in the fourth quarter before Green Bay scored a meaningless touchdown. Their backs combined for 38 yards rushing, 159 rushing yards, and two touchdowns.

I think the story is the continuing underwhelming performances of WR Keenan Allen. He had another poor performance with three receptions for 40 yards on four targets. He has only 154 yards receiving in his last three games and he has not found the end zone since Week 3. WR Mike Williams did have a 100-yard game and TE Hunter Henry did lead the way with 10 targets, seven receptions, 84 yards, and no touchdowns.

The Chargers have a great matchup at the Oakland Raiders in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football, but it is hard to trust Allen to put up monster numbers at this point. Williams and Henry seem to be on the uptick, but this is still an offense that ranks 21st in points scored and 16th in yards gained. QB Philip Rivers has only 12 touchdown passes in nine games and this offense has a long way to go to be the fantasy juggernaut that it was in 2018.

Los Angeles Rams: The Rams are coming off their bye week and they have a tough matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road. The Steelers are third in the league with 11 interceptions and they lead the league with 11 fumble recoveries. They also are fifth in the league with 29 sacks.

Obviously, fantasy owners are going to fire up WR Cooper Kupp coming off his 200-yard receiving game in London before the bye week. Everyone else is a low-upside option against a Steelers D that is fourth against fantasy wide receivers. There may be room for TE Gerald Everett to have a serviceable game against the 24th ranked fantasy tight end defense. The Steelers D has been nasty against the pass since acquiring S Minkah Fitzpatrick from the Miami Dolphins. Do not expect the Rams to have their best passing effort of the season.

Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins offense has actually been on the uptick over the last month. They gained 272 yards passing in Week 7 and 266 yards passing in Week 9. Against the Jets, WR Preston Williams had nine targets, five receptions, 72 yards, and two touchdowns. WR DeVante Parker added six targets, four receptions, 57 yards, and one touchdown.

I think Williams and Parker have shown they can be functional WR3 plays with QB Ryan Fitzpatrick behind center. The only problem is Williams tore his left ACL and he will miss the rest of the season. That should open the door for Parker to lead this team in targets each week and another player that could benefit from Williams being out is TE Mike Gesicki. He had six targets, six receptions, 95 yards and one touchdown against the Jets.

This is still an unpredictable offense, but the team is improving by the week. It will not be enough to win many games, but it should be enough to have Parker as a relevant fantasy option in the passing game the rest of the way. Gesicki may be able to join him and time will tell if any other Dolphins receivers can emerge in the second half of the season. They play at the Indianapolis Colts in Week 10.

Minnesota Vikings: The Minnesota passing game was productive, but not with the normal cast of characters. QB Kirk Cousins had 220 yards passing and three passing touchdowns, but WR Adam Thielen was not able to play through a hamstring injury and he had no receptions on just one target. WR Stefon Diggs also had a quiet game with one reception for four yards. Nobody dominated the yardage, as WR Laquon Treadwell led the way with just 58 yards receiving and the touchdowns went to TE Kyle Rudolph, RB Ameer Abdullah, and WR Bisi Johnson.

I would expect Diggs to reemerge as the lead wide receiver in Week 10, especially with Thielen likely sidelined for a couple of weeks. There still could be some other players that could have fantasy value, but Minnesota is still a very run-oriented offense and even their best receivers can have a very low fantasy floor. The Vikings have a date at the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

New England Patriots: I think we are starting to see the declining role of RB James White in the passing game. WR Julian Edelman and WR Mohamed Sanu combined for 25 targets, 20 receptions, 170 yards receiving, and one receiving touchdown scored by Sanu. Nobody else topped 40 yards receiving and White was held to three targets, two receptions, and 46 yards. His three targets were just one more than RB Rex Burkhead.

I am not going to say that White is done in fantasy this year because the Patriots are infamous for targeting a player in double-digits one week and not looking his way the next week. There are weeks where White will see 10 targets and Sanu will be left out of the mix. The problem is that White is going to be a lot more volatile going forward and Sanu is definitely going to carve out a more consistent role in this offense than White. The Patriots did not trade a second-round pick to Atlanta to toss Sanu the ball 3-5 times per game and his emergence in the offense showed with a team-leading 14 targets in this game. The Patriots have a bye week before facing a struggling Eagles pass defense on the road in Week 10.

