FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Conference Championship Round (2020)
Well, we’ve reached the end of multiple game slates for the 2019-20 NFL season. I sincerely hope that this article each week has helped some of you land on some good players, and I apologize for the landmine picks that have found their way on these pages from time to time. Like a weatherman, it’s difficult to be accurate 100 percent of the time. Regardless, I’d like to thank anyone and everyone who has read my articles this season. It’s been a lot of fun for me to grind this season and try to become a better cash game player. Creating a process and following through is often difficult. As Jimmy Dugan in “A League of Their Own,” said, “It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everybody would do it.” Oh wait, that’s baseball, and we can’t talk about that sport for another month (unless it’s about cheating). Did someone just say “The Bachelor”?
With just two games, the player pool dramatically shrinks, which causes a whole lot of overlap. My risk aversion is likely going to cause me to build safe and balanced lineups this week in cash games. Of course, when looking through the salaries it’s easy to see that’s not the easiest task in the world. The key will ultimately be choosing the right high-priced studs this week since the margin for error is next to nil.
Here are the players I’m considering for my cash game lineup for the Conference Championship Round of the playoffs:
— John Glennon (@glennonsports) January 16, 2020
Aaron Rodgers (GB): $8,000 at San Francisco 49ers
Pricing for the remaining three quarterbacks is fairly tight, and because of that, Rodgers stands out as the most likely quarterback to throw for more than 100 yards. The last time these teams met, the 49ers had their way with the Packers’ quarterback. Rodgers was sacked five times and lost a fumble. My guess is that, while Rodgers is still in a very difficult situation, anything and everything that could go wrong did go wrong the first time out. Expect him to be a bit better this go-around.
Week 12 Issues vs SF
🔸LaFleur used same 11 personnel on EVERY 3rd & 4th down. Worst 3rd down game of Rodgers career (2/8 14yds, 1-15 Conversions)
🔸Aaron Jones – 0 catches, 1 target
🔸Garoppolo Play Action: 6/6 122yds, 1 TD. 158.3 Rating
🔸RT Alex Light for Bulaga#GBvsSF
— Ben Fennell (@BenFennell_NFL) January 16, 2020
- Ryan Tannehill (TEN): $7,700 @ KC
Derrick Henry (TEN): $9,800 at Kansas City Chiefs
Thus far in the playoffs, Henry has run for 377 yards on 64 attempts. According to Pro Football Focus, 299 of those rushing yards have come after contact. Henry is having a stretch right now that isn’t just good, it’s among the best of all time.
Derrick Henry's last eight games:
1,273 rushing yards
Henry has set a new all-time record for most rushing yards in any 8-game stretch in NFL history.
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) January 13, 2020
One key point to watch for today and leading up to game time is whether Chiefs defensive lineman Chris Jones will play. He missed last week and hasn’t practiced yet leading up to this game. If Jones is out, that will greatly hinder Kansas City’s ability to contain Henry in the run game.
Damien Williams (KC): $7,600 vs. Tennessee Titans
Last week Williams was a key catalyst for the Chiefs to erase a 24 point deficit in the first half. Expect more of the same this week against the Titans. In the first meeting between these teams, Williams had 24 touches for 109 yards. With LeSean McCoy still not practicing, this backfield once again should be all Williams, all the time.
Damien Williams over his past five full games played…
Div Round: 97% snaps, 14/14 RB touches, 26.8 PPR points
Week 17: 71%, 16/21 touches, 31.4 points
Week 16: 53%, 19/31 touches, 18.2 points
Week 10: 73%, 24/29 touches, 13.9 points
Week 9: 73%, 14/19 touches, 20.8 points.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) January 13, 2020
Davante Adams (GB): $8,300 at San Francisco 49ers
Pay attention to the starting lineups when they are released for this one. While Adams lines up all over the field on offense, he has spent a majority of the time lined up on the left side of the field, particularly since his return from injury. That would normally mean that he’d see a lot of
Tyreek Hill was targeted a career-high 19 times when the Chiefs played the Titans earlier this season. Adoree' Jackson shadowed him on perimeter routes and Logan Ryan handled the slot. Hill posted an 11-157-1 line.
— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) January 13, 2020
Travis Kelce (KC): $7,800 vs. Tennessee Titans
In a two-game slate, there’s going to be a lot of similar builds. Two of the best tight ends in the NFL are playing this weekend, both of whom are slightly banged up. The Titans have allowed tight ends to beat them this season, including Kelce, who caught seven passes for 75 yards and a touchdown against them earlier this year.
First we showed you vs man. Now see an example of how the #Chiefs isolate TE Travis Kelce can get open vs zone when he is isolated on the backside of the formation. This is vs. the #Titans defense in dime. pic.twitter.com/MAaN7l79gt
— TURRON DAVENPORT (@TDavenport_NFL) January 15, 2020
Jonnu Smith (TEN): $5,600 vs. KC
Spending down this week at tight end with Smith gives you a chance to spend up on cash game studs like Henry and Mahomes. The thing about Smith is, he’s actually in a positive matchup against the Chiefs, and he’s been performing admirably as of late.
Titans TE Jonnu Smith is an absolute monster
Yards per target: 9.98 (No. 2 among 41 qualified TEs)
Yards per rush: 19.5 (No. 1)
Yards per route run: 1.78 (Tied for No. 8)
Yards after the catch per reception: 7.8 (No. 2) pic.twitter.com/dlIWI5vHe8
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) January 15, 2020
- George Kittle (SF): $7,000 vs. Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers DST: $4,600 vs. Green Bay Packers
Last week, the 49ers’ defense returned to full strength, and the results were pretty easy to predict. The fact of the matter is that this defense is, and has been, one of the best defenses all season long. As mentioned last week as well, the addition of Dee Ford bolsters the pass rush, and it showed against the Vikings. Once again the 49ers’ defense is the cream of the crop.
- Green Bay DST: $4,000 @ SF