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Monkey Knife Fight Best Bets Week 16 (2019 Fantasy Football)

Monkey Knife Fight Best Bets Week 16 (2019 Fantasy Football)

Monkey Knife Fight is one of the most exciting new names in the DFS arena. Instead of the traditional salary cap based contests, Monkey Knife Fight offers DFS players the opportunity to predict fantasy point and stat-based totals to make a profit. They have a number of different contest offerings, but perhaps the most appealing is their over/under (now called ‘more or less’) contests that allow DFS players to put their fantasy football knowledge to the test. Whether you choose the fantasy point or stat based contests you can utilize your understanding of trends, splits, injuries, form, weather, and opposing defenses to work.

Monkey Knife Fight’s lines and offerings are dynamic, which means that they are constantly changing throughout the week. This makes it important to spend 10 minutes a day identifying potential favorable opportunities to exploit. Player combinations and totals offered on Tuesday may no longer be available on Wednesday, and the same is true for the rest of the week. Identifying the top plays is a matter of searching for lines that jump off the screen. We have included three such plays for discussion. If any of these plays are still available, they should be considered for this weekend.

If you have yet to sign up for Monkey Knife Fight, be sure to take advantage of the $10 free play they are offering. Simply sign up through this link, and enter the promo code “GET10FREE”, and enjoy your first contest on your friends at FantasyPros and Monkey Knife Fight.

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3x
George Kittle (TE – SF) over 73.5 receiving yards
Todd Gurley (RB – LAR) over 62.5 rushing yards

George Kittle is averaging 74 receiving yards per game on the season. He has cleared 73.5 receiving yards in four of his last six contests. Kittle seems to be in line for a big outing against a Los Angeles Rams defense he recorded eight receptions for 103 receiving yards against back in Week 6. Kittle leads the 49ers with a 27 percent target share, and should once again be treated as the number one receiver with Emmanuel Sanders being covered by Jalen Ramsey.

Todd Gurley seems like a strong bet to cross 62.5 rushing yards against the San Francisco 49ers. Now back in the featured back role for the Rams, he should be able to cross this number with ease against a defense that allowed Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown to combine for 79 rushing yards on 17 carries in Week 6. San Francisco has allowed 4.28 yards per carry on the season. They have managed to hold opposing backfields to under 67 rushing yards just three times this season. Establishing the ground game will be priority number one for Sean McVay, which should lead to a big day on the ground for a rejuvenated Todd Gurley.

3x
DeVante Parker (WR – MIA) over 73.5 receiving yards
Joe Mixon (RB – CIN) over 81.5 rushing yards

DeVante Parker is averaging just 68.5 receiving yards on the season but has averaged 92.33 receiving yards since the former number one receiver in rookie Preston Williams was lost to a torn ACL. He has topped 73.5 receiving yards in three of his last five games. He hit 72 yards in another. Cincinnati’s receiving yards per game allowed are quite deceiving as many of the teams they have faced simply have had no need to throw the ball due to game script. With this contest carrying a three-point spread and expected to be competitive, and with the Dolphins having no running game to speak of, Ryan Fitzpatrick should air it out early and often. Parker is a strong bet to cross this total.

Joe Mixon has once again started to look like the running back that looks like one of the top five talents in the league. He has cleared 81.5 rushing yards in four of his last six contests. He is averaging a robust 100.83 rushing yards per game over that stretch. Miami is an easy matchup for Mixon to cross this number in as the Dolphins have allowed every backfield they faced to cross 82 rushing yards. They have allowed nine to go over 100 yards. Their problem has not just been volume either as their 4.58 yards per carry against is the seventh-highest mark in the league. Mixon is a great bet to cross this total.

3x
Michael Thomas (WR – NO) over 8.5 receptions
Derrick Henry (RB – TEN) over 82.5 rushing yards

Derrick Henry has a tough matchup against a stingy New Orleans Saints defense that has surrendered just 3.69 yards per carry on the season. Only four backfields have crossed 82.5 rushing yards against the Saints all season. Only one running back, Carlos Hyde did it by himself. Henry should be fed carries in this contest, but with the Titans projected to be in negative game script situations, he may have to do most of his damage early when the Titans can still focus on the time of possession and keeping Drew Brees off the field. It is hard to bet against Henry crossing what is a discounted number from what he has been listed at in recent weeks. Henry is averaging 92.5 rushing yards per game on the season and has crossed 82.5 rushing yards in each of his last five games. He is averaging 137 rushing yards per game over that span. 82.5 may take him 20 plus carries, but Henry is still a solid bet to hit the total.

Drew Brees and Michael Thomas continue to chase history. A week after Thomas played an instrumental role in Drew Brees setting the new single-game passing percentage record, Brees will look to propel Thomas to the new single-season reception record. A receiver who rarely drops his targets, Thomas is actually a strong bet to record at least 11 receptions in this contest. Due to his excellent route running, he almost always creates enough separation to snare targets he can get his hands on. This contest is projected to remain competitive and has one of the highest over/under totals of the week at 50 points. The Titans allowing 11 receptions is not unheard of either as Mike Evans torched the Titans for 11 receptions, 198 receiving yards, and two touchdowns in Week 8. Tyreek Hill hit 11 receptions for 157 receiving yards, and one touchdown in Week 10. Thomas has recorded nine or more receptions in 10 of his 14 contests this season and is an excellent bet to do so once again in Week 16.

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his profile and follow him @FantasyContext.

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