FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 8 (2020)
Welcome to Week 8 everyone. Last week a rash of injuries and low prices gave a pretty clear build for how your cash (and tournament) lineups should have been constructed. Whether you chose to play both Giovani Bernard and Jamaal Williams, or just one of the two, and play a high-priced running back, the lineups pretty much made themselves easy at running back. It also allowed flexibility to spend up at wide receiver, where quite a few players in absolute smash spots went bonkers.
This week there are some high-priced elite options available and there’s also injury news that will hopefully be cleared up on Friday. Of course, some players, particularly at running back this week, could be true game-time decisions. Which, if last week taught you anything, means you need to keep your options open and your flexibility available. Be able to pivot if a particular player is ruled out.
The players below are ones I’m looking at for cash game considerations in Week 8 of the 2020 season:
Aaron Rodgers (GB): $8,400 vs. Minnesota Vikings
When Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers met the Vikings in Week 1, Rodgers completed 72.73% of his passes for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Per Pro Football Focus, the Vikings only pressured Rodgers on 15.9% of his passes in that game. On the season, Rodgers has thrown for 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions from a clean pocket and a 128.3 passer rating.
The Vikings recently traded Yannick Ngakoue away, giving their pass rush one less weapon to harass Rodgers on Sunday. While Rodgers is the third highest priced quarterback on the slate, he’s in an absolute smash spot with a game total hitting 51 points against a defense giving up the sixth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
Three of the Vikings' top four corners (Hill, Hughes and Dantzler) could be out on Sunday. That'd leave Jeff Gladney, Boyd (if he's able to play), Harrison Hand and some of this week's pickups, possibly (Mark Fields, Chris Jones).
— Ben Goessling (@GoesslingStrib) October 29, 2020
Justin Herbert (LAC): $7,700 at Denver Broncos
Herbert has thrown for 300 yards and/or three touchdowns in all of his starts.
Justin Herbert's first five starts:
▫️311 passing yards, 2 total TD
▫️330 passing yards, 70.4% completion %, 1 TD
▫️290 passing yards, 80% completion %, 3 TD
▫️264 passing yards, 4 TD
▫️347 passing yards, 68 rushing yards, 4 total TD
A star in the making.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) October 25, 2020
Over the last three games, the Broncos have allowed 230 or fewer passing yards per game and only one touchdown. Of course, the Broncos opponents have scored 80 points over their last three games. Those opposing quarterbacks also included Sam Darnold and a now defunct Cam Newton.
Couple of rookies playing really well in poor down and distance early on.
Joe Burrow leads the league in first down conversion rate on non-first down pass attempts with 7+ yards to go (41.3%).
Justin Herbert is fifth (39.8%).
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) October 27, 2020
Herbert is certainly not playing like a rookie in the face of adversity. He is among the league leaders in passing yards under pressure. He leads the NFL in third down passer rating at 138.2. He’s also becoming match-up proof.
Kareem Hunt (CLE): $8,200 vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Shortly after Nick Chubb went down with an injury, it was assumed that Hunt would instantly be a top-tier fantasy running back. A problem with that logic was that the Browns next two opponents were the Indianapolis Colts and the Pittsburgh Steelers, both of whom have stout run defenses.
Last week the schedule eased up and Hunt totaled 76 rushing yards and caught three passes for 26 yards and a touchdown. He also dominated the workload out of the backfield.
Kareem Hunt yesterday with no cramping (like in Week 5) or blowout (like in Week 6):
* 90% of the snaps
* 95% of the RB carries
* 100% of the RB targets
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) October 26, 2020
The Raiders this season have allowed the second most targets to running backs, 12 rushing touchdowns (most in the NFL) and opponents are averaging 4.6 rushing yards per attempt. The rushing touchdown number is particularly appealing for Hunt’s projections this weekend. Hunt is tied for fourth in the NFL in red zone rushing attempts (23) and he also has six red zone targets, five of which came inside the 10-yard line.
Jonathan Taylor (IND): $7,300 at Detroit Lions
Fresh off a bye week, the Colts rookie running back gets a tasty match-up against a Lions team that’s allowing the third most fantasy points to running backs over the past four weeks. Lions opposing running backs are averaging 114.2 rushing yards per game as well as 4.7 catches for 43 receiving yards per game. The Lions rank 23rd in the NFL in run defense DVOA. While they’ve recently held Todd Gurley and James Robinson to a combined 92 rushing yards on 35 carries, they also combined for three touchdowns.
