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Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 7

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 7

It turns out hitting three homers each in two games is a pretty effective way of getting noticed on the waiver wire.

Adam Duvall, who had five home runs at the end of August, smacked three long balls on September 2. He struck again Wednesday, towering three home runs in Atlanta’s 29-9 evisceration of Miami. The once discarded outfielder suddenly sports a .349 ISO bested only by Mike Trout.

Six home runs in two games is a pretty neat trick. Here are some players who have yet to hit six home runs all season: Paul Goldschmidt, Carlos Correa, Shohei Ohtani, Starling Marte, Ketel Marte, J.D. Martinez, and Josh Bell.

Duvall’s first triple-homer bonanza earned him plenty of attention, but not everyone was sold. Following his latest barrage, his rostered rate has unsurprisingly skyrocketed to 56% in Yahoo leagues. Unless everyone in your league shifted their undivided attention to football, he should be long gone.

While it’s highly unlikely any of these recommended players deposit eight home runs in as many days, a couple have embarked on their power own tears this week. Duvall’s outburst is another reminder to monitor the waiver wire and ride the hot hand in this shortened season. Maybe there’s another league-winner lurking in the shadows.

Note: Rostered rates are from Yahoo leagues as of Monday night.

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FAABulous Four: Top Waiver Targets of Week 5

Deivi García (SP – NYY): 33% Rostered
The Yankees can’t possibly take García out of the rotation now. In another essential AL East showdown with the Blue Jays, the 21-year-old rookie ceded just two runs over seven stellar frames. Through three starts, all on the road,  García has a 3.08 ERA, 18 strikeouts, and two walks.

So far, opponents have not generated strong contact against the 5’9″ righty. His opposing 86.2-mph exit velocity matches that of Zack Wheeler and Dallas Keuchel. He’s induced nearly as many infield fly balls (seven) as line drives (eight). Hurting for quality innings beyond Gerrit Cole and Masahiro Tanaka, the Yankees should keep trotting him out in their quest to lock up a playoff spot. If their current rotation order holds, García will make two starts against the Blue Jays and Red Sox next week before closing the season against the Marlins.

Zach Eflin (SP – PHI): 26% Rostered
Maybe you don’t want to add a pitcher who just gave up three home runs (all solo) in his last start. Nobody may want to hear about a Phillies pitcher with a far lower SIERA (3.38) than his ERA (4.58) after living through the Nick Pivetta debacle last year. And yet Eflin has struck out three of every 10 batters faced, a rate topped by only 16 starting pitchers with at least 30 innings pitched.

More important is the upcoming matchup. Every team he’s faced thus far currently boasts an above-average offense, as gauged by a wRC+ over the 100 baseline. The Marlins will change that trend this Sunday. No team has fewer home runs at home (nine), and only the Rangers have a worse slugging percentage inside their own stadium. Eflin’s home-run woes shouldn’t derail him inside this cavernous park, so the righty will have a golden chance to pick up plenty of strikeouts and a win.

Bobby Dalbec (1B/3B – BOS): 20% Rostered
Dalbec has immediately tapped into his immense power potential, belting six home runs in his first 11 MLB games.

He has also, however, struck out 20 times in 43 plate appearances. This feels a lot like Austin Riley, who recorded seven long balls in his first 15 games last season before going ice cold. Dalbec may slow down by the time you bring him on board, but managers can’t ignore anyone who homers in five straight games, especially in September.

DJ Stewart (OF – BAL): 16% Rostered
Stewart is also quietly doing a convincing Duvall impersonation. After going hitless in his first 26 plate appearances, the 26-year-old has gone 10-for-20 with six homers in his last six games. He’s drawn 11 walks in 51 plate appearances, bringing him just three free passes shy of last year’s total accrued in 126 trips to the batter’s box. Although it’s unlikely he’ll help much batting average, Stewart has barrelled all of his recent home runs. Baltimore should keep him in the lineup to replace the injured Anthony Santander, so see if there’s any more power to squeeze out of his sizzling bat.

Priority Pickups – <35% Rostered

Rafael Dolis (RP – TOR): 31%
The closer carousel continues to spin in Buffalo, where Dolis has picked up two saves over the past week. He’s last allowed an earned run on August 12 and has worked four hitless outings in September.

So is this some hot-shot younger throwing 100? Not quite. Dolis last pitched in the majors seven years ago, and he produced just 24 strikeouts over 44.1 innings with the Cubs before spending the past four seasons in Japan. Now 32, he’s stockpiled 24 strikeouts in 20.1 frames. Dolis isn’t a long-term answer, but we’re only worrying about the next two weeks. While Ken Giles returned from the IL on Friday night, Blue Jays, manager Charlie Montoyo said the closer will be eased back into lower-leverage situations. Two or three saves could make a major difference this season, so grab Dolis for as long as he maintains the role.