New Orleans Saints: The Saints are coming off their bye week and they have to be very pumped that QB Drew Brees made it through his first game back from injury in Week 8 and that he shined with 373 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. Brees has owned the Falcons with an 18-9 career record against them and he averages 304.6 yards per game passing against them with 53 touchdown passes in 27 career games.

The Falcons are allowing the fourth-most points to fantasy quarterbacks, the fourth most points to fantasy wide receivers, and they are just 18th against fantasy tight ends. WR Michael Thomas and RB Alvin Kamara should have monster games in this shootout and the lesser players in the offense could join the fireworks if the Saints offense takes advantage of this matchup.

New York Giants: The Giants did not do much passing the ball on Monday Night Football as QB Daniel Jones had just 210 yards passing and one passing touchdown. The issue is that 65 of those passing yards came on a play that was all RB Saquon Barkley. The Giants did not have another passing play that went for more than 20 yards and WR Cody Latimer scored the only touchdown.

This is the downside to having a rookie quarterback. In Week 8, Jones had 322 yards and four passing touchdowns at Detroit. This week he was barely fantasy relevant in a home game against a much tougher Dallas defense. WR Golden Tate, WR Sterling Shepard, and TE Evan Engram will have better games this season and the perfect cure could be a date with the New York Jets in Week 10.

New York Jets: I thought the Jets had already hit rock bottom this season when they were held to 105 yards and 128 yards of total offense in back-to-back games sandwiched between a Week 4 bye. I think that was a high point compared to losing on the road to the Miami Dolphins. QB Sam Darnold was 27 for 39 for 260 yards and one touchdown. WR Jamison Crowder led the way with nine targets, eight receptions, 83 yards, and one touchdown. RB Le’Veon Bell added eight receptions for 55 yards and TE Ryan Griffin added six receptions for 50 yards.

It was an embarrassing effort against a Miami team that is still 32nd in points allowed and 29th in yards allowed. Even in the most favorable matchups, this offense is shaky. They have a good matchup against the New York Giants in Week 10, but the Jets offense is a complete train wreck right now and nobody can be counted on in the passing game.

Oakland Raiders: QB Derek Carr was a very efficient 20 for 31 with 289 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. That was a good mix with a running game that had 171 yards on 36 carries and two rushing touchdowns. The offense was very balanced as seven receivers had more than 20 yards receiving, but RB Jalen Richard was the leading receiver with three receptions for 56 yards.

One positive development was WR Hunter Renfrow scored a touchdown for the second straight week and TE Foster Moreau scored the other touchdown. I still think that WR Tyrell Williams and TE Darren Waller are the only safe weekly plays in the passing game, but Renfrow and Moreau have been growing as the season progresses and in Week 9 they were the ones that scored touchdowns. The Raiders host the Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday Night Football in Week 10.

Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles only threw for 239 yards and one touchdown this week, but they really did not need to throw the ball much against a Chicago Bears team that had nine yards of offense in the first half. The good news is that TE Zach Ertz had 11 targets, nine receptions, 103 yards, and one touchdown. He had been in a funk and finally had a breakout game this season. Nobody else topped 40 yards passing and nobody else scored a touchdown.

The bad news is that WR DeSean Jackson will miss the rest of the regular season with a core injury and WR Alshon Jeffery tweaked his ankle, although that is not expected to be serious with a bye week on the horizon in Week 10. The Eagles face the New England Patriots in Week 11, a team that had the best defense in the NFL but were exposed against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday Night Football. Still, they gave up only 163 yards passing and one passing touchdown, it was the run defense that failed them on Sunday Night Football. The Eagles will probably not be putting up big passing numbers coming off their bye week against the Patriots D.

Pittsburgh Steelers: The risk with this passing offense is that QB Mason Rudolph can be very complacent in the passing game, taking lots of shots to running backs and tight ends in the flats and not many to the wide receivers downfield. Take Sunday’s game, RB Jaylen Samuels had 13 targets, 13 receptions, 73 yards, and no touchdowns. TE Vance McDonald had seven targets, five receptions, 30 yards, and the only receiving touchdown of the game. That left only 11 targets for the wide receivers. WR James Washington led the way with 69 yards, but 40 of those yards came on one play. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster had 16 yards receiving and WR Diontae Johnson chipped in with three yards receiving. When this offense takes the air out of the football and throws only short passes, it can really cause the receivers to plummet in fantasy production. They have a tough matchup against the Los Angeles Rams coming off their bye week.

