Tracking dramatic shifts in pricing trends from FanDuel DFS gives us a glimpse of players on the rise or fading away. These extreme shifts means the market is moving in ways that naturally create more room for error in the price point. It’s our job to find out if there’s an edge to be had and exploit it or if it is indeed fair value. Below are some of the players that have moved the most from last week in pricing and my take on them as a possible play or fade this week.

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Quarterbacks

Nick Foles (CHI) vs. IND $7,100 (+$800)
Foles took over for a struggling Trubisky in Week 3 to rally a miraculous comeback win and a three-touchdown effort against the Falcons. Named the starter going forward, he faces a Colts defense that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to the position while boasting six interceptions in the last two games. This game is currently tied for the lowest Sunday total of the week at 45. All these trends have me skeptical of a repeat performance.

Justin Herbert (LAC): at TB $6,700 (-$500)
Herbert has now thrown for over 300 yards in both starts, peppering offensive playmakers Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler with targets in the process. His turnovers proved too costly to overcome, and he now gets a Tampa Bay defense that just handled the Broncos — albeit their backup quarterbacks. The drop in price is warranted, and I believe he is valued appropriately here in a tough matchup.

Running Backs

Austin Ekeler (LAC) at TB $6,800 (-$600)
Ekeler had his breakout party last week, but he still falls hard in price due to the increased opponent defensive strength from the Panthers to Bucs. While it’s true that the Bucs have allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs thus far, they have also allowed the third-most receptions and fourth-most yards. Ekeler’s snap share increases sharply in games they are trailing. The Chargers are projected as seven-point underdogs, and we just showed why the Bucs are more susceptible to backs who do work in the receiving game — wheels up for Ekeler this week.

Jonathan Taylor (IND) at CHI $7,500 (+$800)
Taylor just had an underwhelming performance last week with 13 points, and he now gets a normally tough Bears unit. His price increase feels a little heavy this week, and he comes in at RB7 while he is scoring as the RB14. The kicker is that the Bears have been lights out against quarterbacks and wide receivers — they’re top-three against both — but only average against running backs. If they shut down Rivers and company, they’ll have no choice but to flow through Taylor. I’m taking options with a little less risk at this spot, however.

Wide Receivers

Tee Higgins (CIN) vs. JAC $5,300 (+$600)
Higgins exploded against the Eagles, and him and Boyd appear to be the favorite targets of the pass-happy Bengals. At $5,300, he is still very cheap for a flyer at the position, considering that he was second on the team with nine targets and scored twice in the red zone. Green hasn’t been his usual self this season, so I like Higgins going forward until his price creeps above $6,000. 

Tyler Lockett (SEA) at MIA $7,500 (+$700)
Another price bump from a recent performance, Lockett increased dramatically for this week after his three-touchdown afternoon against Dallas. A similar script and game total appears to be set in the making against Miami, as Seattle and Miami are both top-four in points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. An X-factor here is that Chris Carson may miss the game due to a knee sprain. This could imply more passing volume than usual in a game already primed to be another pass-heavy, high scoring affair. However, he is the third-highest priced receiver, and he’ll need a similar performance to match at value. While I like his setup, Metcalf can be had for $600 less if you need a similar script but cheaper option.

Tight Ends

Eric Ebron (PIT) $5,100 at TEN (+$400)
Ebron caught his first touchdown, and Diontae Johnson suffered what appeared to be a concussion, both of which led to his price increase. If Johnson is unable to go, he could be worth a look. Otherwise, he’ll need another touchdown to be worth rostering.

Thanks for reading and stay golden! If you like what you learned, follow me @DavidZach16 for more interesting stats and tidbits throughout the year.

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David Zach is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from David, check out his archive and follow him @DavidZach16.