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FanDuel NBA Lineup Advice: Wednesday (12/25)

Dec 25, 2019

Kyle Lowry has averaged an impressive 52.2 FD points in his last two games.

Welcome to the Christmas edition of FanDuel NBA lineup advice. Christmas day is traditionally the NBA’s biggest regular-season showcase, making it one of the most fun DFS slates to play on the year. There are only three players priced over $10,000 today, opening up plenty of player combinations to target. Perhaps the best part of the Christmas day slate this year is the fact that there is essentially no injury news to monitor, so we don’t have to worry about any last minutes surprises before any tip-offs. With all that in mind, let’s dive in. 

Check out today’s NBA Shot from FanDuel >>

Point Guard

Kyle Lowry (TOR): $8,000 vs. BOS
Toronto has been hit with multiple injuries over the past two weeks and Lowry has been tasked with carrying more of the load. In the five games without Pascal Siakam he’s seen his usage rate climb to a team-high 25.4%. Over that same span, he’s averaged 47.9 FanDuel (FD) points. Zoom into the last two contests and he’s averaged an impressive 52.2 FD points. At just $8,000 he’s one of the more affordable stars on the slate.

Others to consider:

Jamal Murray (DEN): $7,600 vs. NO
Murray is in a smash spot at home against New Orleans to close out the Christmas day slate. The Pelicans have given up the second-most FD points to point guards on average so far this season. On top of that, Murray has topped 44 FD points in two of his past three games and has already shown 60+ FD point upside this year

George Hill (MIL): $4,100 at PHI
He may not be in Milwaukee’s starting lineup, but Hill continues to produce as the Bucks’ sixth man off the bench. He’s shooting a league-high 51.6% from three-point range and has averaged 23.8 FD points per game while Eric Bledsoe has been sidelined with an injured shin, including a lowly 15.6 when he only played 12 minutes as the Bucks throttled the Knicks on Saturday. There’s a very good chance he pays off his affordable $4,100 salary and allows you to pay up elsewhere on Christmas day. 

Shooting Guard

D’Angelo Russell (GS): $8,200 vs. HOU
It’s usually a good idea to target high-scoring players in high-scoring games. The matchup between Houston and Golden State is expected to be the highest-scoring of the day with an over-under set at 226 combined points. Russell has averaged 41.5 FD points over the past three games and has shown the ability to top 80 FD points earlier this season. The Rockets give up the third-most FD points to shooting guards on the ceiling, so Russell could be in prime position to make a splash in front of a national audience.

Others to consider:

James Harden (HOU): $11,700 at GS
Harden is the highest-priced player on the slate, but it’s not hard to see why. At 59.9 FD points per game, he’s averaging more FD points than any other player in the NBA. As previously mentioned, he’s playing in the highest projected scoring game of the day. Something tells me Harden would love to show out on a national stage after feeling like he got snubbed in MVP voting last season.

Damion Lee (GS): $4,400 vs. HOU
If you’re looking to save some salary at the position, Damion Lee could be a bargain. He’s averaged a solid 29.3 minutes and 25.3 FD points since returning to a regular role in the rotation after missing time with a broken hand. He’s yet another player worth taking a look at in what should be a high-scoring affair at the Chase Center.

Small Forward

Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): $11,300 vs. CLE
The reigning MVP is another player that could be looking to make a statement on the NBA’s biggest showcase outside of the Finals. Since missing his first and only game of the season on December 11, Antetokounmpo has put up an average of 57.7 FD points in just 28.5 minutes per game. The Bucks are only favored to win by three points against the 76ers, so the Greek Freak may play a full allotment of minutes, giving him tremendous upside.

Others to consider:

LeBron James (LAL): $9,800 vs. LAC
King James is no stranger to playing on Christmas day; this year will mark his thirteenth consecutive season playing on December 25. He finally got his first game of the season off earlier this week, so he’ll be at full strength as he takes on the cross-town rival Clippers. He’s topped 65 FD points four times this season and even hit 88.4 in a game earlier in the year. It wouldn’t come as a shock if he ended up as the highest-scoring player on the slate.

Alec Burks (GS): $5,700 vs. HOU
As we continue to target players in the highest projected scoring game today, it’s important not to overlook Burks. He, surprisingly, has been the most consistent Warrior so far this season. He hasn’t missed a game since October, has been on the floor for over 30 minutes per game since November 2, and has hit at least 31 FD points in five of his last six games.  

Power Forward

P.J. Tucker (HOU): $4,800 at GS
Tucker is typically one of my favorite plays on any slate, especially when he’s playing in a potentially high-scoring game. He may not light up the scoreboard, but you can’t ignore the fact that he hasn’t missed a game all season and has averaged 36.1 minutes per game, just behind the 37.6 seen by team-leader James Harden. With that much time on the floor, he can usually fall into enough points and rebounds to pay off his affordable salary. It also helps that he’s shooting a team-high 41.3% from three-point range.

Others to consider:

Anthony Davis (LAL): $10,700 vs LAC
Davis’s price seems too low, especially considering we can actually be more confident than usual that he’ll start and see a full allotment of minutes, something that can’t always be said about The Brow. He has a ceiling of 80+ FD points, which he hit just over two weeks ago. He hasn’t been under 40 FD points in well over a month and should be a shoo-in for at least that many on Christmas day.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (TOR): $4,100 vs. BOS
As mentioned earlier, the Raptors have suffered an unfortunately high amount of injuries over the past few weeks. Hollis-Jefferson has stepped up his production, averaging 32.5 minutes and 35.8 FD points over the last two games. On the season he’s averaged 30.7 FD points when seeing 24+ minutes, so his $4,100 salary may be one of the best deals on the slate.

Center

Nikola Jokic (DEN): $9,400 vs. NO
Jokic has topped 52 FD points in two of his last three and is averaging 48.5 FD points over his last ten games. He doesn’t score fantasy points quite the same as traditional players at his position; his 6.9 assists per game easily leads all centers, with nobody else even topping five per game. Over the past two weeks, he’s nearly averaged a triple-double with 21.0 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 8.9 assists over the past eight games.

Others to consider:

Brook Lopez (MIL): $4,900 at PHI
If you’re looking to pivot and differentiate yourself from the masses, Lopez is the way to go. Milwaukee’s big man is finally getting hot from three-point range, hitting 50% from deep over his last two games. He also has the potential to block multiple shots, adding fantasy value that is often overlooked. 

Here’s an example of a lineup you can role out on Christmas day. It’s focused on players that should be safe bets to see minutes and put up solid, if not huge, fantasy production. That makes it more suited to cash lineups. Feel free to swap in some high-risk, high-reward players if you’d prefer to take on some bigger tournaments.

PG: Kyle Lowry – $8,000
PG: George Hill – $4,100
SG: D’Angelo Russell – $8,200
SG: Damion Lee – $4,400
SF: Giannis Antetokounmpo – $11,200
SF: Alec Burks – $5,700
PF: P.J. Tucker – $4,800
PF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson – $4,100
C: Nikola Jokic – $9,400

Good luck, and Merry Christmas!

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Aaron Larson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Aaron, check out his archive and follow him @aalarson.

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