FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 15 (2019)
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF): $8,400 vs. Atlanta Falcons
Garoppolo might be the most expensive quarterback, but after what he did to the New Orleans Saints, fire him up. The Falcons are ranked 26th in defensive pass DVOA. The Falcons are averaging just 1.8 sacks per game on the season. Per NFL Savant, the Falcons have allowed the 12th most yards to deep passes (15 or more yards) on just 7% of their total plays.
Deep pass completion rate:
1 Jimmy Garoppolo (56%)
2 Dak Prescott (46%)
T3 Kirk Cousins, Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson (44%)
T6 Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Gardner Minshew (41%)
26 Jared Goff (27%)
27 Sam Darnold (24%)
T28 Josh Allen, Daniel Jones (21%)
30 Kyle Allen (20%)
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) December 10, 2019
Top-7 QBs by Net Yards* per Dropback
* (Passing Yards + Rushing Yards – Sack Yards Lost)
1. Ryan Tannehill (9.66)
2. Lamar Jackson (9.38)
3. Matthew Stafford (8.44)
4. Dak Prescott (8.43)
5. Kirk Cousins (8.31)
6. Russell Wilson (8.05)
7. Jimmy Garoppolo (8.04)
(wait for it)
— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) December 12, 2019
Chris Carson (SEA): $7,400 @ Carolina Panthers
The loss of Rashaad Penny will probably get slightly overblown, but it’s still a solid boost to Carson’s immediate stock. That’s especially true this weekend.
Chris Carson with and without Penny since 2018 🤑 pic.twitter.com/CZTHJLad6o
— Addison Hayes (@amazehayes_) December 9, 2019
To put it bluntly, the Panthers have been garbage against the run. They’ve allowed at least one rushing touchdown in all but two games. Over the last two games, the Panthers have allowed Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson to combine for 228 yards and three rushing touchdowns and Devonta Freeman and Brian Hill to combine for 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
The Seahawks lead the NFL with 70 rushes of 10 or more yards. Carolina has allowed 58 rushes of 10 or more yards, seventh most in the NFL. Carson is priced as the RB12 this weekend, but has a reasonable chance at finishing as the RB1 this weekend.
According to @PFF, here are the current yards after contact per attempt leaders at RB (Min 100 atts):
1) Derrick Henry – 4.21
2) Nick Chubb – 3.77
3) Raheem Mostert – 3.62 👈👈👈
4) Chris Carson – 3.59
5) Josh Jacobs – 3.53 #FantasyFootball
— Brad Evans (@NoisyHuevos) December 10, 2019
If I had told you prior to Week 1 that Gurley would be getting a 2018 workload in Week 15 and he would still be priced as the RB10, I’m guessing you’d think that the folks at Fanduel had been sipping on too much eggnog when determining player salaries. Gurley has rapidly been more and more ingrained in the Rams offense as of late. Gurley has seen 25, 6 (blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens), 19 and 23 carries, respectively, in the Rams last four games. He has 11 receptions in those games for 87 yards and has a rushing touchdown in all but the Ravens game.
The Rams ran 32 pass plays last night. Routes run:
M Brown 3
— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) December 9, 2019
Chris Godwin (TB): $8,400 @ Detroit Lions
I mentioned above that the injury to Evans will cause Godwin to likely see an increased role. What shouldn’t change is where Godwin lines up. He continues to dominate snaps in the slot and in doing so he’ll likely avoid Darius Slay for a good portion of this game. He’s been a model of consistency and the only question is whether we’ve even come close to seeing his ceiling.
Bucs WR Chris Godwin has seen the most targets without a single drop this season with 113. He’s second in the NFL with 1,212 receiving yards and 9 TD. In a league with many great WR, he’s planted himself amongst the best and most reliable.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) December 12, 2019
Jarvis Landry (CLE): $7,400 @ Arizona Cardinals
Landry continues to be one of the most underrated players year after year. Of course, when you’re teammates with Odell Beckham Jr. it’s easy to understand why you might not be the prime focus of attention. On the football field however, Landry has been the focus of Mayfield. Going Landry’s way this week will be that he is lining up against Byron Murphy and a banged-up . Murphy is PFF’s No. 116 highest-graded CB among 131 qualified players this season.
Over the last three weeks, Landry leads the NFL with a 34% target share, is sixth in market share of air yards with 41%, is fourth in air yards (370) and is fifth in receiving yards. With Beckham dealing with a groin injury, Landry has taken over as the go-to playmaker for Mayfield.
Zach Ertz (PHI): $6,700 @ Washington Redskins
Ertz is, and has been for the last four weeks, the primary focus of the Eagles’ passing game. With Alshon Jeffery now out for the season, Ertz is going to see insane usage in the passing game.
In the five games that Alshon Jeffery has missed or exited early, Zach Ertz is averaging 12.2 targets (27.5% of the team share), 8.4 receptions, 82.4 yards and 20.6 PPR points per game.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) December 10, 2019
New England Patriots DST: $5,000 @ Cincinnati Bengals
Doesn’t it always seem that soon after the Patriots are accused of wrongdoing they wipe the floor with their next opponent? The Bengals have been a mess all season and going up against this defense isn’t going to make them appear any better. Not to mention, the Patriots already have the all the film they’ll need on the Bengals.
Seattle DST: $4,700 @ CAR
Washington DST: $3,500 vs. PHI