DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Week 15 (Full Slate)
These are the final few weeks of the season and it’s certainly one of the most fascinating times of the year. We have a mixture of teams battling for playoff berths and some playing for absolutely nothing. We also have almost every team playing on Sunday, which is exciting for us DFS players. With that in mind, let’s kick things off by talking about the primetime games.
The Thursday night game features a matchup between the Ravens and Jets. Baltimore actually enters this matchup as a 15-point favorite, making Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram, and the Baltimore D/ST the best plays out there.
The Sunday night game is a defensive showdown between the Bills and Steelers. These offenses are really hard to trust, so I actually like the kickers and D/STs as sneaky showdown plays. In terms of offensive players, you can consider Devin Singletary, James Conner, and John Brown.
Quarterback of the Week
Deshaun Watson (HOU): $6,800 at TEN
What if I told you that the highest-scoring quarterback on this slate was also the fourth-highest priced quarterback? Also, what if I told you that he gets a superb matchup? That’s just what we have with Watson, who’s averaging 24.3 DK points per game while facing a Titans team that owns a 28th OPRK against opposing quarterbacks this season. That’s a recipe for success and it’s hard to overlook the fact that this is essentially a playoff game for both of these clubs. We love Watson’s recent form too, scoring at least 29 DK points in back-to-back games. Not to mention, half of Tennessee’s secondary is injured right now, making things much easier on Watson and DeAndre Hopkins.
Cash Game Running Back
Chris Carson (SEA): $7,500 at CAR
With Rashaad Penny tearing his ACL last week, Carson should return to his bell-cow duties. That’s amazing to say from a guy who already ranks third in the NFL in rushing attempts, as he could be looking at 25 carries and five targets in every game from here on out. A floor like that is a dream for a cash game running back and it’s scary to think how much work he could get for the most run-happy team in football. He’s been extremely productive with that work too, averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game. The best part about all of this is the matchup though, with the Panthers surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing running backs this season.
GPP Running Back
Raheem Mostert (SF): $5,200 vs. ATL
The Niners’ backfield has been hard to figure out all season long, but Mostert is starting to establish himself as the go-to guy. The most important thing to look at is the fact that he’s averaging a 67 percent snap share over the last two games, putting Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman on the bench. That’s led to some serious fantasy numbers too, with Mostert scoring at least 25 DK points in both of those outings. That’s really no surprise when you see that he’s leading all backs in the NFL with 6.0 yards per carry, showing that talent will prevail. Getting to face the Falcons is simply a bonus, with San Fran entering this matchup as a 12-point favorite and Atlanta ranking 26th in total defense.
Cash Game Wide Receiver
Chris Godwin (TB): $7,700 at DET
Trying to figure out who to pick between Godwin and Mike Evans has been a nightmare this season, but that’s no longer the case. With Evans suffering a hamstring issue in Week 14, it appears that Godwin is the guy. Being the top wide receiver for an offense that ranks in the top five in both pass attempts and yardage is a huge plus, especially when we don’t have two studs competing for all that usage. Godwin has been plenty good with Evans on the field anyway, leading all wide receivers on this slate with more than 21 DraftKings points per game. We can’t hate the matchup either, with the Lions owning a 25th OPRK against opposing wide receivers this season.
GPP Wide Receiver
Dede Westbrook (JAC): $4,600 at OAK
With D.J. Chark listed as week-to-week, Westbrook should step into a featured role for the Jaguars. What’s funny is that this is essentially Tampa Bay-light, with these two dominating the targets and receiving production in Jacksonville. Losing Chark’s 22 percent target share is awesome for a guy like Westbrook, who’s got a 17.4 percent target share of his own. That’s led to him averaging six catches over his last four games and we simply can’t wait to see how much he’s targeted here against Oakland. Not only do they allow the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, but the Raiders are also allowing more than 38 points per game over the last three fixtures.
Tight End of the Week
Tyler Higbee (LAR): $3,900 at DAL
With Gerald Everett out of the picture, Higbee has developed into one of Jared Goff’s top targets. Over the last two weeks, Higbee has 14 catches for 123 receiving yards on 19 total targets. Not to mention, he’s played 94 percent of the team’s snaps in that two-game span. Those are great numbers from an elite wide receiver, let alone a cheap tight end. That makes this $3,900 price tag truly shocking and it’s not a bad matchup either. In fact, Dallas allows the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
D/ST of the Week
Philadelphia Eagles: $3,400 at WAS
Philly’s defense has had some serious blunders this season, but they’re really starting to turn things around. In fact, they’ve allowed 17 points or fewer in five of their last six games. That looks even better when you consider that they’ve collected 30 sacks and 11 turnovers in that span too. That production is really hard to overlook against a team like Washington. Not only are the Redskins dead-last in points scored and yardage since Week 3, but they’re also averaging fewer than 13 points per game in that span. That’s why they’re projected for only 17 points here with Philly in a must-win game.