San Francisco 49ers: QB Jimmy Garoppolo had a stellar game on Thursday Night Football with 317 yards passing and four passing touchdowns, which was a breakout passing performance for the 49ers. The big story was WR Emanuel Sanders going for nine targets, seven receptions, 112 yards, and one touchdown. TE George Kittle also added eight targets, six receptions, 79 yards, and one touchdown. Nobody else had more than 50 yards receiving in this game and WR Dante Pettis and WR Kendrick Bourne scored touchdowns on their only reception of the game.

This game showed me that Sanders has the capability to be a featured receiver in this offense and it will be interesting to see if he can build on this performance. Kittle is always involved in the offense and WR Deebo Samuel did emerge as the third target in this offense with seven targets, but only four receptions for 40 yards. I do not know if the offense is potent enough to feature a second fantasy wide receiver, but Sanders is definitely someone to watch in the second half of the season. The 49ers face the Seattle Seahawks at home on Monday Night Football in Week 10.

Seattle Seahawks: QB Russell Wilson continues to make the case for the MVP award, throwing for 378 yards and five touchdowns at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WR Tyler Lockett continues to make the case that he is one of the best receivers in the league with 18 targets, 13 receptions, 152 yards, and two touchdowns. WR D.K. Metcalf added six receptions for 123 yards and one touchdown. TE Jacob Hollister had four receptions for 37 yards and two receiving touchdowns.

The Seahawks are usually a little more run-oriented and it is not likely that they throw the ball 43 times most weeks. They will have a much tougher matchup at the San Francisco 49ers this week on Monday Night Football, but Wilson can have a big game in any matchup. That gives players like Locket and Metcalf both a very high ceiling and a very high floor.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Jameis Winston had a solid game with 335 yards and two passing touchdowns, but it was the same two players involved this week that are always involved. WR Mike Evans had 16 targets, 12 receptions, 180 yards, and one touchdown. WR Chris Godwin added nine targets, seven receptions, 61 yards, and no touchdowns. WR Breshad Perriman scored his first touchdown as a Buccaneer on a fluky tipped ball and nobody else had more than 20 yards receiving.

The Buccaneers have a great home matchup against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10, but Evans and Godwin remain the only two viable fantasy options in the passing game on an offense that is up and down from week to week.

Tennessee Titans: Titans QB Ryan Tannehill came back to Earth a bit this week with 331 yards passing, one touchdown pass, and two picks. Their only passing touchdown went to RB Derrick Henry. Their leading wide receiver was WR A.J. Brown had four receptions for 81 yards on seven targets. WR Adam Humphries added four receptions for 65 yards and WR Corey Davis added four receptions for 48 yards. TE Jonnu Smith took a step back with three receptions for 18 yards.

The nice thing is that the floor was a little higher with Tannehill playing poorly than it was when QB Marcus Mariota struggled. Still, the Titans showed that they can still be awful at passing the football and their wide receivers and tight ends are as volatile as any players in the NFL. They play the Kansas City Chiefs at home in Week 10.

Washington Redskins: This offense is a train wreck at the moment. Washington ran only 49 plays and possessed the ball 28:13 in the game. To compare that to other teams, the Vikings possessed the ball 28:12 in Week 9 and they ran 66 plays and that is not exactly the fasted paced team in the NFL. This team does not play with any tempo or urgency and the result is only 22 passing attempts for 144 yards.

WR Paul Richardson led the way with five targets, four receptions and 42 yards. WR Terry McLaurin was disappointing again with his third poor game in a row. He now has nine receptions for 89 yards and no touchdowns in his last three games. He has not caught a pass longer than 20 yards since Week 6.

Washington has passed the ball 22, 21 and 12 times the last three weeks. It is hard for any skill position player to have fantasy value in an offense that is this stagnant and this unproductive. Washington has a bye week before they try to sort things out against the woeful New York Jets in Week 11.

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Derek Lofland is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Derek, check out his archive and follow him @DerekLofland.

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2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
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11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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