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Kyle Yates’ Week 5 Fantasy Projections (2020 Fantasy Football)

by Kyle Yates | @KyleYNFL | Featured Writer
Oct 8, 2020

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I love watching movies with my son. While he might watch more movies than he probably should at his age – no judgement from the fellow parents, please – it’s something that I really love to sit down and get to enjoy those moments with him.

While we have now watched the Cars trilogy 2,674 times, I’m thoroughly enjoying going back and watching the movies that were a huge part of my childhood. One of those movies is the 1992 version of Aladdin. Robin Williams’ performance as the Genie in that movie is one of the greatest of all time and will always be remembered as such. While watching this movie recently though, I did have a thought cross my mind regarding wishes.

What would be my three wishes? While I’m sure that thousands of people would be interested in knowing what my three wishes were – that was sarcasm in case you didn’t catch it – it created an interesting question in my mind that I want to ask you right now.

What would be your NFL three wishes?

If a genie granted you three wishes, but they could only revolve around the NFL, what would they be? Would you wish for your team to win the Super Bowl every year? Would you wish to go back in time and extend someone’s playing career? Would you wish to have season tickets for your favorite team for the rest of your life for free?

There are a lot of possibilities here and I think it’s an interesting question! If you have your answers, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter and let me know! I’m really interested to see what you can come up with here.

Matchup Links: TB at CHI | BUF at TEN | JAC at HOU | CIN at BAL | CAR at ATL | LVR at KC | ARI at NYJ | PHI at PIT | LAR at WAS | MIA at SF | NYG at DAL | DEN at NE | IND at CLE | MIN at SEA | LAC at NO

As we turn the page and look forward to this week’s action though, we’ve got some interesting matchups on the docket and a lot of interesting fantasy decisions that need to be made. My hope is that this article will serve as a fun way to inform you and help as you make your fantasy football lineup decisions for week five. Let’s take a look!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

Date/Time: October 8, 8:20pm ET
Odds
: Bucs -180
Over/Under: 44.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals
: Bucs 24, Bears 20.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Tom Brady 24/38 240 2 1 1 0 15.7
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB Ronald Jones 17 71 1 2 21 0 16.29
RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn 8 32 0 4 33 1 14.49
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Scott Miller 0 0 0 4 48 0 6.9
WR Mike Evans 0 0 0 3 44 0 6.13
WR Tyler Johnson 0 0 0 2 15 0 2.38
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Rob Gronkowski 0 0 0 5 51 1 13.49

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Chicago Bears

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Nick Foles 25/38 283 3 1 6 0 21.94
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB David Montgomery 15 57 0 3 32 0 10.61
RB N/A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Allen Robinson 0 0 0 7 87 1 18.17
WR Anthony Miller 0 0 0 4 57 1 13.85
WR Darnell Mooney 0 0 0 4 47 0 6.57
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Jimmy Graham 0 0 0 4 38 1 11.67

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Quarterback

Tampa Bay: Brady came out firing in week four and was able to put up some ridiculous numbers as the Buccaneers played catchup. This week, Brady gets a tough draw against the Bears defense that is keeping QBs in check for the most part. Brady can be viewed as a solid QB2 this week.

Chicago: Foles struggled in his first week as the starter and the offense simply wasn’t able to get much done against a very underrated Colts defense. Foles can be viewed as a low-end QB2 for this matchup against a solid Bucs defense.

Running Backs

Tampa Bay: Jones was able to get it done on the ground in week four, but he showed his deficiencies in the receiving game last weekend with several drops. With Fournette out again for this one, we should expect to see Jones get the majority of the work on the ground with potentially Vaughn factoring in as a receiver. Jones should see enough volume to be a solid low-end RB2.

Chicago: Montgomery was met frequently at the line of scrimmage last week and just simply didn’t have room to get anything done. He should bounce back against the Bucs defense, but this offense doesn’t appear to be going anywhere anytime soon, which limits Montgomery’s upside. He’s a low-end RB2/high-end RB3 until this offense can start moving the ball.

Wide Receivers

Tampa Bay: Evans comes into this game questionable and will test out his ankle in pre-game warmups to determine whether or not he’s able to play. Fantasy managers need to be on standby and ready to pull him out of their lineups if he can’t suit up. If he does play, he’s a low-end WR2 with the injury concerns. Miller looks like he’s trending to play in this game, but this is a tough matchup if he’s the only receiver of note that Chicago has to focus in on to stop this offense. If Evans plays, Miller should see secondary coverage and he’ll have enough opportunity to return low-end WR3 value. If Evans sits, Miller’s going to be hard to trust as anything more than a FLEX play and you’re hoping that he finds the end zone. Otherwise, none of the other Tampa WRs are worth considering in this game.

