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FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 15 (2019)

FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 15 (2019)
Week 15 is here and it’s eerily reminiscent of The Walking Dead in the fantasy football world. Injuries are always a factor throughout the season, however as we approach the finish line we are seeing more and more players out for the remainder of the season. Usage will change for a bevy of different players, while others might not see a notable difference in their on-field production.
There are going to be a lot of cheap options available moving forward, particularly at wide receiver. Discovering which cheap options will actually produce in a viable way can be difficult, but a good precursor is often whether or not a player has seen work already this season. Take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for instance: Losing Mike Evans surely means that Chris Godwin will be a popular option in the Bucs’ passing game. How do the nine targets per game Evans received get dispersed among Bucs pass-catchers now though? There’s plenty of cheap salary relief out there, but there’s also plenty of landmines as well.
Here are some of the players that I’m focusing on for cash game consideration for Week 15:

Garoppolo might be the most expensive quarterback, but after what he did to the New Orleans Saints, fire him up. The Falcons are ranked 26th in defensive pass DVOA. The Falcons are averaging just 1.8 sacks per game on the season. Per NFL Savant, the Falcons have allowed the 12th most yards to deep passes (15 or more yards) on just 7% of their total plays.

Ryan Tannehill (TEN): $7,600 vs. Houston Texans
Tannehill has been playing unbelievably well the last four weeks. His efficiency has been remarkable. Since Week 10 Tannehill is first in completion percentage, eighth in touchdown passes, 18th in passing yards, 10th in rushing yards among quarterbacks and is tied among the league leaders with two rushing touchdowns. The passing yardage has been a bit of a disappointment, but Tannehill has thrown just 86 passes in their last four games. David Blough from the Detroit Lions, in that same time span, threw 78 pass attempts. Tannehill’s passer rating since Week 10 is a league-high 144.2. That’s 14.5% higher than second place, Lamar Jackson.

Other notables

Derek Carr (OAK): $7,300 vs. JAC
Baker Mayfield (CLE): $7,700 @ ARI

Running Backs

Chris Carson (SEA): $7,400 @ Carolina Panthers
The loss of Rashaad Penny will probably get slightly overblown, but it’s still a solid boost to Carson’s immediate stock. That’s especially true this weekend.

To put it bluntly, the Panthers have been garbage against the run. They’ve allowed at least one rushing touchdown in all but two games. Over the last two games, the Panthers have allowed Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson to combine for 228 yards and three rushing touchdowns and Devonta Freeman and Brian Hill to combine for 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

The Seahawks lead the NFL with 70 rushes of 10 or more yards. Carolina has allowed 58 rushes of 10 or more yards, seventh most in the NFL. Carson is priced as the RB12 this weekend, but has a reasonable chance at finishing as the RB1 this weekend.

Todd Gurley (LAR): $7,600 @ Dallas Cowboys
If I had told you prior to Week 1 that Gurley would be getting a 2018 workload in Week 15 and he would still be priced as the RB10, I’m guessing you’d think that the folks at Fanduel had been sipping on too much eggnog when determining player salaries. Gurley has rapidly been more and more ingrained in the Rams offense as of late. Gurley has seen 25, 6 (blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens), 19 and 23 carries, respectively, in the Rams last four games. He has 11 receptions in those games for 87 yards and has a rushing touchdown in all but the Ravens game.
With the Rams taking on the Cowboys, it’s important to focus on injuries once again, only on the defensive side of the ball. The Cowboys will once again be without Leighton Vander Esch. The Cowboys also have several other key defensive starters that have been limited in practice, including Michael Bennett, Antwaun Woods and Jeff Heath. Running backs have found success in the passing game against Dallas as well. The Cowboys have allowed the sixth-most receptions to running backs and 10th most receiving yards to running backs. If last week is any indication, the Rams are getting back into the habit of making defenses account for Gurley in the passing game.

Other notables
Miles Sanders (PHI): $6,800 @ WAS
Phillip Lindsay (DEN): $6,400 @ KC

Wide Receivers

Chris Godwin (TB): $8,400 @ Detroit Lions
I mentioned above that the injury to Evans will cause Godwin to likely see an increased role. What shouldn’t change is where Godwin lines up. He continues to dominate snaps in the slot and in doing so he’ll likely avoid Darius Slay for a good portion of this game. He’s been a model of consistency and the only question is whether we’ve even come close to seeing his ceiling.

Jarvis Landry (CLE): $7,400 @ Arizona Cardinals
Landry continues to be one of the most underrated players year after year. Of course, when you’re teammates with Odell Beckham Jr. it’s easy to understand why you might not be the prime focus of attention. On the football field however, Landry has been the focus of Mayfield. Going Landry’s way this week will be that he is lining up against Byron Murphy and a banged-up Kevin Peterson”}” data-sheets-userformat=”{“2″:13249,”3”:{“1″:0},”9″:1,”10″:2,”11″:0,”12″:0,”15″:”Arial, sans-serif”,”16″:12}”>Kevin Peterson. Murphy is PFF’s No. 116 highest-graded CB among 131 qualified players this season.

Over the last three weeks, Landry leads the NFL with a 34% target share, is sixth in market share of air yards with 41%, is fourth in air yards (370) and is fifth in receiving yards. With Beckham dealing with a groin injury, Landry has taken over as the go-to playmaker for Mayfield.

Other notables

Keenan Allen (LAC): $6,800 vs. MIN
Golden Tate (NYG): $6,300 vs. MIA

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz (PHI): $6,700 @ Washington Redskins
Ertz is, and has been for the last four weeks, the primary focus of the Eagles’ passing game. With Alshon Jeffery now out for the season, Ertz is going to see insane usage in the passing game.

Opp Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Ctch% Y/Tgt
CHI 11 9 103 11.44 1 81.8% 9.36
NE 11 9 94 10.44 0 81.8% 8.55
SEA 14 12 91 7.58 1 85.7% 6.50
MIA 6 3 24 8.00 0 50.0% 4.00
NYG 13 9 91 10.11 2 69.2% 7.00
Over the last three games, Ertz has commanded a 23% target share and a 23% market share of air yards that has yielded him 206 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Other notables

Ian Thomas (CAR): $5,300 vs. SEA
Tyler Higbee (LAR): $5,700 @ DAL

Defense

New England Patriots DST: $5,000 @ Cincinnati Bengals
Doesn’t it always seem that soon after the Patriots are accused of wrongdoing they wipe the floor with their next opponent? The Bengals have been a mess all season and going up against this defense isn’t going to make them appear any better. Not to mention, the Patriots already have the all the film they’ll need on the Bengals.

Other notables

Seattle DST: $4,700 @ CAR
Washington DST: $3,500 vs. PHI

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Matt Giraldi is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Matt, check out his archive or follow him @Mgiraldi.

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