Top FanDuel NFL DFS Upside Picks: Week 2 (2020)
Welcome back to Ball Street DFS, where finance and fantasy meet. In this weekly article, I apply financial metrics to the fantasy football world to give you an edge when building your FanDuel lineups.
Last week, I highlighted Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers as two quarterbacks who presented massively underpriced upside on FanDuel in Week 1. They finished as the QB1 (31.78 points) and QB2 (30.76) on the week, respectively.
I’ll keep it real, though — I had my fair share of misses as well. Kenyan Drake (13.5 pts), DeSean Jackson (5.6), and Tyler Higbee (5.5) all disappointed. And while Jerick McKinnon was a nice “Penny Stock” pick, his 11.9 FanDuel points didn’t win any DFS players their weeks. But for every grand slam, we have to stomach a few strikeouts. After all, we’re searching for the home run hitters — the players who offer tantalizing, week-winning upside at a bargain. The good news? Heading into Week 2, there are a handful of players ready to explode.
Today, I’ll be highlighting 16 players who, based on investment metrics, are oozing with upside and need to be plugged into your Week 2 DFS lineups.
Before we dive in, let me break down the lingo we use on “Ball Street.” First, the focus of this article is a value I coined “Upside per Dollar,” which will be referred to as UPD. “UPD” is the product of a modified financial formula that determines how much “blowup potential” a given player offers you per dollar of your investment (his FanDuel price). In short, UPD tells you which players present the most potential bang for your buck. Below, I will highlight the 16 players who boast exceptionally high UPD scores for Week 2.
Each position group is broken down as follows:
Blue Chips: the studs presenting massive upside that come with a higher price tag
Mid-Caps: the more affordable upside picks
Penny Stocks: the cheapest upside plays FanDuel has to offer
*Cash Cow: The one must-start UPD standout among all 16 listed players
Lastly, if you’re looking to go all-in on this week’s upside picks, you can check out Ball Street’s “All-Upside Lineup” at the bottom of the article. Follow me on Twitter @ballstreetff to track the results from Week 2 and beyond!
Kyler Murray (ARI) vs. Washington ($8,000)
I like Kyler to build on last week’s 91-yard rushing performance while escaping pressure from Washington’s sack-happy front seven.
Matt Ryan (ATL) at Dallas ($7,700)
Coming off a 450-yard performance, I expect Ryan to put up elite numbers while playing catch-up with the Cowboys’ loaded offense.
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) vs. Jacksonville ($7,000)
After throwing more passes in Week 1 (43) than he did in any start last season, Tannehill offers boom potential against the Jaguars for pennies on the dollar.
Derrick Henry (TEN) vs. Jacksonville ($8,300)
The focal point of the Titans offense, Henry will feast in a blowout where Tennessee’s implied point total is 26.
Miles Sanders (PHI) vs. Los Angeles Rams ($6,800)
Assuming he is not on a snap count for his return from a hamstring injury, Sanders should revitalize the Eagles’ run game against a Rams defense that gave up 26.2 FanDuel points to Ezekiel Elliott in Week 1.
Raheem Mostert (SF) at New York Jets ($6,500)
Coming off a 15-carry, four-reception game, I expect Mostert to top his Week 1 workload in what should be a run-heavy blowout of the sputtering New York Jets.
*Nyheim Hines (IND) vs. Minnesota ($5,000)
Philip Rivers‘ new “Austin Ekeler” caught eight passes on his way to 23.2 FanDuel points in Week 1. Priced at just $5,000, Hines is a no-brainer lineup lock.
*Hines is this week’s cash cow. Get him in your lineups.
Adam Thielen (MIN) vs. Indianapolis ($7,300)
Fresh off a 28-point Week 1 performance, I like Thielen to maintain a heavy target share against the Colts in a game with a lofty over/under of 48.5 points.
Tyler Lockett (SEA) vs. New England ($6,800)
Coming off an eight-target game in Week 1, Lockett offers underpriced upside against the Patriots in a game where quarterback Russell Wilson should continue to “cook.”
Robby Anderson (CAR) at Tampa Bay ($5,900)
Teddy Bridgewater is sharing the wealth in Carolina, so I expect Anderson to build off his six-catch, 100-plus yard performance while the Panthers play catch-up with the Buccaneers.
Diontae Johnson (PIT) vs. Denver ($5,800)
After pacing the Steelers in targets (10) against the Giants in Week 1, Johnson offers mouth-watering upside as the Steelers’ presumed WR2 entering a meeting with the Broncos.
Mark Andrews (BAL) at Houston ($7,500)
Hot off a two-touchdown Week 1 performance, Andrews is more than worth the price tag on a Ravens team with an implied point total of 28.5.
Dallas Goedert (PHI) vs. Los Angeles Rams ($5,500)
Due to a banged-up receiving corps, last week’s overall TE2 remains one of the Eagles’ top pass-catching options entering a Week 2 contest with the Rams.
Logan Thomas (WAS) at Arizona ($4,700)
The QB-turned-TE looks to be a critical piece of Washington’s offense after hanging four catches (on eight targets) for 37 yards and a touchdown on the Eagles in Week 1.
Ball Street’s Week 2 All-Upside Lineup
QB – Kyler Murray, $8,000
RB – Derrick Henry, $8,300
RB – Miles Sanders, $6,800
WR – Adam Thielen, $7,300
WR – Tyler Lockett, $6,800
WR – Diontae Johnson, $5,800
TE – Mark Andrews, $7,500
FLEX – Nyheim Hines, $5,500
DEF – Chicago, $4,000
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