Chicago: Robinson wasn’t able to get anything done outside of garbage time, along with the rest of the Bears offense last week, but that doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t roll him back out into your lineup again this week. Robinson’s too talented to be ignored for fantasy purposes and this offense can only go up. He’s a solid low-end WR1. Miller wasn’t involved last week much, but he’s still worth considering as a WR4 or FLEX play every single week due to his scoring upside. Mooney is actually becoming a fantasy relevant player based on his target share in this offense. Foles was looking his way frequently last week and he could be on the redraft radar sooner than later. He’s simply someone worth monitoring and potentially picking up off your waiver wire if you’re in a pinch.

Tight Ends

Tampa Bay: Howard’s done for the season, so Gronkowski moves back into fantasy relevance by necessity. However, he’s not someone that you should be looking at as anything more than a touchdown-dependent TE2. He was a part of the offense in week three, but faded into oblivion last week. While he did receive an end-zone look, his usage is too unpredictable to rely on moving forward.

Chicago: Graham wasn’t involved last week until garbage time and he’s in the same territory as Gronkowski in this matchup for fantasy purposes. A touchdown-or-bust TE2.

FantasyProjection Buster: Based on the implied point totals from Vegas, the Bears should be able to put up three touchdowns in this game. However, with the fact that the Bears have yet to score a rushing touchdown this season, it’s difficult to project one of those to go to Montgomery. Therefore, Foles gets three passing touchdowns here, but those numbers could very easily fall short based on how he looked last week.

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Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Date/Time: October 13, 7:00pm ET
Odds
: TBD
Over/Under: TBD
Implied Vegas point totals
: TBD

Buffalo Bills

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Josh Allen 23/36 271 3 0 17 0 24.52
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB Devin Singletary 15 66 0 4 25 1 17.12
RB TJ Yeldon 2 8 0 1 7 0 1.87
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Stefon Diggs 0 0 0 7 102 1 19.89
WR Cole Beasley 0 0 0 5 58 1 14.43
WR Gabriel Davis 0 0 0 3 43 0 5.65
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Dawson Knox 0 0 0 2 20 0 2.79

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Tennessee Titans

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Ryan Tannehill 23/36 263 2 1 16 0 18.11
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB Derrick Henry 26 113 1 2 23 0 20.7
RB Darrynton Evans 3 10 0 2 14 0 3.26
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR AJ Brown 0 0 0 5 65 1 15.18
WR Adam Humphries 0 0 0 5 51 0 7.73
WR Kalif Raymond 0 0 0 2 23 0 3.02
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Jonnu Smith 0 0 0 6 65 1 15.29

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Date/Time: October 11, 1:00pm ET
Odds
: Texans -265
Over/Under: 54 points
Implied Vegas point totals
: Texans 30, Jaguars 24

Jacksonville Jaguars

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Gardner Minshew 26/40 281 2 0 24 0 21.6
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB James Robinson 14 60 1 4 25 0 16.37
RB Chris Thompson 2 8 0 3 22 0 4.34
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR DJ Chark 0 0 0 5 69 1 15.61
WR Laviska Shenault 0 0 0 4 54 1 13.59
WR Keelan Cole 0 0 0 5 60 0 8.7
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Tyler Eifert 0 0 0 3 25 0 3.85

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Houston Texans

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Deshaun Watson 23/35 261 3 1 28 0 23.24
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB David Johnson 12 48 1 3 28 0 15.24
RB Duke Johnson 6 24 0 2 23 0 5.91
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Will Fuller 0 0 0 5 71 1 15.83
WR Randall Cobb 0 0 0 3 35 1 11.03
WR Brandin Cooks 0 0 0 4 50 0 6.95
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Darren Fells 0 0 0 2 23 1 9.47

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Quarterback

Jacksonville: Coming off a game in which he threw for over 350 passing yards, Minshew deserves to be looked at as a streaming option yet again this week against Houston. This offense is simply going to be throwing the ball too much for Minshew to not have fantasy relevance.

Houston: Watson needed to come out and have a good day passing to calm his fantasy managers and he did just that by throwing for 300 yards exactly and two scores. Moving forward, this offense doesn’t exactly look amazing and they’re still towards the bottom of the NFL in terms of overall total plays ran. Watson’s fantasy outlook is going to depend on the matchup for whether or not we can trust him in our lineup. This matchup is a good one though for opposing fantasy QBs and Watson should be viewed as a low-end QB1 yet again.

Running Backs

Jacksonville: Robinson continues to get it done for fantasy football. He can be viewed as a solid low-end RB1 for this matchup.

Houston: Johnson was hyped up going into week four in a favorable matchup, but he wasn’t able to get much done. He should be viewed as a low-end RB2 for this game against the Jaguars. Duke Johnson came back and was more involved in the offense last week, but it’s still not going to be enough to push him into the RB3 conversation.