Chris Taylor (2B/SS/OF – LAD): 29%
Taylor has had a fairly tame season, batting .259 with three home runs and steals apiece. Yet a keen batting eye and versatile glove keep him in the Dodgers’ loaded starting lineup. In eight games this month, he’s tallied nine RBIs and eight runs. With eligibility at three spots, the Dodgers and fantasy managers alike should find starting space for him when Los Angeles goes to Colorado for a four-game series.

Tyler Mahle (SP/RP – CIN): 26%
Mahle continues to fall under the radar after a 10-strikeout game against the Cubs. He holds a respectable 3.89 ERA nearly matched by his 3.86 SIERA, but the 30.0% K rate and 1.00 WHIP are elite. So is his 14.0% swinging-strike rate, fueled by a refined and more heavily used slider. After a brief detour to the bullpen, he has worked past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts. The results? In 20.2 innings, he allowed just 10 hits, five walks, and eight runs with 24 strikeouts.

Unfortunately, the remaining schedule tempers excitement about Mahle’s rest-of-season outlook. He’s likely to miss the light-hitting Pirates next week and instead see the treacherous White Sox. He could then close out 2020 at Minnesota rather than hosting Milwaukee. If that schedule holds, he’s more of a streamer in this weekend’s more neutral matchup against the Cardinals. Mahle may then be droppable, but don’t forget about him in 2021 drafts.

Nick Madrigal (2B/SS – CHW): 26%
Madrigal has 14 hits in 10 games since returning from the IL on August 29. All but two were singles, so don’t expect anything beyond batting average. That said, he could help immensely in that one department if your squad is already loaded with power.

Justus Sheffield (SP – SEA): 25%
Sheffield’s rostered rate remains the same as when he was last featured here in late August. Those who claimed him received a four-walk, six-run clunker against the Angels for their troubles. Those who stuck by Sheffield, however, were then rewarded with a bounce-back outing (7 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K) against Texas. He’ll take the mound Saturday to face the Diamondbacks, who rank 28th in team wRC+ this season.

Randy Arozarena (OF – TB): 23%
Is a .364/.462/.909 slash line good? It seems good. Granted, Arozarena has produced those results in a microscopic 26 plate appearances. Since getting called up at the end of August, the 25-year-old has plastered four home runs in nine games. This success isn’t entirely out of nowhere. Six years months ago, the former Cardinal clamored for attention with a standout spring. That was after batting .344/.431/.571 in the minors last year.

These are still the Rays, so Arozarena is still fighting his way into a full-time role. (They went with an all-lefty lineup Friday night.) The lack of guaranteed starts bumped him down from garnering this week’s top priority among all available batters. Nevertheless, Tampa Bay needs to find room for him so long as he continues to rake.

Kevin Pillar (OF – COL): 22%
Despite this column’s behest, few managers moved to grab Pillar after the Rockies acquired him at the trade deadline. He’s yet to make them sorry, going 7-for-35 with one home run and two steals. However, the center fielder is locked into their lineup as the No. 5 hitter, and the Rockies play their next eight games at Coors Field.

Robbie Grossman (OF- OAK): 18%
Grossman has cooled off considerably in September, but his playing time has yet to suffer. The A’s play 10 times in the next nine days, including a two-game trip to Coors Field on Tuesday and Wednesday. Despite falling to earth, he still boasts a 145 wRC+ this season.

Sean Murphy (C – OAK): 18%
As a catcher, Murphy won’t benefit as much from Oakland’s packed schedule featuring two doubleheaders. Unlike Grossman, however, he’s heating up after a slugging start, going deep three times in the past six days. He has a healthy 130 wRC+ despite batting just .235. Murphy has also hit for power in bunches before, as he announced his arrival with four homers and a .577 SLG last September.

Brady Singer (SP – KC): 16%
Pitching in the Central was supposed to be easy this year. Singer benefited from that schedule at the start of the season, ceding two runs over five innings in each of his first two career starts against Cleveland and Detroit. Then he ran into the Cubs, followed by three straight encounters with the Twins and two more against the White Sox. That brutal stretch promptly squashed any hype surrounding the 24-year-old neophyte.

Finally, a reprieve came in the form of Cleveland. Singer stifled the division foe to one hit over eight scoreless innings Thursday night, matching a career-high eight strikeouts. While his 4.66 ERA and 1.26 WHIP aren’t spectacular, it firmly puts him in streamer territory considering the rough slate he’s endured. He’s scheduled to face the Tigers, who possess an 86 wRC+ and baseball’s highest strikeout rate against righties, as of Friday night. Singer could then conclude 2020 with a two-start dip against the Cardinals and Tigers.

