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FanDuel MLB DFS Strategy Advice: Saturday (7/25)

Jul 25, 2020

Matt Olson’s power cannot be overstated, and he displayed it on Friday night with a walk-off grand slam.

Throughout this piece, I will be referencing Win Probability and Implied Run Total statistics that are generated using the Over/Under and Lines at BettingPros.com.

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Value Plays

Pitcher

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Urias (LAD) vs. Giants $7,600 5/5 Low
Wainwright (STL) vs. Pirates $7,700 5/5 Medium
McCullers Jr. (HOU) vs. Mariners $8,000 5/5 Medium

 

Urias gets to face the Giants in a game where the home team has a 75% win probability and the visitors have an implied run total of 2.06. He is pitching for the biggest favorite on the slate, and his price tag is less than most studs. Wainwright is also at home in a plus matchup, and his Cardinals are -175 against the visiting Pirates. Wainwright will also benefit from being in a pitcher’s park. Let’s be honest, anyone starting at home for the Astros against a soft Mariners lineup would get consideration here. McCullers Jr. is the beneficiary this time, and Houston is a strong -275 favorite in the game.

Catcher/1B

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Votto (CIN) vs. Tigers $3,000 4/5 Low
Sano (MIN) @ White Sox $3,000 3/5 Medium
Olson (OAK) vs. Angels $3,200 3/5 Medium

 

FanDuel does not require players to roster a catcher, and we will oblige with our suggestions here. Votto had a monster opening day, going 2 for 4 with a HR and 2 runs scored. He will continue to have opportunities for production as he hits second in a strong Reds lineup. The Twins also sport a dangerous lineup, and Sano benefits from hitting in the middle of a batting order that just posted 10 runs on opening day. Olson’s power cannot be overstated, and he displayed it on Friday night with a walk-off grand slam.

2B

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Hernandez (LAD) vs. Giants $2,900 5/5 Low
Kingery (PHI) vs. Marlins $2,700 4/5 Low
Wong (CIN) vs. Pirates $2,500 3/5 Medium

 

Why not stick with the hot bat? Hernandez is 5 for 10 with 5 RBIs and 4 runs scored on the young season. He continues to face a weak Giants pitching staff on Saturday. Kingery will face a lefty in Caleb Smith on Saturday. He had an .879 OPS against Southpaws in 2019. Wong will likely lead off for the Cardinals once again, where he will have opportunities to be driven in by the likes of Goldschmidt, DeJong, and Carpenter.

3B

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Fletcher (LAA) @ Athletics $2,500 3/5 Medium
Diaz (TB) vs. Blue Jays $3,000 3/5 Medium
Turner (LAD) vs. Giants $3,100 5/5 Low

 

Fletcher and Diaz hit leadoff for their respective teams. Fletcher has the luxury of hitting in front of Mike Trout, of course. Turner has plenty of power, and he will get to face a Giants pitching staff that has surrendered a combined 17 runs to the Dodgers through its first two games of the season.

SS

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Anderson (CWS) vs. Twins $2,900 3/5 Low
Correa (HOU) vs. Mariners $3,200 5/5 Low
Bichette (TOR) @ Rays $3,000 3/5 Medium

 

Anderson leads off for a strong White Sox lineup. While Hill is an above-average starter, Anderson still has the opportunity to reach base and be driven in by the hitters behind him. Correa hits for the heart of an Astros order that calls home to a park that sees players hit 10% more home runs. Bichette is another budget leadoff man coming off a solid 2019 campaign where he slashed .311/.358/.571.

OF

NAME (Team) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Jimenez (White Sox) vs. Twins $3,000 3/5 Low
Laureano (Athletics) vs. Angels $2,800 3/5 Low
Benintendi (Red Sox) vs. Orioles $2,700 5/5 Low

 

Jimenez is part of that powerful White Sox batting order that has such high hopes this season. He is coming off a rookie season in which he clocked 31 HRs and sported an .828 OPS. Laureano was locked in on opening day, as he powered the Athletics offense with a HR, 2B, BB, 3 R, and 2 RBIs. His Athletics have a solid 4.95 implied run total for Saturday’s home contest against the Angels. With the departure of Mookie Betts, Benintendi slides into the leadoff spot for the Red Sox. The Boston offense did not seem to miss Betts too much on opening day when they scored 13 runs.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Clevinger, Indians ($10,400)
  • Castillo, Reds ($9,800)
  • Wheeler, Phillies ($9,000)
  • Trout, Angels ($4,500)
  • Bellinger, Dodgers ($4,400)

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Darvish, Cubs ($9,300)
  • Acuña Jr., Braves ($4,300)
  • Harper, Phillies ($3,900)
  • Alonso, Mets ($3,900)
  • Mondesi, Royals ($2,900)

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Whether you’re new to fantasy baseball or a seasoned pro, our Fantasy Baseball 101: Strategy Tips & Advice page is for you. You can get started with our Sabermetrics Glossary or head to more advanced strategy — like Maximizing Your Potential in Multi-Lineup Contests — to learn more.

Shane Bryant is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Shane, check out his archive and follow him on Twitter @ShaneBryant31.

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