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FanDuel DFS MLB Strategy Advice: Tuesday (10/13)

Oct 13, 2020

The first two days of the League Championship Series’ have been fascinating. We currently have Tampa Bay up 2-0 on Houston and Atlanta with a 1-0 lead over Los Angeles. Those are pretty shocking results thus far, and it’ll be fascinating to see where it goes from here. With that in mind, let’s get into this Tuesday slate!

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel.

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Value Plays

Pitcher

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Clayton Kershaw (LAD) vs. ATL $10,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Ryan Yarbrough (TB) vs. HOU $7,000 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
  • Kershaw is the best raw points play on the board, and I’ll discuss why later.
  • With Ian Anderson having such a lofty price tag, Yarbrough makes for the best value at pitcher. Since the beginning of last season, he has an ERA below 4.00 and has one of the lowest WHIP’s in the league (1.05). Houston has been struggling too, scoring just three combined runs in the first two games of this series. With that in mind, he has a lot of righty bats to floss through, and many of them will be great plays as well on this tiny two-game slate.

Catcher/First Base

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Yuli Gurriel (HOU) vs. TB $2,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Nate Lowe (TB) vs. HOU $2,500 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
  • Gurriel is one of the best values on the board, as he owns a .516 SLG and .860 OPS against lefties since 2018.
  • Lowe also has some great splits. He’s accrued a .409 OBP, .676 SLG and 1.085 OPS against right-handers so far this year.

Second Base

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Jose Altuve (HOU) vs. TB $3,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
Brandon Lowe (TB) vs. HOU $3,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
  • The second base position is pretty terrible, so Altuve is a decent play despite his struggles. Since the beginning of last season, his OPS is north of .900 against southpaws.
  • Lowe is the best player on the Rays, but you wouldn’t know it by his price tag. Not only does the lefty bat get the platoon advantage here, he also has a .362 OBP, .554 SLG and .916 OPS this season.

Third Base

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Alex Bregman (HOU) vs. TB $3,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Joey Wendle (TB) vs. HOU $2,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
  • It seems that we have all of these Astros bats in here facing Yarbrough, but that will happen on a two-game slate. Bregman is probably the best play of the bunch and we’ll discuss why in the studs section.
  • Wendle has been one of Tampa’s best bats in the postseason and we love his .466 SLG and .791 OPS against right-handers this year.

Shortstop

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Corey Seager (LAD) vs. ATL $3,900 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Carlos Correa (HOU) vs. TB $3,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
  • Honestly, Seager and Correa are the only guys worth considering at this position. Seager has been one of the Dodgers’ best bats this season and is much better against righties.
  • Correa has also been one of the hottest hitters in baseball, and he’s scored at least 12 FanDuel points in six of his last eight games, homering five times in that span.

Outfield

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
George Springer (HOU) vs. TB $4,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Randy Arozarena (TB) vs. HOU $3,500 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Joc Pederson (LAD) vs. ATL $2,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
  • Springer has been the best postseason player over the last three years and we definitely think he’s a solid play against a lefty.
  • Arozarena is arguably the hottest hitter in baseball right now, and we’ll discuss that more in the next section.
  • Joc Jams is always an interesting option when facing a righty. He has collected a .543 SLG and .879 OPS against them since 2018.

3 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Clayton Kershaw (LAD) $10,000: This is easily the best pitcher on the board. While he has generally struggled in his postseason career, a 1.93 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and 19-1 K/BB rate tell you everything you need to know about his postseason thus far. Those are pretty close to his season averages, and he’s generating a 2.16 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in yet another astounding year.
  • Alex Bregman (HOU) $3,800: While we do like Yarbrough, Bregman is definitely someone he’ll have to navigate through. One of the big reasons for that is because of Bregman’s splits — he’s totaled a .420 OBP, .642 SLG, and 1.062 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor since 2018.
  • Randy Arozarena (TB) $3,500: It’s crazy to say this, but Arozarena appears to be the most dangerous hitter in baseball right now. Amazingly, Arozarena has at least 9.2 FanDuel points in nine of his last 12 games, averaging 22.7 FD points per game in those nine outings. Obviously, that’s absurd, and it makes him one of the best plays out there.

3 Notable Players to Fade

  • Ian Anderson (ATL) $9,400: While this kid has been amazing in his rookie season, I just can’t trust him in this spot against such a tough lineup with such a lofty price tag. Not only did Los Angeles lead the NL in runs scored, but Anderson also allowed at least three runs and seven baserunners in his final two starts of the regular season. He’ll also be put on a short leash in this playoff game and that makes him a tough sell at $9,400.
  • Freddie Freeman (ATL) $4,000: Freeman has been on the plus side of almost all of my articles for a month now, but I just don’t like him here. Having to face a lefty like Kershaw makes him a tough bet to succeed with FF hitting from the left side, especially when you have to pay $4K to use him.
  • Kyle Tucker (HOU) $3,700: Tucker barely hit above .200 against southpaws in the regular season and it’s hard to understand why his price is so high.

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel

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