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FanDuel MLB DFS Strategy Advice: Saturday (8/1)

Aug 1, 2020

As postponements continue to mount throughout the MLB, a typically full Saturday slate is a little smaller this week. However, we still have 12 games on the docket for Saturday’s All Day slate over at FanDuel.

Throughout this piece, I will reference implied team totals and winning probabilities that are generated from our consensus odds over at BettingPros.com.

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Editor’s Note: Today’s Cardinals/Brewers game has been postponed due to positive COVID-19 tests.

Pitcher

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Trevor Bauer (CIN) @ DET $11,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Tyler Glasnow (TB) @ BAL $9,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Tyler Chatwood (CHC) vs PIT $8,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Kenta Maeda (MIN) vs CLE $7,900 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Jack Flaherty (STL) @ MIL $10,300 ⭐⭐ High

 

It seems too easy to pick on the Tigers, but they come into Saturday’s action with 80 strikeouts as a ball club on the young season. That mark is the second-highest in baseball, and they face Trevor Bauer, who recorded 13 punchouts against Detroit just last week. Bauer is worth his price on Saturday.

Because it had been a while since we last saw him pitch, people may have forgotten that Glasnow was arguably the most dominant pitcher in baseball for the first half of 2019. In his 12 starts, he posted a 1.78 ERA and an 11.3 K/9 average. The long offseason may have benefited him the most. Though he only went four innings in his first 2020 outing, he still recorded nine punchouts in that start. He has the opportunity to be efficient against a weak Baltimore lineup.

Chatwood was outstanding last time out, as he allowed just one earned run and three hits on his way to eight strikeouts and a quality start. He faces a Pirates lineup that is hitting .171, the worst team batting average in the big leagues.

Maeda picked up the win against the White Sox as he went five innings and allowed just two earned runs to go along with six punchouts. He will be up against a Cleveland lineup that is averaging just over three runs scored per game, which is the third-lowest mark in the majors. The Indians also strike out at a rate higher than the league average.

C/1B

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Luke Voit (NYY) vs BOS $3,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jose Abreu (CWS) @ KC $3,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Ty France (SD) @ COL $2,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

 

Always a threat to hit a home run, Voit provides plenty of upside for fantasy owners on Saturday. The Yankees come in with a 5.94 implied team total, which is second only to the Padres playing at Coors Field. With a grand slam already this week, Voit has plenty of RBI opportunities hitting in the powerful New York lineup.

The White Sox have an implied team total of 5.64 runs as they face off against Ronald Bolanos of the Royals. Abreu figures to slot in as the third hitter in a White Sox batting order that has the fifth-best team batting average in the majors.

Don’t look now, but the Padres come into Saturday’s action with the best record in the National League. They also have the highest implied team total for Saturday’s slate, as the Padres are favorites in a game with an Over/Under of 12.5 runs. The Padres have done their damage this week without their usual first baseman, Eric Hosmer, who is dealing with multiple ailments. Assuming that he misses the lineup once again, the right-handed France will have a great opportunity against southpaw Kyle Freeland of the Rockies.

2B

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Robinson Cano (NYM) @ ATL $2,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jurickson Profar (SD) @ COL $3,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) vs BOS $3,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

While he isn’t the player he once was, Cano has been solid thus far in 2020. He is hitting .360 on the year and recently clocked his first home run. He also gets to face a RHP on Saturday that he did well against in 2019.

Once again, we are targeting hitters who are playing at Coors Field. Profar is the second baseman for the hot-hitting Padres. He should stay in the lineup as a switch-hitter facing a lefty, and he sported much better numbers against southpaws in 2019.

I know he’s priced high. However, I still do not think he is priced high enough. LeMahieu usually hits leadoff for the Yankees, and he is off to a 10-for-22 start to his 2020 campaign. As mentioned before, the Yankees come in with the second-highest implied run total on the slate, and LeMahieu is as likely as anyone on the Bronx Bombers to factor into the scoring.

3B

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Jeff McNeil (NYM)  @ ATL $2,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Yandy Diaz (TB) @ BAL $2,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Kyle Seager (SEA) vs OAK $3,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

Like Cano, McNeil hits better against right-handed pitchers than lefties. After getting the night off against a southpaw on Friday, he should be back in the lineup to take on Touki Toussaint of the Braves, who allowed six earned runs and a 3.00 WHIP in a short outing against the Rays last week.

