DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 14 (2019)
Welcome to Week 14 of the NFL season. We finally have our first full slate of games since the bye weeks started. Most season-long leagues are starting their playoffs this week, so hopefully, a few of these values play can pay off if you are in need of a streamer to advance in your playoffs.
Each week, I will provide a recap of the prior week’s picks. The cheaper the player, the higher value you are hoping to get. The ultimate goal is to get three-to-four times the price of each player. The higher the value, the better the play.
Quarterback: Nick Foles 1.02 points (0.18x)
Running Back: Jonathan Williams – 3.5 points (0.66x)
Wide Receiver: Demaryius Thomas– 5.3 points (1.47x)
Tight End: Noah Fant – 1.5 points (0.41x)
Last week goes down as the worst week for picks all year. Luckily, we get a new slate this week and an opportunity to bounce-back.
The goal of this article is to provide daily fantasy football advice for DraftKings value plays. Implementing a few value plays in your lineups allows for the opportunity to play the top-tier studs. The key with a value play is to find a player with a high floor that also has the opportunity for a breakout game. Non-tight ends under $6K and tight ends under $4.5K will be considered value plays.
Ryan Tannehill (TEN): $5,800 @ OAK
How much better has Ryan Tannehill been compared to Marcus Mariota? He has had multiple touchdowns (passing/rushing) in all of his starts this year. Although Derrick Henry has been unstoppable recently, Tannehill continues to produce. Now, he gets a great matchup against the Oakland Raiders. They rank 26th against the pass, and only two teams have allowed more touchdown passes. The Raiders’ run defense should limit Henry slightly forcing the Tennessee Titans to rely on Tannehill more than usual this week.
Devonta Freeman (ATL): $5,400 vs. ATL
In Freeman’s first game back last week, the Atlanta Falcons did not limit him. He finished with 17 rushes and four receptions on five targets. This week he faces the worst rushing defense in the NFL. The Carolina Panthers also fired their coach, Ron Rivera. A lot of the players spoke highly of him, so this move will likely not motivate the team. In a home game that I like the Falcons to win, Freeman should have no problem hitting value.
LeSean McCoy (KC): $4,400 @ NE
With the injuries to Damien Williams and Darrel Williams, McCoy will become the Kansas City Chiefs’ number one running back. It is unlikely that Andy Reid makes him a true workhorse running back as they signed Spencer Ware this week, and gave McCoy a “rest” week a few weeks ago. He gets a very tough matchup this week facing the New England Patriots. However, getting a main piece of Kansas City’s offense at this price seems too good to be true. Unless we get word later in the week about Darwin Thompson or Spencer Ware playing a significant amount of snaps, do not be afraid to fire McCoy up this week.
Kelvin Harmon (WAS): $3,700 @ GB
Projecting passing production for the Washington Redskins is tough to do. Dwayne Haskins has not looked good this year as an NFL quarterback. But, Harmon is the number two receiver for them and has looked respectable in the past few weeks. He has 11 catches for 147 yards over the last three weeks. The Redskins have leaned heavily on the run since Bill Callahan took over as head coach, but likely trailing against the Green Bay Packers should force Haskins to throw more than usual.
Marcus Johnson (IND): $3,600 @ TB
Assuming T.Y. Hilton misses this week, Johnson makes for a great dart throw on DraftKings. When Hilton missed Weeks 11 and 13, he had 13.8 and 9.5 DK points respectively. It’s no secret how bad the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been against the pass this year. Most people will flock to Zach Pascal because he will be the top target. However, playing Johnson at a near-minimum price gives you the chance to play a guy like Christian McCaffrey.
Mike Gesicki (MIA): $4,000 @ NYJ
If you are trying to tank, playing Ryan Fitzpatrick as your starting quarterback is not the right move. This guy loves to sling the ball around and has no fears on the field. Starting 0-7, everyone was wondering if the Miami Dolphins would win a game. After winning three of the last five, it’s apparent they are now playing decent football. Most of the credit deserves to go to Fitzpatrick. Gesicki has scored in back-to-back weeks and seems to be Fitzpatrick’s second favorite target behind DeVante Parker. In his first matchup against the New York Jets, Gesick finished with six catches for 95 yards. With the way they are playing right now, similar production out of Gesicki is not out of the question this week.
Nate Snodgrass is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nate, follow him @NSnods.