FantasyPros Over/Under Challenge Advice: Week 7 (2020)
With Pittsburgh visiting Tennessee in Week 7, all eyes will be on the showdown between undefeated AFC superpowers. With both ball clubs providing high-octane fantasy options, Sunday should serve as one of the more entertaining matchups of the 2020 season when these two teams go at it. Personally, I’m most excited to see if Kliff Kingsbury and his Arizona Cardinals can officially put their stamp on the NFC West by slaying the undefeated dragon as the Seahawks pay the desert a visit in Week 7.
Exciting stuff in the National Football League right as the contenders begin to pull away from the pretenders.
Without further ado, below are my picks for Week 7 of the FantasyPros Over/Under Challenge sponsored by BetMGM.
Cam Newton (QB – NE) vs SF – Under 17.9
Newton has made it crystal clear that his fantasy value won’t come with his arm this season. Through four starts, the 2015 NFL MVP has only accumulated a pair of touchdowns through the air. Being that he’ll once again be dependent upon his legs, I’m betting on the overall team speed of San Francisco’s defense – especially at linebacker with Fred Warner – to keep Newton in check. Cam will need a rushing score or two in this one in order to achieve the over.
Justin Herbert (QB – LAC) vs JAX – Over 18.4
The early season NFL Rookie of the Year frontrunner returns from his bye week and gets a tasty fantasy matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars visiting SoFi Stadium. While Herbert is still battling for his first career win as a starter, he’ll look to continue his rockstar rookie campaign. With a passer rating of 107.1, Herbert has exceeded expectations and really turned some heads against former Super Bowl MVPs Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, and Drew Brees to kickstart his career with the Chargers. Going up against the 26th ranked pass defense in Week 7 against the Jaguars, it’s fair to assume that the rookie regression will hold off for at least another week. Hammer the over.
Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL) @ WAS – Under 18.0
Yowza. It was fun while it lasted! With the Dak Prescott’s devasting season-ending ankle injury, the most exciting offense in fantasy football is officially no more. To make matters worse, the Cowboys’ offensive line is depleted with injuries. Both starting tackles in Brandon Knight and Tyron Smith are out, as well as guard Zack Martin. With Elliott gifting the Monday Night Football audience with his best Don Billingsly impersonation in Week 6, he now has lost four fumbles in the season’s first six games. Chalk this Week 7 matchup as just as another NFC East Snoozefest.
Kenyan Drake (RB – ARI) vs SEA – Over 12.4
Alright, people. Get on your feet. It’s high time we give a standing ovation to Kliff Kingsbury, a fantasy footballer’s dream. With the Cardinals embarrassing the Cowboys in the aforementioned Week 6 Monday Night Football contest to the tune of a 25-point advantage midway through the fourth, Kingsbury was still going out of his way to get his stars going. First, it was Hopkins who turned in a 60-yard reception late in the fourth, then Murray just barely overshot his other Hall of Fame wide receiver, Larry Fitzgerald, in the endzone on that same drive. Drake capped it off with a 69-yard score to put the cherry on top of Kingsbury’s coming out party for the national audience. When this offense is clicking like it was against Mike Nolan’s (how has Jerry not fired that guy yet?) Dallas defense, look out. This NFC West matchup has all the makings of an exciting shootout.
Ronald Jones (RB – TB) @ LV – Over 14.0
Right when you thought Leonard Fournette was about to seize control of the highly coveted Tampa Bay backfield, RoJo had to hit the former number four overall pick with a good ol’ fashioned Lee Corso, “Not so fast, my friend.”. Over the past three weeks, Jones has averaged 23.67 touches and 18.3 fantasy points per game. With Friday’s signing of wide receiver Antonio Brown, this Buccaneers offense has, without a doubt, the most firepower across the board in the NFC. Going up against a Raiders defense that has given up the most rushing touchdowns (11) throughout the NFL, RoJo is well on his way to solidifying himself as a legitimate RB1 in 2020.
Will Fuller (WR – HOU) vs GB – Over 12.5
Will Fuller truthers (believe you me, there’s a ton of ’em out there) have waited a long five years for this. With DeAndre Hopkins no longer dominating targets in this Houston Texans offense, Fuller has established himself as Deshaun Watson’s most trusted and consistent receiver. Having only missed a single game (knock on wood) to start the 2020 season, Fuller’s health will once again be vital in his outlook the rest of the way. Through six games, Fuller has a career year in his sights, on pace for over 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns. In what appears to be a potential shootout between Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson, Fuller and the over is a relatively easy choice this week.
A.J. Brown (WR – TEN) vs PIT – Under 12.2
Speaking of potential shootouts. With Tennessee ranking second in the NFL in both yards and points (despite only playing five games), Pittsburgh is not far beyond with having the fourth-most points throughout the league. What differentiates these two balls clubs is their defenses. While Pittsburgh should have little resistance going up against Tennessee’s defense, Brown and the Titans offense will have their work cut out for them against the Steelers, as their defense is currently a top-10 unit against the pass. The absence of Titans’ left tackle Taylor Lewan is worrisome for everyone in Tennessee, especially this week going up against Pittsburgh pass rushers Bud Dupree and T.J. Watt.
JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR – PIT) @ TEN – Under 9.7
What goes up, must come down. Despite coming out the gates strong in Week 1 with 69 receiving yards and two touchdowns, Smith Schuster has cooled down considerably right as rookie wide receiver Chase Claypool begins to establish himself as a star in this league. With fellow receiver Diontae Johnson coming back from injury in Week 7, this Pittsburgh receiver room is suddenly very crowded. At the end of the day, this offense still wants to run the ball at a high level, as they currently rank in the top 10 in attempts, yards, and touchdowns. With Pittsburgh’s offense essentially going out of their way to get Claypool meaningful touches near the goal line, it’s difficult to trust JuJu while Claypool is playing this well.
CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL) @ WAS – Under 11.4
As I mentioned earlier, this Dallas offense is very high-risk right now. With Andy Dalton at quarterback operating behind an offensive line filled with backups, Sunday could be yet another difficult watch for Cowboys fans. Unlike Monday Night’s blowout at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals, Washington doesn’t present the scare to get this into fantasy-friendly garbage-time for Cowboys’ receivers Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and Lamb. But I’ll tell you what, with Mike Nolan calling your defense, one should almost expect garbage-time to appear by the second-half kickoff. The Cowboys defense catches somewhat of a break this week, as Washington ranks 30th and 32nd in points and yards. I envision both offenses struggling to get much of anything going in this NFC East pillow fight.
George Kittle (TE – SF) @ NE – Over 13.4
Despite missing two and a half games, Kittle is still the TE2 on the year, trailing only Travis Kelce. Since returning from injury in Week 4, Kittle is averaging 11 targets, nearly 9 receptions, and 112 yards per game operating as San Francisco’s obvious preferred option in the passing game. While Belichick has a career built on taking away his opponent’s best players, it’s tough to bet against Kittle right now. The last time Kyle Shanahan was forced to call his offense without his top running back in Raheem Mostert, Kittle went bonkers with 15 grabs, 183 yards, and a touchdown against the Eagles in Week 4. I’m guessing that Shanahan’s patented running game will struggle on the road against a Patriots defense that still ranks in the top half of the league in defending the run. Kittle’s dominance continues, as Belichick won’t be able to effectively take away the San Francisco run game while also slowing down the maniacal tight end.
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Rob Searles is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Rob, follow him @RobBob17.