Week 4 could have been huge for us if it weren’t for a couple of disappointing performances. While we definitely hit home runs on Joe Mixon, Odell Beckham, and Darren Waller, we missed the boat with Darrell Henderson and Tyler Lockett.
The GPP plays were the guys who went off, which represents just how unusual of a week it was. In any case, we’re satisfied with the results and will look to keep rolling here!
If you have any questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel.
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Thursday/Monday Games
The Thursday night fixture is much better than last week, with the Chicago Bears hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The best play on the board is obviously Mike Evans, who would be impossible to fade if he’s active and Chris Godwin is out again. Ronald Jones is also a great play if Leonard Fournette is out. Obviously, there are a lot of injuries to keep track of that will make a huge impact on this game.
As for Monday, the New Orleans Saints host the Los Angeles Chargers. This is yet another injury-riddled game, with Michael Thomas and Austin Ekeler both nicked up. With Ekeler out, Joshua Kelley is definitely a great value. If Thomas is out again, Tre’Quan Smith and Emmanuel Sanders are back in play. Alvin Kamara is the best player in fantasy right now, and he’s almost impossible to fade at captain for this fixture.
Quarterback of the Week
Teddy Bridgewater (CAR): $5,900 at ATL
I’d call you crazy if you told me that Bridgewater would be in one of these articles, but here we are! The simple fact is, Atlanta might have the worst defense in football. That’s certainly evident when you see that the Falcons have allowed at least 300 passing yards and four total TDs to all four quarterbacks (combining Chicago’s Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles) they’ve faced this season. That’s an average of 34 DraftKings points per game, the worst mark in football. That’s big news for anyone, particularly a quarterback priced below $6K. It’s not like Bridgewater has been terrible either, scoring at least 15 DK points in every game this year en route to a 19-point average.
Cash Game Running Back
Todd Gurley (ATL): $5,700 vs. CAR
Gurley has quietly had a nice season for the Falcons, and I absolutely love this matchup with the Panthers. Let’s start things off by talking about Carolina surrendering the third-most fantasy points to running backs this season. That’s great news for Gurley, who is averaging 13.6 DK points per game while surpassing that mark in three of four fixtures this year. Gurley is a huge value below $6K, and Atlanta will need to feed the stud back in its most winnable game of the season. It’s also not a terrible idea to stack Gurley with Bridgewater, gambling on a game script in Atlanta’s favor.
GPP Running Back
David Johnson (HOU): $5,200 vs. JAX
Ezekiel Elliott is the only one running back in football averaging a higher snap rate than Johnson, who has played 80% of the Texans’ snaps. That’s a huge rate from someone priced this reasonably, and it doesn’t even take into consideration his stellar matchup. So far this season, Jacksonville ranks 26th in rushing yards allowed, surrendering 45.1 DraftKings points to Mixon in Week 4. Johnson isn’t the stud we saw a few years back, but he’s plenty capable of going off in a matchup like this, especially with so much usage.
Cash Game Wide Receiver
Will Fuller (HOU): $6,600 vs. JAX
It’s really bizarre to call Fuller a cash-game wide receiver, but he’s truly developed into Deshaun Watson’s top target this season. In fact, Fuller has scored at least 15 DraftKings points in three of four games this year, averaging six catches for 91 yards in those three outings. The one dud was a game where he was hurt and facing an elite defense in the Ravens. That’s certainly not the case here, with Jacksonville ranked 23rd in total defense this season.
GPP Wide Receiver
Robby Anderson (CAR): $5,900 at ATL
If we like Bridgewater, we have to like his top target. While many people might think it’s D.J. Moore, the first four games tell us it’s Anderson. He leads the team with 34 total targets, tallying 28 catches for 377 receiving yards. That yardage tally ranks sixth at his position, so he’s still priced way too low. The best part about using Anderson is this matchup, though, as Atlanta has surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to wideouts this season.
Tight End of the Week
Darren Waller (OAK): $5,900 at KC
I’m going right back to the well. Waller is going to be in my articles a lot this season unless he starts getting priced as a top-three tight end. He’s Las Vegas’ top option, leading all tight ends with 40 total targets. That’s about 30 percent of the team’s total targets, leading to Waller averaging 15.4 DraftKings points per game, the fourth-best mark at his position. I really don’t mind that the Raiders will likely be playing catch-up as huge underdogs at Kansas City.
D/ST of the Week
Dallas Cowboys: $3,100 vs. NYG
Yes, the Cowboys have been the worst defense in football, but this is DFS, and every week is different. It’s all about the price and matchup. Dallas faces a Giants club that ranks dead-last in both yardage and points scored. We’re talking about a team that has scored just 11.8 points per game! The Cowboys also enter this matchup as a 10-point favorite, only adding to this D/ST’s intrigue. Getting to use a defense at $3,100 helps in terms of lineup construction as well, saving salary for way more important positions.
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