Deep League Targets – <10% Rostered

Tejay Antone (SP/RP – CIN): 9%
Recently moved to the rotation, Antone has a 2.49 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 25.1 innings. While the bullpen work has likely padded his numbers, a 12.5% swinging-strike rate and 50.9% ground-ball rate is certainly an intriguing combination. Consider him a deep-league streamer for Saturday night’s showdown at St. Louis.

Amir Garrett (RP – CIN): 8%
One of 2020’s most dominant setup men, Garrett has given up two hits, one walk, and no runs over his last 7.2 innings. He now boasts a 1.93 ERA and 0.57 WHIP with 21 strikeouts to three walks in 14 frames. As of Friday, he ranks fourth in swinging-strike rate (20.3%) and third in contact rate (53.3%) among all qualified relievers. We could be witnessing the birth of an elite closer next season. For now, take the stellar ratio and strikeout help.

Raimel Tapia (OF – COL): 8%
Tapia has stayed in the starting lineup and leadoff role after the Rockies acquired Pillar. He’s batting .300 with the best contact (82.5%) and walk (9.5%) rates of his career. He stole his first base since August 24 on Friday, but Tapia is nevertheless a strong add in all leagues at the start of Colorado’s current homestand.

Kris Bubic (SP – KC): 7%
Like Singer, Bubic has constantly faced the toughest lineups this region has to offer. Yet this Royals rookie delivered two strong outings against the White Sox before defeating the Pirates Friday night. He’s allowed five runs combined in his last three starts and will next face the Brewers, who strike out in spades and hit better against lefties than righties.

Andrelton Simmons (SS – LAA): 6%
The Angels cleared an infield logjam by trading Tommy La Stella to Oakland. Shortly after, David Fletcher went on the IL. This has resulted in Simmons spending the last eight games in the leadoff role. More known for his glove, the shortstop has picked up two hits in eight of his past 12 contests, raising his batting average to .299. He’s provided no power (0 HR, .057 ISO), and Fletcher could return and reclaim his leadoff spot this weekend, so temper expectations. With that said, Simmons still warrants immediate consideration with the Angels playing two more games at Coors Field.

Edward Olivares (OF – KC): 2%
Olivares emerged as a deep sleeper late in the prolonged MLB offseason, but the Padres didn’t afford him a steady role. They moved him to the Royals, who are giving the 24-year-old all the reps he can handle. The outfielder is batting 12-for-35 with a double, triple, and two homers in eight games. While Olivares also has two walks to 23 strikeouts all season, there’s hope the aggressive Royals eventually give him the green light on the basepaths. He drew preseason buzz because of his 35 stolen bases in Double-A last year.

Higher-Rostered Players to Ignore – 35% or Higher

Madison Bumgarner (SP -ARI): 65%
Unfortunately for those who held out hope of late-season redemption, Bumgarner has as many home runs allowed as strikeouts (four) in two starts since returning the IL. He has permitted 11 homers and walks apiece with 17 strikeouts and a minuscule 7.7% swinging-strike rate. Now that the southpaw can’t be stowed away without wasting a roster spot, it’s time to move on.

Robbie Ray (SP – TOR): 57%
Remember how excited everyone got over Ray’s refined mechanics? Twitter celebrated its confirmation bias three innings into his season, and then Ray blew up in the fourth. That’s a familiar pattern for the righty, who has yet to record an out past the fifth inning in eight starts. He’s been even wilder than usual, issuing 35 walks in 38.1 innings while serving up 12 homers. Regardless of the opponent, and the next one is a potent Mets lineup, Ray can’t be trusted right now.

Amed Rosario (SS – NYM): 48%
A popular breakout selection, Rosario has instead regressed. Batting .230 with just three walks has banished the 24-year-old to the bench in favor of Andrés Giménez, who’s hitting .286 with seven steals and crisp defense. The Mets shouldn’t give up on Rosario beyond 2020, but they need to play the hot hand while attempting to climb back into the playoff mix.

Bryan Reynolds (OF – PIT): 41%
Wait, didn’t everyone draft Reynolds for batting average? After hitting .314 in a breakout rookie campaign, he’s batting .177 with a 27.2% strikeout rate. He’s been a bit unfortunate, but we can’t wait around for the BABIP gods to extend an olive branch in September. He has four hits this month and two extra-base knocks (both on September 3) over his past 15 contests.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy baseball, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Baseball Tools as you navigate your season. From our Lineup Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team, and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy baseball season.

Andrew Gould is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Andrew, check out his archive and follow him @andrewgould4.

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