Well, we’ve reached the end of multiple game slates for the 2019-20 NFL season. I sincerely hope that this article each week has helped some of you land on some good players, and I apologize for the landmine picks that have found their way on these pages from time to time. Like a weatherman, it’s difficult to be accurate 100 percent of the time. Regardless, I’d like to thank anyone and everyone who has read my articles this season. It’s been a lot of fun for me to grind this season and try to become a better cash game player. Creating a process and following through is often difficult. As Jimmy Dugan in “A League of Their Own,” said, “It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everybody would do it.” Oh wait, that’s baseball, and we can’t talk about that sport for another month (unless it’s about cheating). Did someone just say “The Bachelor”?
With just two games, the player pool dramatically shrinks, which causes a whole lot of overlap. My risk aversion is likely going to cause me to build safe and balanced lineups this week in cash games. Of course, when looking through the salaries it’s easy to see that’s not the easiest task in the world. The key will ultimately be choosing the right high-priced studs this week since the margin for error is next to nil.
Here are the players I’m considering for my cash game lineup for the Conference Championship Round of the playoffs:
Get a $5 bonus when you make your first deposit at FanDuel
Quarterbacks
#Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes had a passer rating of 117.9 against the blitz (107 pass attempts) this season, per @IE_NFL — second-best best of 35 qualified NFL QBs.
–The league average is 88.7.#Titans— John Glennon (@glennonsports) January 16, 2020
Aaron Rodgers (GB): $8,000 at San Francisco 49ers
Pricing for the remaining three quarterbacks is fairly tight, and because of that, Rodgers stands out as the most likely quarterback to throw for more than 100 yards. The last time these teams met, the 49ers had their way with the Packers’ quarterback. Rodgers was sacked five times and lost a fumble. My guess is that, while Rodgers is still in a very difficult situation, anything and everything that could go wrong did go wrong the first time out. Expect him to be a bit better this go-around.
Week 12 Issues vs SF
🔸LaFleur used same 11 personnel on EVERY 3rd & 4th down. Worst 3rd down game of Rodgers career (2/8 14yds, 1-15 Conversions)
🔸Aaron Jones – 0 catches, 1 target
🔸Garoppolo Play Action: 6/6 122yds, 1 TD. 158.3 Rating
🔸RT Alex Light for Bulaga#GBvsSF
— Ben Fennell (@BenFennell_NFL) January 16, 2020
Other notables
- Ryan Tannehill (TEN): $7,700 @ KC
Running Backs
Derrick Henry (TEN): $9,800 at Kansas City Chiefs
Thus far in the playoffs, Henry has run for 377 yards on 64 attempts. According to Pro Football Focus, 299 of those rushing yards have come after contact. Henry is having a stretch right now that isn’t just good, it’s among the best of all time.
Derrick Henry's last eight games:
203 carries
1,273 rushing yards
6.27 YPC
11 TDsHenry has set a new all-time record for most rushing yards in any 8-game stretch in NFL history.
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) January 13, 2020
One key point to watch for today and leading up to game time is whether Chiefs defensive lineman Chris Jones will play. He missed last week and hasn’t practiced yet leading up to this game. If Jones is out, that will greatly hinder Kansas City’s ability to contain Henry in the run game.
Damien Williams (KC): $7,600 vs. Tennessee Titans
Last week Williams was a key catalyst for the Chiefs to erase a 24 point deficit in the first half. Expect more of the same this week against the Titans. In the first meeting between these teams, Williams had 24 touches for 109 yards. With LeSean McCoy still not practicing, this backfield once again should be all Williams, all the time.
Damien Williams over his past five full games played…
Div Round: 97% snaps, 14/14 RB touches, 26.8 PPR points
Week 17: 71%, 16/21 touches, 31.4 points
Week 16: 53%, 19/31 touches, 18.2 points
Week 10: 73%, 24/29 touches, 13.9 points
Week 9: 73%, 14/19 touches, 20.8 points.— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) January 13, 2020
Other notables
- Aaron Jones (GB): $7,800 at SF
- Raheem Mostert (SF): $5,800 vs. GB
Wide Receivers
Davante Adams (GB): $8,300 at San Francisco 49ers
Pay attention to the starting lineups when they are released for this one. While Adams lines up all over the field on offense, he has spent a majority of the time lined up on the left side of the field, particularly since his return from injury. That would normally mean that he’d see a lot of Ahkello Witherspoon, but after being dusted early on against the Minnesota Vikings last week, he was benched for Emmanuel Moseley. Should Witherspoon start once again, even a short time on the field could prove to be very good for Adams. Regardless, Adams fared pretty well in the first meeting between the two teams and will be relied upon heavily if the Packers want to upset the 49ers on the road.