Dan Harris’s Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings (2020)
If you follow me on Twitter, then you know my wife is obsessed with ice cream. Generally, she prefers a medium Royal Reese’s Brownie Blizzard with chocolate ice cream instead of vanilla from Dairy Queen. Don’t come home if you forgot to specify that it needs to be chocolate. It doesn’t end well.
But wherever the ice cream comes from, she’s particular. If they don’t have her flavor, or if they don’t have a topping she craves, then she’s out. And in a bad mood. And I’m probably sleeping in the spare room even though, as I have repeatedly stressed, I have no control over what the ice cream shop offers, dear.
But me? Meh, I don’t care. If the shop is out of coffee Oreo, then moose tracks works fine. Or pistachio. Or salted caramel.
There are a million choices. Of course, I like some much better than others. But if that little kid in front of me is about to order the last of the mocha chocolate chip that I wanted, unlike my wife, I’m not going to start going on and on about how I love rum raisin in the hope that he hears me and chooses something different. If there’s a huge line on a hot day, and the shop is running low on flavors, I’m not too worried about it. I can make it work.
And now you understand my approach to the wide receiver position in fantasy football. Of course, I prefer coffee toffee to plain vanilla. Of course, there’s a cutoff where I think to myself that I really hope they at least have chocolate peanut butter or cookies and cream left, or I’ll have to settle for plain chocolate chip and just be okay with it.
But I can’t go wrong. There are a million flavors of ice cream available. I’ll get some combination that works.
That’s especially true because, well, you have to recognize that you’ll just have a preference for some flavors that others won’t quite share. For me, that’s usually a combination of A.J. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Anthony Miller, Henry Ruggs, and Allen Lazard.
I’ve written about Brown numerous times, but long story short, I think he’ll largely cancel out his regression in efficiency with increased volume. And although I don’t love rookie receivers this year, Lamb should gobble up the vast majority of the 83 targets vacated by Randall Cobb, and Ruggs’ incredible speed and ability to turn short passes into long gains should largely make up for his inability to gain chemistry with his quarterbacks in preseason games.
As for Miller, his strong finish to last year (34 catches for 433 yards over his final six games) and positive touchdown regression should allow him to easily surpass his draft price. And I’m just going to be willing to take my chances on Lazard, given that he’ll be the No. 2 receiver in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense and offer immense upside should anything happen to Davante Adams.
As for those I find myself avoiding, I can’t stress enough how much I like D.J. Moore and his fantasy value. The difference between wide receivers in the 10-20 range is incredibly small, but Moore simply falls slightly behind some other similar names. There’s not much more to it.
As for Jarvis Landry, Brandin Cooks, and Deebo Samuel, it’s almost entirely health-related. Nothing too fancy. As for Christian Kirk, well, I guess I just do not see drafting him close to WR3 range. Yes, he battled through injuries last year, but there’s no chance he sees close to a 24% target share like last year with DeAndre Hopkins on the field, and he wasn’t targeted near the end zone much. Particularly with Andy Isabella getting positive reviews, it’s hard for me to see a path to ever starting him with regularity.
ADP – Average Draft Position