FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 16 (2019)
Drew Lock (DEN): $7,300 vs. Detroit Lions
We’re diving into the deep end of the pool right out of the gates for Week 16. After two good performances to start Lock’s NFL career, he came back to earth last week against the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course, the snowstorm during that game was eerily reminiscent of The Day After Tomorrow. Lock and the Broncos return to Denver where the weather should be a balmy 56°F with minimal to no wind.
Over the last three weeks, the Lions defense has allowed 1,011 passing yards (most in NFL) and eight passing touchdowns (second-most). Opposing quarterbacks are completing 73.6% (third-most) of their passes with a 119.4 quarterback rating (second-most) in those games. Three of the last five quarterbacks to face the Lions have thrown for over 330 yards and three touchdowns.
Russell Wilson (SEA): $8,300 vs. Arizona Cardinals
While Wilson’s bid for an MVP award will ultimately come up short this season, he’s still been an efficient and effective fantasy quarterback. Now he gets a Cardinals defense that has been atrocious against the pass. It’s also one of the highest totals on the board, which has historically been good news for Wilson:
One Freebie re: Russell Wilson
— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) December 19, 2019
If you’re paying up for a quarterback and are not taking Lamar Jackson, take the runner-up to the MVP award.
Joe Mixon (CIN): $7,800 @ Miami Dolphins
Who’s excited for a game between a 1-13 team and 3-11 team? Fantasy football players that’s who (and that’s about it if we’re being honest). The Bengals and Dolphins have a combined -342 point differential this season. A loss by the Bengals cements their place as the number one pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. A win could very threaten that chance, but don’t tell them. Over the last five games, Mixon has 100 rushing attempts for 491 yards (4.91 YPC) and three rushing touchdowns. He has also added 11 receptions on 14 targets for 103 yards.
Joe Mixon since Week 9 bye:
Week 10: 30-114-0 rushing, 2-37-0 receiving, PPR RB9
Week 11: 15-86-1 rushing, 1-17-0 receiving, RB9
Week 12: 18-79-0 rushing, 0-0-0 receiving, RB27
Week 13: 19-44-1 rushing, 4-26-0 receiving, RB16
Week 14: 23-146-1 rushing, 3-40-0 receiving, RB3
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) December 15, 2019
The Bengals have re-committed to Mixon as being a focal point of their offense since their bye and it’s paying dividends in the fantasy realm. His 143 touches and 745 scrimmage yards since Week 9 rank second in the NFL behind Christian McCaffrey. This has included games against the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Jets and New England Patriots. Now he gets an inept Dolphins defense that placed linebacker Raekwon McMillan on IR this week. In the first four games of the regular season, the Dolphins had allowed an average of 175.8 rushing yards per game. The next seven games after McMillan started playing an increased role that number decreased down to 125.7 yards per game.
The way to attack the Eagles defense this season has been through the air. Well, color me concerned about the injury to Dak Prescott‘s shoulder. While it’s simply being reported as an AC Joint, some believe it could be slightly more worrisome.
— David J. Chao (@ProFootballDoc) December 18, 2019
Of course, I’ll rely on the team itself to ultimately give the diagnosis, but as we saw this week with the Jacksonville Jaguars, teams aren’t always the bastion of trustworthiness. As for Elliott however, he has constantly and consistently fed on the Eagles defense.
Since 2017, the Eagles have allowed a total of eight 100 yard rushers. Elliott has four of those performances. If Prescott is hindered in any capacity this Sunday, Elliott’s fifth 100-yard rushing performance against the Eagles might just be a certainty.
Michael Gallup (DAL): $6,500 @ Philadelphia Eagles
Recency bias might throw you off Gallup, particularly if you see the box score from last week and wonder how he didn’t get involved in the scoring fest against the Los Angeles Rams. Gallup had only three targets and one reception for six yards. Then again, Gallup actually led all Cowboys wide receivers in targets. Prior to last week however, Gallup had 46 targets over his previous five games with no fewer than six targets per game.
This week he and the Cowboys get the porous Eagles secondary. For Gallup, he should see a lot of Ronald Darby in this matchup. Gallup lines up on the left side 50% of the time. Darby lines up on the right side of the defense approximately 65% of the time. Teammate Amari Cooper ($7,700) has also feasted on the Eagles since joining the Cowboys and is fully in play for cash considerations as well.
Again, the biggest word of caution with the Cowboys receivers will be the health of Prescott. Pay close attention to Friday’s practice report and throughout the day on Sunday for any further insight as to his health. Be prepared to pivot off the Cowboys receivers in the event bad news surfaces.
Amari Cooper to me said he figured something was wrong with Dak Prescott during the Rams game because he told Michael Gallup that he wasn't going to throw the RPO no matter what the read was. Cooper: "That is not like Dak, so I knew something was up."
— Clarence Hill Jr (@clarencehilljr) December 18, 2019
Michael Thomas (NO): $9,000 @ Tennessee Titans
Does this really need an explanation? Thomas has had double-digit targets in all but three games. He has double-digit catches in eight games and over 100 yards receiving in nine games. Four of his last five games he’s found the end zone. He’s matchup-proof at this point.
Zach Ertz (PHI): $6,900 vs. Dallas Cowboys
The proverbial “flow-chart” has led many to play tight ends against the Cowboys lately. On the season, the Cowboys are allowing the fourth-most catches to the tight end position. Last week Tyler Higbee roasted the Cowboys to the tune of 12 catches for 111 yards. The Chicago Bears tight ends two weeks ago caught seven passes for 92 yards. A big contributor has been the (lack of) health in their linebacker corps. It’s not getting healthier either:
With Luke Gifford needing surgery to repair a fractured arm, Leighton Vander Esch (neck) likely missing his fifth straight game, Joe Thomas battling a knee injury and Sean Lee dealing with pectoral and thigh injuries, the Cowboys are working out veteran… https://t.co/vxunpBoTpa
— Todd Archer (@toddarcher) December 17, 2019
Over the last six games, Ertz has had 47 receptions on 65 targets. He has double-digit targets in all but one game and has found the end zone in four of those six games. Ertz is currently tied for 11th in the NFL in red-zone targets with 15 total. In the month of December, Ertz has eight red-zone targets resulting in three touchdowns.
Baltimore Ravens D/ST: $4,500 @ Cleveland Browns
The first game didn’t quite go the way the Ravens expected. Since then, the Ravens have been dominant on defense and Baker Mayfield has been sporadic at best. Over the last four games, Mayfield has thrown five interceptions and has been sacked eight times. With Odell Beckham Jr. nursing a groin injury and the Browns wanting to play anywhere else other than Cleveland (allegedly), this one could force a lot of the Dawg Pound in Cleveland to ask for paper bags from Santa Claus.
Indianapolis DST: $4,800 vs. CAR
Seattle DST: $4,400 vs. ARI