The Colts are running the ball the 12th-most in the league thus far. Colts running backs have 47 targets thus far in the passing game as well. Look for Taylor to be a force this weekend, despite the Lions’ slight improvement on defense.
Other notables: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC): $7,500 vs. NYJ; Dalvin Cook (MIN): $9,200 @ GB (Alexander Mattison is priced at $6,500 if Cook misses this week); Giovani Bernard (CIN): $5,900 vs. TEN (if Joe Mixon is out again)
Davante Adams (GB): $9,100 vs. Minnesota Vikings
Adams leads all wide receivers in targets per routes run. After missing two and a half games, Adams is still on pace for 161 targets this season. Adams has a 0.74 WOPR per airyards.com, tops in the NFL. His 34% target share is the most in the NFL.
Oh, and just another reminder in case you needed it…
— Chris Tomasson (@christomasson) October 29, 2020
Just play him this week and eat the chalk. Seriously.
Brandon Aiyuk (SF): $5,900 at Seattle Seahawks
With Deebo Samuel set to miss this game, the rookie Aiyuk is in a great spot here to provide salary relief against an atrocious secondary. The Seahawks have allowed 1,681 yards to receivers, the most in the NFL. Of those yards, 856 have come after the catch. That’s the 10th most yards after the catch allowed in the league. Two of the teams that have allowed more have played eight games and all the other teams have played seven games. The Seahawks have still just played six games. Enter the “YAC Bros” on Sunday.
Last season at Arizona State, Aiyuk averaged 10.9 yards after the catch. On the season he’s averaging 5.4 yards after the catch. Aiyuk has 32 targets on the season, seventh among rookie wide receivers this season.
Keep an eye out for Brandon Aiyuk. 👀@almansanarez broke down how the San Francisco 49ers rookie is tapping into his potential as a WR1 with Deebo Samuel out.#FrontOffice33 | #FTTBhttps://t.co/FBKIRVaGdS
— The Draft Network (@TheDraftNetwork) October 29, 2020
Darren Waller (LV): $6,800 at Cleveland Browns
Waller is primed for a big role this weekend against a Browns defense that could struggle could contain him. On the season, Waller is in the top three in targets, receptions, and receiving yards among tight ends. According to PFF, entering last week Waller was tied for third in the NFL with 34 receptions and zero drops.
On today's episode of Small Sample Size Theatre, we bring you Darren Waller with and without Henry Ruggs. pic.twitter.com/wBMygHm3Xx
— Al Smizzle (@AlZeidenfeld) October 28, 2020
George Kittle (SF): $7,700 at Seattle Seahawks
Similar to the aforementioned Aiyuk, Kittle is one of the few remaining healthy bodies the 49ers have to roll out against the Seahawks this Sunday. Similar to Aiyuk, Kittle gets plenty of YAC as well. That’s not just yards after the catch either. “Seven games into the 2020 season, the Niners rank first in the NFL in both categories with 682 yards after contact and 1,086 yards after the catch. Since the start of 2019, San Francisco also tops the league in those statistics.”
Three throws from Garoppolo against New England
*Timing, placement and rhythm
*Kittle versus Gilmore
*Creating lanes with your eyes
*A clean release from Aiyuk
*YAC is a QB stat
*Shanahan adjusting to the adjustments pic.twitter.com/6uHkGx1Nhb
— Mark Schofield (@MarkSchofield) October 27, 2020
Other notables: Jared Cook (NO): $5,800 @ CHI
Los Angeles Chargers D/ST: $4,300 @ Denver Broncos
Defenses against the Broncos and the Jets are ones to target. On average the Broncos are allowing opposing defenses to average three sacks a game and 1.7 interceptions per game. They are allowing only 19.3 points per game against the Broncos offense, and Phillip Lindsay might not be completely 100% for this game, though he did return to practice this week.
Kansas City Chiefs D/ST: $5,000 vs. New York Jets
The Chiefs are 20 point favorites. The Chiefs are at home against the worst team in the NFL. Opposing defenses are averaging 3.4 sacks per game and one interception a game. The Jets offense is scoring just 11.3 points against opposing defenses. Against this high-powered Chiefs offense, it’s very likely that the Jets will have to become one-dimensional and throw a ton just to stay in the game. This creates plenty of opportunities for sacks and turnovers.
Other notables: Buffalo Bills D/ST: $4,500 vs. NE; New Orleans Saints D/ST: $3,600 @ CHI
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