FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 14 (2019)
Tom Brady (NE): $7,700 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Tom Brady is at home this week against KC…Brady is 35-4 at home in December averaging 29 points and the defense gives up 14 points per GM
— Pat Kirwan (@PatKirwan_NFL) December 4, 2019
Over the last two games, the Chiefs defense has allowed only two touchdown passes compared to six interceptions. Of course, that was against Philip Rivers and Derek Carr. The previous three games their defense allowed eight touchdown passes and recorded no interceptions. Brady has been relatively inconsistent in the passing game this season, but he’s a great way to get exposure to what could be one of the highest totals of the day.
Ryan Tannehill (TEN): $7,300 @ Oakland Raiders
Tannehill has the Tennessee Titans fighting for a playoff berth. While running back Derrick Henry has garnered most of the press lately, Tannehill has quietly continued his stellar play since taking over as the starter for the Titans. Over the Titans’ last three games, Tannehill has completed 44 of 59 passes for 622 yards and six touchdowns. He has a 142.1 quarterback rating in that time span. He’s not going to be in the running for MVP, but there are few players that could be better than Tannehill for Comeback Player of the Year. Expect him to keep adding to his resume against the porous Raiders pass defense.
Ryan Tannehill's passer rating drops to 68.5 when under pressure.
He is in a great spot this week against a Raiders defense that pressures the opposing QB on just 33% of dropbacks (25th in NFL). https://t.co/lTJQoXNy3I
— Jarad Evans (@Jarad_Evans) December 5, 2019
Leonard Fournette (JAC): $7,500 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Minshew Mania is back in full force and that’s great news for Fournette. Fournette is having a career year this season. He’s one of only four running backs with 60 receptions. Fournette is third in the NFL in scrimmage yards. He’s also not going down on first contact.
Most yards per carry after first contact (min. 75 carries)
1. Derrick Henry: 2.28
2. Jacobs: 2.22
3. Chris Carson: 2.21
4. Raheem Mostert: 2.17
5. Leonard Fournette: 2.12
6. Alexander Mattison: 2.10
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) December 5, 2019
The only issue thus far for Fournette has been his inability to find the end zone. It’s not for a lack of trying, however. Fournette has eight rushing attempts inside the five-yard line, 12th in the NFL. There’s positive regression coming and this weekend could be that period in time. The Chargers defense has allowed touchdowns on 62.5% of opponents drives in the last three games.
Robert Woods is coming for Leonard Fournette as the biggest underachiever in yards versus touchdowns. Left side shows biggest underperformers, right shows overperformers. (This is based on the last five years of yards to TD data.) pic.twitter.com/ngdUXegYPq
— JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) December 3, 2019
Melvin Gordon (LAC): $7,300 @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Gordon is back to being a bell cow and is priced as the RB12 on Fanduel this week. Over the last four weeks, Gordon has had 20, 22, 14 and 20 rushing attempts, respectively. In that time span, he’s also had nine catches on 13 targets. Now he gets a Jaguars defense that just lost Myles Jack for the rest of the season and is currently ranked 31st in run defense DVOA? Over the last four games, the Jaguars have allowed four individual 100-yard rushers and five running backs have scored touchdowns against them, with two of those running backs hitting pay dirt twice. Yes please.
DeVante Parker (MIA): $7,200 @ New York Jets
The dynasty community has been waiting for this Parker to show himself for the past four seasons. Now that he’s finally breaking out, it’s time we all acknowledge just how good he’s been playing. Sure, he’s still on the Dolphins. He’s also beasting week after week and now gets a severely banged-up Jets secondary.
Since Preston Williams' injury, DeVante Parker has 27.4% Target Share and a 46.5% Air Yards Share
Jamal Adams, Maurice Canady, Arthur Maulet, and Brian Poole all on the Jet's injury report.
Trumaine Johnson is already on Injured Reserve.
Who exactly is going to stop Parker?
— Matt Gajewski (@Matt_Gajewski) December 5, 2019
D.J. Moore (CAR): $7,100 @ Atlanta Falcons
As great as Parker has been lately, Moore is $100 cheaper. Moore is in the midst of a breakout campaign and while the Falcons dismantled the Panthers a couple of weeks ago, expect Moore to continue to produce like a top-tier WR. The one hesitancy with Moore and the rest of the Panthers skill players will be how they play with the departure of head coach Ron Rivera.
Jack Doyle (IND): $6,300 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No Eric Ebron meant Doyle was going to get a ton of snaps and ton of opportunities. He did just that in Week 13. Doyle led the Colts in Week 13 with a 28% target share. He was second on the team in air yards, receptions and caught the lone touchdown pass. Opportunity breeds success.
With Eric Ebron, TY Hilton & company out of the game, we saw a significant jump in the number of routes run by Jack Doyle.
He ran the second-most receiving routes among TEs in Week 13 (39). Previously?
Week 9: 29
Week 10: 22
Week 11: 0
Week 12: 15 pic.twitter.com/OqQwknaCMI
— Kate Magdziuk (@FFballblast) December 5, 2019
Darren Waller (OAK): $6,200 vs. Tennessee Titans
Guess who’s back? In the first game since Hunter Renfrow‘s injury, Waller returned to prominence against the Chiefs defense. Waller had a 30% target share in Week 13 and led all tight ends with a 0.79 WOPR.
12.3/ @notJDaigle Darren Waller averaged a team-high 26% target share and 8.3 looks per game before Renfrow became a full-time player in Week 8. Waller’s last five: 18% share, 5.6 targets per game.
— Troy Eveslage (@TroyEveslage) December 1, 2019
Opposing offenses have been targeting the tight ends frequently against the Titans lately as well. Over the last three games, Travis Kelce, Nick O’Leary and Doyle have combined for 17 catches on 22 targets for 184 yards and two touchdowns.
Baltimore Ravens D/ST: $4,200 @ Buffalo Bills
This play is more about cost efficiency than anything else. The Ravens defense is playing at a high level and, despite being on the road, feels like they could force the Bills into being one-dimensional. This is particularly true if Lamar Jackson continues his MVP-level play.
On the season, the Ravens have allowed only one quarterback to rush for more than 25 yards. Negating and limiting Josh Allen‘s rushing ability will be key to securing a victory. Over the last four weeks, the Ravens have not allowed an opposing quarterback to score double-digit fantasy points. In fact, only Patrick Mahomes has thrown more than one passing touchdown against the Ravens all season. Both Mahomes and Andy Dalton are the only quarterbacks with multiple touchdowns against this defense (Dalton ran one in).
New Orleans DST: $3,800 vs. SF
Pittsburgh Steelers DST: $4,300 @ Arizona Cardinals