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DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Tuesday (9/8)

by Zachary Hanshew | @ZaktheMonster | Featured Writer
Sep 8, 2020

We’re back for another Tuesday slate of NBA action! The Lakers evened the series up with the Rockets after a Game 2 win on Sunday, while the Giannis-less Bucks kept their season alive with a thrilling OT win over Miami in Game 4 to avoid a sweep. We’ve got those two matchups on tap tonight, with Bucks/Heat tipping off at 6:30PM and Rockets/Lakers tipping off at 9PM.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is a GTD after an early exit in Game 4 due to an ankle injury, and the value of some of the plays listed below is tied to his health. Keep an eye on the injury report ahead of tip-off. As always, I’ll name value plays at each position as well as top-dollar studs to pay up for and notable players to fade. Thanks for reading, and best of luck with all your lineups tonight!

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Value Plays

Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Rajon Rondo (LAL) HOU $3,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Eric Bledsoe (MIL) MIA $6,200 ⭐⭐ Medium

__________

  • Playoff Rondo showed up in Sunday’s Game 2 win, balling out to the tune of 37.25 DK points. After scoring 22.25 DK points in Game 1, Rondo has now averaged 30 DK points thus far in the series, and he’s still priced under $4K. That’s the best value of the night.
  • Bledsoe went off for 37 DK points in Sunday’s OT victory, posting his best game in five outings. He should see increased run and usage if Giannis Antetokounmpo is limited or out with his ankle injury.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Eric Gordon (HOU) LAL $5,900 ⭐⭐ Medium
Donte DiVincenzo (MIL) MIA $3,500 ⭐⭐ High

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  • Gordon has provided at least 30 DK points in eight of his last nine games, thanks in large part to his scoring abilities and long-range prowess. With Russell Westbrook struggling, Gordon has stepped up and played a key role on offense. Expect that to continue in tonight’s Game 3.
  • DiVincenzo has seen his minutes increase over the Bucks’ last two games, logging 27 and 21 minutes respectively. Giannis Antetokounmpo made an early exit in Game 4, and DiVincenzo produced 22.75 DK points with some extra opportunity. Giannis is questionable tonight, and if he’s limited or out, DiVincenzo is worth a look at his very affordable price tag.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Duncan Robinson (MIA) MIL $4,7oo ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Kyle Kuzma (LAL) HOU $4,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Robinson poured in 20 points Sunday, including a barrage of six triples on his way to 35.25 DK points. He’s got the potential to go off on any given night, and Robinson has averaged over 30 minutes across his last four games.
  • Kuz has struggled to find his rhythm in the playoffs thus far, but he’s coming off one of his best performances of the playoffs and should see minutes in the mid-20s tonight. If he can pick up his efficiency on offense, he could pay off here.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Jae Crowder (MIA) MIL $5,800 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Marvin Williams (MIL) MIA $3,600 ⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Crowder has been big for Miami over the last three games, averaging 17 points, five boards and five triples, while scoring at least 32 DK points in all of those games. His price has risen steadily, but those numbers make him worth the $5.8K salary.
  • Williams is a tournament play, but he’s averaged better than 20 minutes across his last four games and averaged 17.6 DK points over his last two. He only needs to score 18 DK points to hit 5x value, and that Williams becomes an even better play if Giannis Antetokounmpo is forced to sit out.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
P.J. Tucker (HOU) LAL $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐ High
Markieff Morris (LAL) HOU $3,500 ⭐⭐ High

__________

  • Tucker continues to shine despite the size disadvantage he faces against the Lakers, and even after a 42.25 DK point showing Sunday, he’s still sub-$5K, making for a huge value. He’s averaged 35 minutes across the first two games against Los Angeles.
  • Morris is more of a dart throw, but JaVale McGee is questionable tonight with an ankle injury, and even though he played just eight minutes Sunday, Dwight Howard was a DNP-CD. Morris hit four threes and finished with 24.25 DK points in just 23 minutes in the Game 2 victory, and it’s possible the Lakers give him extended run to better matchup with Houston’s small-ball lineup.

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • LeBron James (LAL) $11,200: James came alive in Sunday’s Game 2 victory, leading the Lakers to a needed victory with a near triple-double. He’s averaged 61.25 DK points over his last five contests.
  • Anthony Davis (LAL) $10,600: Even after averaging 56 DK points over the Lakers’ first two games against Houston, Davis’ price has remained unchanged. He should continue to feast against an undersized Rockets’ frontcourt.
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA) $8,700: Adebayo has averaged 52.5 DK points across his last two contests while scoring at least 46 DK points in three of his last four games. With Giannis Antetokounmpo dealing with an ankle injury, Adebayo should continue his strong play against an overmatched Bucks’ frontcourt.
  • Khris Middleton (MIL) $8,600: Middleton took over the must-win Game 4 and hit a dagger three in OT to seal the win. He finished with 61.5 DK points and will lead the offense again if Giannis is out.

Notable Players to Fade

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo $11,100: Giannis was off to a hot start Sunday, scoring 28.5 DK points in just 11 minutes before an ankle injury forced him to bow out. He’s questionable for Game 5, and there’s a good chance he’s limited if he plays. This is a high price to pay for such uncertainty with his health.
  • Robert Covington (HOU) $6,500: After a strong finish to the Rockets’ series win over the Thunder, RoCo has cooled off considerably against the Lakers, averaging just 27.5 DK points in two games. His price has actually risen $200 in that span, and he’s not worth that price on tonight’s slate.
  • Russell Westbrook (HOU) $8,400: The price is fantastic given his ceiling, but I just can’t get behind playing him tonight given his inefficiencies and turnovers as of late. Westbrook has scored fewer than 35 DK points in two of his last three games, and even at this price point, I don’t want any part of Westbrook.

Check out today’s NBA Sharpshooter from DraftKings >>

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Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.

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