Skip to main content

DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Friday (8/21)

Aug 21, 2020

It’s a bit strange seeing the same teams on every slate but it’s giving us a great idea on who to ride for DFS. There are a few elite options but tons of great value plays. Hopefully, this article can help you select the right ones, so, let’s go ahead and get into it!

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

Create DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Value Plays

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Luka Doncic (DAL) vs. LAC $10,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jamal Murray (DEN) vs. UTA $7,000 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Shake Milton (PHI) vs. BOS $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

__________

  • Doncic is flirting with a triple-double average since entering the Orlando bubble and is simply hard to fade with the way he’s balling right now.
  • Murray is too good of a player to be sitting at $7,000.
  • Milton is starting at point guard for Ben Simmons and that alone makes him a nice value at $4,500.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Marcus Smart (BOS) vs. PHI $5,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Josh Richardson (PHI) vs. BOS $4,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Seth Curry (DAL) vs. LAC $3,900 ⭐⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Smart entered the starting lineup for Gordon Hayward in Game 2 and should continue to see more minutes, shots, and usage in his absence.
  • Richardson has been much better recently and is too good to be below $5,000 with Simmons out.
  • Curry has scored at least 23 DK points in each of the first two games of this series while averaging over 30 minutes a game. That’s amazing for a player below $4,000.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Joe Ingles (UTA) vs. DEN $5,700 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL) vs. LAC $4,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Torrey Craig (DEN) vs. UTA $3,500 ⭐⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Ingles has been great in this series and even better against Denver all year. In fact, he’s averaging 30 fantasy points per game in five meetings against the Nuggets for the season.
  • DFS is simply too good to be this cheap. We’re talking about a guy who’s averaging nearly 30 fantasy points per game in 11 of his last 13 outings.
  • Craig regularly plays 30 minutes as a defensive stopper for Denver, and you can fall into value at $3,500 with that workload alone.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Marcus Morris (LAC) vs. DAL $5,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Royce O’Neale (UTA) vs. DEN $4,100 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Maxi Kleber (DAL) vs. LAC $3,900 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

__________

  • It appears Morris is going to be a big part of this team in this series, averaging 34 DK points per game across 34 minutes of action in the first two games.
  • O’Neale’s price is hard to understand. After dropping 38 fantasy points in Game 2, he’s now averaging over 24 fantasy points per game across his last 19 contests.
  • Kleber has been covering Kawhi Leonard a lot, playing at least 33 minutes in each of the first two games of this series. That’s all you can hope for from a player below $4K.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Daniel Theis (BOS) vs. PHI $4,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Montrezl Harrell (LAC) vs. DAL $4,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Boban Marjanovic (DAL) vs. LAC $3,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Theis has been struggling a bit but anybody who can drop 30-plus as a starting center is in play at $4,300.
  • Harrell was a $7,000 player at times this season and he should get closer to 25 minutes of action here. That’s plenty for him to produce at $4,100.
  • Boban is always risky but he’s one of the best per-minute producers in the NBA. If he plays double-digit minutes, he’ll obliterate his price tag.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Luka Doncic (DAL) $10,800: You probably could have seen this coming with the early write-up of Doncic. Since entering the bubble, The Don is averaging 31.1 points, 9.6 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game. That even includes one where he was rested and played just 13 minutes, making him the most dangerous player in fantasy basketball right now.
  • Joel Embiid (PHI) $9,800: Embiid is an absolute force and Boston has no answer for him. He’s now averaging 48 DK points per game in five meetings with the Celtics this season and has at least 53 fantasy points in both games of this series.
  • Kawhi Leonard (LAC) $9,600: Leonard is doing everything he can to match Doncic, scoring at least 41 DK points in eight-straight games while averaging 57 DK points per game in this series.
  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) $9,300: Jokic has owned Utah all year, to the tune of 60 DraftKings points per game across five fixtures.
  • Pascal Siakam (TOR) $7,300: This price is just strange. Siakam is the only player this cheap with a 41-point average, with most guys around him sitting between 30-35 fantasy points per game. Not to mention, he’s matching that 41-point average in five matchups with the Nets this season.

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Donovan Mitchell (UTA) $9,300: Mitchell has been amazing recently and it’s gotten his price to the highest I can remember. That makes him risky but with Mike Conley now back, it makes him a fade for me.
  • Ben Simmons (PHI) $8,400: Simmons remains out because of a knee issue.
  • Paul George (LAC) $8,300: George can go off anytime he plays but it worries me that he’s only surpassed 45 DK points once in his last nine games. You need that at $8,300 and it’s hard to gamble on someone who’s struggling
  • Tobias Harris (PHI) $7,500: Harris is another guy with a limited ceiling. He’s only surpassed 40 DK points twice in his last seven games and that’s what he needs to reach value at $7,500. It’s no surprise when you consider that Boston allows the fewest fantasy points in the league to opposing PFs.
  • Al Horford (PHI) $6,200: Horford hasn’t played at this $6,200 price tag since Embiid was out. Don’t use him against one of the best defenses in basketball.

Check out today’s NBA Sharpshooter from DraftKings >>

Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.

Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel

What's your take? Leave a comment

Build winning DFS lineups

Use the FantasyPros Lineup Optimizer to build winning lineups based on expert projections.