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Quarterbacks
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF): $8,400 vs. Atlanta Falcons
Garoppolo might be the most expensive quarterback, but after what he did to the New Orleans Saints, fire him up. The Falcons are ranked 26th in defensive pass DVOA. The Falcons are averaging just 1.8 sacks per game on the season. Per NFL Savant, the Falcons have allowed the 12th most yards to deep passes (15 or more yards) on just 7% of their total plays.
Deep pass completion rate:
1 Jimmy Garoppolo (56%)
2 Dak Prescott (46%)
T3 Kirk Cousins, Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson (44%)
T6 Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Gardner Minshew (41%)
—
26 Jared Goff (27%)
27 Sam Darnold (24%)
T28 Josh Allen, Daniel Jones (21%)
30 Kyle Allen (20%)— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) December 10, 2019
Top-7 QBs by Net Yards* per Dropback
* (Passing Yards + Rushing Yards – Sack Yards Lost)1. Ryan Tannehill (9.66)
2. Lamar Jackson (9.38)
3. Matthew Stafford (8.44)
4. Dak Prescott (8.43)
5. Kirk Cousins (8.31)
6. Russell Wilson (8.05)
7. Jimmy Garoppolo (8.04)(wait for it)
— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) December 12, 2019
Other notables
Derek Carr (OAK): $7,300 vs. JAC
Baker Mayfield (CLE): $7,700 @ ARI
Running Backs
Chris Carson (SEA): $7,400 @ Carolina Panthers
The loss of Rashaad Penny will probably get slightly overblown, but it’s still a solid boost to Carson’s immediate stock. That’s especially true this weekend.
Chris Carson with and without Penny since 2018 🤑 pic.twitter.com/CZTHJLad6o
— Addison Hayes (@amazehayes_) December 9, 2019
To put it bluntly, the Panthers have been garbage against the run. They’ve allowed at least one rushing touchdown in all but two games. Over the last two games, the Panthers have allowed Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson to combine for 228 yards and three rushing touchdowns and Devonta Freeman and Brian Hill to combine for 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
The Seahawks lead the NFL with 70 rushes of 10 or more yards. Carolina has allowed 58 rushes of 10 or more yards, seventh most in the NFL. Carson is priced as the RB12 this weekend, but has a reasonable chance at finishing as the RB1 this weekend.
According to @PFF, here are the current yards after contact per attempt leaders at RB (Min 100 atts):
1) Derrick Henry – 4.21
2) Nick Chubb – 3.77
3) Raheem Mostert – 3.62 👈👈👈
4) Chris Carson – 3.59
5) Josh Jacobs – 3.53 #FantasyFootball— Brad Evans (@NoisyHuevos) December 10, 2019
The Rams ran 32 pass plays last night. Routes run:
Woods 31
Higbee/Gurley 24
Cooks 21
Kupp 18
Reynolds 14
Mundt 10
M Brown 3— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) December 9, 2019
In the five games that Alshon Jeffery has missed or exited early, Zach Ertz is averaging 12.2 targets (27.5% of the team share), 8.4 receptions, 82.4 yards and 20.6 PPR points per game.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) December 10, 2019
Other notables
Ian Thomas (CAR): $5,300 vs. SEA
Tyler Higbee (LAR): $5,700 @ DAL
Defense
New England Patriots DST: $5,000 @ Cincinnati Bengals
Doesn’t it always seem that soon after the Patriots are accused of wrongdoing they wipe the floor with their next opponent? The Bengals have been a mess all season and going up against this defense isn’t going to make them appear any better. Not to mention, the Patriots already have the all the film they’ll need on the Bengals.
Other notables
Seattle DST: $4,700 @ CAR
Washington DST: $3,500 vs. PHI
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Matt Giraldi is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Matt, check out his archive or follow him @Mgiraldi.