FanDuel Projected Roster Percentage: Week 3 (2020)
Finally, Week 2 is over. I hope your redraft teams survived without too many injuries. That said, daily fantasy sports (DFS) are a great alternative to redraft because you dodge the consequences of injuries, and they’re a great option to check out if you’re a frustrated Saquon Barkley (or Christian McCaffrey) drafter.
Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on figures pulled from full slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.
Kyler Murray and Cam Newton are the two unquestioned top plays this week at FanDuel. Murray has a juicy matchup against the Lions, who are without top cornerback Desmond Trufant. Newton should also be a popular pick against the Raiders with his affordable salary. Both sides of the Seattle and Dallas matchup, Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott, should also be common plays. Look for a lot of stacking of this matchup in cash leagues — it’s got the highest projected point total on the slate. Josh Allen rounds out the list against the Rams, and while I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get fewer passing attempts than he’s gotten over his first two games, his rushing ability gives him a decent floor.
By Sunday, I expect Jonathan Taylor to be closer to chalk. You should roster him in cash leagues and fade him in tournament plays. The Colts have an easy matchup against the Jets this week, and because the Jets will struggle to score, expect Indy to keep the ball on the ground. Ezekiel Elliott is the most expensive player to make this list, and he’ll need to go off to keep the Cowboys in what should be a high-scoring battle with the Seahawks. Miles Sanders should be another popular selection, and with the Bengals’ injured defensive line, I think he’s a great option this week. Kenyan Drake and Austin Ekeler wrap up this list against bad rushing defenses. While I don’t hate Drake, I’ll be honest, Joshua Kelley seems like the better play than Ekeler to me.
DeAndre Hopkins is primed for a big game, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see his roster percentage rise even further, as news that Christian Kirk and Desmond Trufant won’t play didn’t break until Friday afternoon. Sure, he’s an expensive option, but he’s also guaranteed to see tons of volume. Allen Robinsons should be another popular pick, likely because of how awful the Atlanta Falcons have looked awful on defense. Three players from the Dallas/Seattle tilt round out the list — D.K. Metcalf, Amari Cooper, and Tyler Lockett. Based on price alone, Metcalf is my lean here — he’s getting the deep targets, and the Cowboys won’t have cornerback Chidobe Awuzie. Still, you should feel comfortable fitting multiple players from this game into your lineups.
We’ve got a pair of Eagles on this list, as both Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert should be popular plays against the Bengals. Now that the Eagles are without Jalen Reagor, Carson Wentz doesn’t have many options, and both are good bets to see a ton of targets. Speaking of targets, Darren Waller just had 16 of them in a game last week. The Patriots are a much tougher matchup, but as long as Waller players through his questionable tag, he’s a great floor option this week. T.J. Hockenson and Hunter Henry round out the list; Hockenson likely because of the Cardinals’ poor tight end defense from last season, and Henry because of his solid performance so far this year. I’m higher on Henry than I am on Hock, and I’d probably fire up Goedert before I put Hock in one of my lineups — the Cards have improved defensively this season, and Matthew Stafford could have Kenny Golladay back on Sunday.
The Buccaneers are near chalk this week. FanDuel players want to target backup quarterback Jeff Driskel with the Buccaneers’ cheap salary. I’m a fan of Driskel’s, but even he might struggle, as the Broncos might not have Jerry Jeudy (and they won’t have Courtland Sutton until next year). The Steelers slot in next, and it’s surprising to see FanDuel players want to target Deshaun Watson. I doubt that he’ll have a big game, but at this salary, it seems kind of risky to bet against a quarterback like him. The 49ers come in next despite their litany of injuries. Sure, they should be able to pummel the Giants regardless, but it’s hard to get excited about them. I think that the Colts are one of the smarter plays this week, as even though they have a high salary, the Jets have multiple injuries at offensive line and wide receiver. The Bills round out the list against Sean McVay’s Rams, and I don’t think that’s a good take, either, as Buffalo could be without two of their starting linebackers.
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