Though he has been off to a slow start in 2020, I like Diaz’s chances to rebound on Saturday. The Rays come in with an implied team total of 5.37 runs. They are also set to face a lefty in Wade LeBlanc of the Orioles. Diaz posted a .976 OPS against southpaws in 2019.

Seager has been off to a solid start in his tenth big league season. The veteran has already posted eight RBIs and five runs scored so far in 2020. The Mariners have been a surprisingly offensive team, as they are in the top half of the majors in runs scored per game and team batting average.

SS

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Adalberto Mondesi (KC) vs CWS $2,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Tim Anderson (CWS) @ KC $3,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Corey Seager (LAD) @ ARI $3,300 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

It’s well known that Mondesi is a huge threat on the basepaths. I like his chances to reach base against Gio Gonzalez of the White Sox, who posted a 2.67 WHIP in his first outing of 2019. With steals worth the same as a double on FanDuel, chasing the upside of a potential bag-swiper is never a bad option.

Anderson is off to a hot start in 2020, posting a .333 batting average to go along with seven runs scored. The White Sox come in with an implied team total of 5.64 runs, and Anderson figures to be a part of the scoring action. He did leave Friday’s game early, so stay tuned to make sure he is in the lineup on Saturday.

Just like his brother, Corey Seager has been off to a great start in his 2020 campaign. The lefty is hitting .344 with seven runs scored and six runs batted in. He has also belted three home runs already. He gets to face a right-handed pitcher on Saturday, and he finds himself in the middle of a Dodgers lineup that is always a threat to score.

OF

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Ramon Laureano (OAK) @ SEA $3,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Wil Myers (SD) @ COL $3,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) vs TEX $3,000 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

I wrote him up last week, and he continued to hit well throughout the week, so we’re going back to the well here. Laureano is hitting .348 on the season to go along with six runs and four RBIs. He is a cheaper option to get a piece of an Oakland offense that should have success on Saturday.

We continue to stack Padres here. I think it is a great day to stack players anyway, so why not target players in a game with such a high over/under total at Coors Field? Myers is the outfielder of choice here, as he already has five extra-base hits on the young season. He also gets to face a southpaw on Saturday, and he posted a .877 OPS against lefties in 2019.

Very little was expected of the San Francisco Giants in 2020. However, Yastrzemski has been an extremely pleasant surprise for the Bay Area. In his eight games, he has posted a .416 batting average, 1.321 OPS and seven walks. His price has not caught up because he is either being punished for being in a weak lineup or because he is not expected to keep this up. I’m deciding to stick with one of the hottest bats in baseball.

Three Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Trevor Story (SS – COL) $4,300: Story is hitting .348 with three long balls already, and he is home at Coors against a lefty pitcher.
  • Manny Machado (3B – SD) $3,800: Can you tell which game I like a lot? Machado will also benefit from facing a southpaw in this one.
  • Trevor Bauer (P – CIN) $11,200: His team has one of the highest winning probabilities on the slate, and he should lead all pitchers in strikeouts today.

Three Notable Players to Fade

  • Carlos Carrasco (P – CLE) $9,400: Cleveland has struggled to support their excellent pitching staff this season. I prefer Carrasco’s counterpart in this one, and Carrasco’s price is too high for a pitcher that is not a favorite.
  • J.D. Martinez (OF – BOS) $3,900: Martinez is hitting just .219 and has yet to hit a home run this year. I don’t think he gets his first one against Tanaka in the Bronx.
  • Alex Bregman (3B – HOU) $3,900: He struggled mightily this week and is hitting .179 on the season. Canning is an under-the-radar bad matchup for hitters as well.

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Whether you’re new to fantasy baseball or a seasoned pro, our Fantasy Baseball 101: Strategy Tips & Advice page is for you. You can get started with our Sabermetrics Glossary or head to more advanced strategy – like Maximizing Your Potential in Multi-Lineup Contests – to learn more.

Shane Bryant is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Shane, check out his archive and follow him on Twitter @ShaneBryant31.

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