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Raheem Mostert: STILL a Must Add in Week 15

by Shane Manila | @DFF_Shane | Featured Writer
Dec 10, 2019

Raheem Mostert continued his dominant performance in Week 14 and is still available in a majority of leagues.

Remember last week when I suggested you pick up Raheem Mostert? Based on the fact that he’s still available in 49% of Yahoo fantasy leagues, not enough of you good people listened to me. Now I must insist, emphatically, that you add him to your rosters. To recap what I stated in my previous article concerning him. Every time he’s been given a moderate amount of rushing attempts, he’s produced, both this season and in the 2018 season. He easily outproduced Tevin Coleman in Week 14 and was worth adding to your roster. That’s the abridged version, but read the full article, because it’s genuinely worth it.

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Perhaps you were concerned with the return of Matt Breida and feared he would steal touches from Mostert. Though Mostert did see his rushing attempts drop from 19 last week against Baltimore to 10 against the Saints, that was due to the game flow on Sunday. The Saints and 49ers combined for 94 points, 77 pass attempts, and 703 passing yards. A week after attempting a season-low 21 passes, Jimmy Garoppolo attempted his third-most pass attempts in a game this year with 35 pass attempts against the Saints. As long as Kyle Shanahan is the head coach, the 49ers are going to use a running back by committee, that’s just what he prefers.

Mostert did see his snap-share drop from 74% the week before 60% on Sunday, but Bredia only played on 18% of snaps. A week after his 18% snap-share set a personal low for the season, Coleman’s snap share fell to a new season-low against the Saints with 16%. I don’t expect Mostert to see 70%+ of snaps unless Coleman or Breida are injured. But he still held a significant snap share over both of his backfield mates on Sunday as well as out touching both players. Mostert’s ended his day with 12 opportunities (10 rushing attempts and two targets) compared to Breida’s seven (six rushing attempts and one target) and Coleman’s three (all rushing attempts). The only rushing attempts of the day from within the 20 (one) and from within the 10-yard (one) line went Mostert’s way and he punched one in for a touchdown.

The rushing touchdown was Mostert’s second of the day. He also had a receiving touchdown on a trick play.

While you’d love for Mostert to see 20-25 touches, take comfort in the fact that he doesn’t need that level of usage to be a player that you feel comfortable starting. He scored 24.9 points this week, which is the RB4 in Week 14, and was accrued on just 12 touches. In Week 13, he saw more usage putting up 23.4 fantasy points (RB5) on 21 touches. His RB13 week in Week 12 came on just seven touches. Putting up good to great fantasy weeks on minimal touches will happen when you rank first at the RB position in yards per touch (6.5) as Mostert does. He also leads the league in yards created per attempt, third in the league in breakaway rate and 17th in the league in fantasy points per opportunity. Still not convinced that Mostert is someone you need for your championship run? Al Sacco provided a couple more facts that might finally convince you.

Mostert plays the Falcons and the Rams the next two weeks, who rank 20th and 23rd in points allowed to running backs, but it’s not as if they exactly shut down the position, surrendering 23.0 (Falcons) and 21.9 (Rams) points per game. The matchups aren’t smash spots, but I’m confident in Mostert and I will have no concerns starting him in my playoff lineups.

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Shane Manila is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Shane, check out his archive and follow him @DFF_Shane.

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