Dynasty Players to Buy Post Free Agency (2020 Fantasy Football)
The 2020 free agency period was one of the wildest we have seen in years. Quarterbacks hopped around, big-name running backs were cut and found new homes, and elite receivers got traded.
This is a list of players who are likely to pay dividends in dynasty as a result of free agency.
Kyler Murray (ARI)
The reigning offensive rookie of the year is already amazing in his own right. Kliff Kingsbury demonstrated impressive offensive creativity in year one as he developed his Air Raid scheme with success. Now the Cardinals have acquired one of the greatest receivers in the league in DeAndre Hopkins.
A perennial top-10 wide receiver, Hopkins brings an electric WR1 to the Cardinals’ offense. The last piece of the puzzle for Murray to take a big leap forward lies in the offensive line, as the unit ranked 26th out of the 32 teams in sack rate. Arizona will need to shore up protection throughout the rest of the offseason and the draft, and doing so will help Murray reach his maximum potential.
Baker Mayfield (CLE)
The biggest boost to Mayfield’s stock here is protection. Jack Conklin is such a massive improvement to the Browns’ tackle position and many reputable mock drafts have them taking an OT with their first round pick. Austin Hooper also provides some protection along with being an additional weapon in an already star-studded lineup that includes Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Kareem Hunt, Nick Chubb, and David Njoku.
Coach Stefanski notoriously prefers 12 personnel groupings (two tight end sets) and the acquisition of Hooper reinforces this. Their extra blocking should give Mayfield more time to throw, and he’ll be able to hit them quickly on short throws.
After a dynamite rookie season and a sophomore slump, there should be no more excuses for Mayfield to rebound, as the Browns went all in to give him the pieces he needs to succeed.
Miles Sanders (PHI)
The Eagles escaping free agency without signing a significant threat to Sanders’ role is a major boost to his stock. With glaring draft needs in the secondary and at wide receiver, they won’t be spending much capital on a running back two years in a row.
Jordan Howard leaves behind 129 touches, and we all saw how much more the Eagles involved Sanders after he got hurt. Sanders also had the biggest in-season improvement in his Yards Created through Analytics profile, as he went from negative to positive yards above expected after Week 10. It seems like the good vibes will keep going as Sanders remains the alpha dog in Philadelphia.
Todd Gurley (ATL)
*Disclaimer – for contending rosters only*
This is not a long-term outlook, but rather it’s a value outlook. Gurley has been consistently valued around an early second or a late first-round rookie draft pick in dynasty over the last year. Some recent trades show likewise, and I personally have purchased him for two 2020 second mid-round picks in one league.
Concerns over his “80-year-old knees” have many owners thinking that they would rather have a dart throw on the 18th rookie off the board instead of the starting running back for the Falcons. Sure, we can say he only has a year or two left in him with RB2 upside, but that kind of view is exactly what could make him accessible for a championship roster in 2020 and 2021.
The Falcons have five(!) former first round picks starting on their offensive line, two of which were rookies last year, so we can expect improvement in year two. They also had a plethora of injuries to their line yet again in 2019. Health, pedigree, and returning Pro Bowlers now litter its makeup. You want the back who will be running behind it.
Allen Robinson (CHI) and Anthony Miller (CHI)
The Bears’ top receiving duo in Robinson and Miller are both buys for the same reason, but they come at very different prices. That reason is that Foles is simply an upgrade over Mitchell Trubisky. Out of all quarterbacks with at least 100 pass attempts, Trubisky ranked fifth worst in the league in IQR. Who did he finish close to? Devlin Hodges, Eli Manning, and Kyle Allen. Woof.
Robinson already solidified himself as a top-10 wide receiver, and that was with one of the poorest-graded quarterbacks of the year. He seems to be slightly underrated each year, and the improvement at quarterback will only help his value.
Anthony Miller is a lesser-known commodity, but he should also see improvement as he ventures into the breakout year for wide receivers, year three. Things he improved on drastically last year from his rookie campaign were target share (10.4% to 14.8%), catch rate (78% to 84%), and yards (423 to 656). Everything he’s done is trending the right direction.
Blake Jarwin (DAL)
Randall Cobb’s 83 targets and Jason Witten’s 83 targets are now up for grabs since both are now out of Dallas. Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup should retain their respective roles and already have healthy market shares. So who gets the remaining work?
Blake Jarwin. He’s one of the candidates with the best shot of soaking up short to intermediate work, including these 166 vacated targets in his area of the field. We don’t know how much they will feature him, but the upside is undeniably tantalizing.
Thanks for reading and stay golden! If you like what you learned, follow me @DavidZach16 for more interesting stats and tidbits throughout the year.