Wide Receivers

Jacksonville: Chark came back in a big way in week four and was able to put up a dominant fantasy performance. In this matchup, Chark should have another nice day and can be viewed as a solid WR2 with upside. Cole is seeing just enough work every single week to be viewed as a solid FLEX play and that should continue in this game against Houston. Shenault had a great day last week and he’s continuing to be utilized all over the formation to get the ball in his hands. Shenault can be viewed in the same territory as Cole for this game as a fine FLEX play.

Houston: You never know what version of Fuller you’re going to get on the field, but the better version came out roaring last week. Fuller put up over 100 yards receiving and a touchdown and nearly had another one too. For this game, Fuller should be viewed as a WR3 – like every week – that comes with tremendous upside. However, he also has the potential to simply disappear. Cooks was the big disappointment for fantasy managers in week four. He wasn’t able to reel in any of his three targets even though the matchup was incredible on paper. For this matchup, and moving forward, Cooks can’t be viewed as anything more than a FLEX play. Cobb continue to see his 4-6 targets per game, but it’s just simply not enough to push himself into FLEX consideration. He’s a WR5 this week.

Tight Ends

Jacksonville: Eifert’s seeing enough targets to be considered for fantasy football, but the production simply isn’t there. He’s a low-end TE2 for this week.

Houston: None of the Houston TEs should be considered for fantasy football this week.

FantasyProjection Buster: Cooks did literally nothing last week, but he was simply running too many routes for that to repeat. He certainly has a wide range of outcomes, so projecting him was very difficult this week.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Date/Time: October 11, 1:00pm ET
Odds
: Ravens -720
Over/Under: 51.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals
: Ravens 32, Bengals 19.5

Cincinnati Bengals

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Joe Burrow 22/39 243 2 1 23 0 18.08
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB Joe Mixon 18 70 1 4 33 0 18.55
RB Giovani Bernard 3 9 0 0 0 0 0.91
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Tyler Boyd 0 0 0 6 65 1 15.52
WR Tee Higgins 0 0 0 5 61 0 8.4
WR AJ Green 0 0 0 3 39 0 5.52
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Drew Sample 0 0 0 4 37 1 11.41

__________

Baltimore Ravens

POS NAME COMP/ATT PASS YDS TDs INTs RUSH YDS TDs FPTS
QB Lamar Jackson 16/24 197 2 0 45 1 26.33
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
RB Mark Ingram 10 44 1 1 8 0 11.69
RB Gus Edwards 9 42 0 0 0 0 4.17
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
WR Marquise Brown 0 0 0 4 55 1 13.32
WR Willie Snead 0 0 0 3 32 0 4.58
WR Miles Boykin 0 0 0 2 18 0 2.67
POS NAME CARRIES RUSH YDS TDs RECS REC YDS TDs FPTS
TE Mark Andrews 0 0 0 5 60 1 14.35

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Quarterback

Cincinnati: Burrow has been on fire to start the season and appears to be everything that he was hyped up to be coming into the NFL. With that being said, this isn’t exactly a favorable matchup for opposing QBs. Burrow gets a slight downgrade in this matchup and can be viewed as a QB2.

Baltimore: Jackson got back to form last week and should be a top option at the QB position yet again on Sunday.

Running Backs

Cincinnati: Fantasy managers everywhere exhaled heavily on Sunday after Mixon finally showed up in week four. He went off for three touchdowns last week and was also heavily involved out of the backfield as a receiver too. Mixon appears to be the only option in this backfield moving forward and can be viewed as a low-end RB1 in this tough matchup against Baltimore.

Baltimore: Ingram was able to find the end zone last week, but if he didn’t, you wouldn’t have been happy that you started him. He’s still a touchdown-dependent RB3 moving forward. Otherwise, it’s probably best to avoid this backfield moving forward.

Wide Receivers

Cincinnati: Boyd consistently gets it done for fantasy football and can be viewed as a low-end WR2 in this tough matchup. Higgins has emerged as the second receiving option on this Bengals team and has an extremely high ceiling moving forward. However, in this matchup, he’s a FLEX play. Green continues to see enough targets to keep him fantasy relevant, but his best days are behind him. If you need to move on from Green for fantasy football, I’m not opposed to letting someone else deal with the potential range of outcomes.

Baltimore: Brown got back to being a reliable fantasy option last week, but he still isn’t finding the end zone. Without that huge “blow up” potential, plus the potential wide range of outcomes, Brown needs to be viewed as a WR3 every week moving forward.

Tight Ends

Cincinnati: Sample’s seeing just enough work to cross over into fantasy relevance, but he’s still nothing more than a low-end TE2.

Baltimore: Andrews got back on track this past week and was able to find the end zone multiple times. There’s no reason to doubt plugging Andrews into your lineup every single week, especially in this matchup.

FantasyProjection Buster: Marquise Brown has a wide range of outcomes every single week. This is a great matchup for him and he should have a great day, but he could also come out and only catch two passes for minimal yardage.

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