StatHero NFL Lineup Advice: Week 6
If you haven’t heard of StatHero yet, you will soon. By combining weekly lineup-based competition with the structure of a survivor pool, the site offers multiple weeks of value for one entry fee.
How does it work? Each week, you’ll pick an NFL team and build a DFS lineup from players on their roster. You’ll choose one non-quarterback “MVP” to earn double points, a quarterback, three more skill-position players, and in the first week of each contest, a kicker. Your lineup just has to outscore StatHero’s lineup for you to “survive” and advance on to the next week — and you’ll win a payout in the process.
Aggressive Lineup: Kansas City Chiefs
As in a traditional survivor pool, you can only pick each team once. But since you’re guaranteed a payout if you survive past the first week, it makes sense to be aggressive early on to maximize your chances of winning something. Also, the Chiefs and the Bills are projected to score the most points on the slate this week, so it’s a strategic matchup to target. This week may also be the last one where you can get a bonafide workhorse running back here, as the backfield situation will get unpredictable once Le’Veon Bell can suit up.
If you do roll with the Chiefs, here’s the best way to structure your lineup:
MVP: Travis Kelce
Not only will Kelce get double points in your tight end slot, but all tight ends also get an additional half-point for catching a pass. That’s 3PPR! Kelce is averaging 6.4 receptions per game, which would give us 19.2 points for receptions alone. What’s better is that the Bills have the second-worst defense to tight ends in traditional PPR scoring, and they’ve also allowed the most receptions to the position (39) on the season. If you’re willing to burn your Chiefs pick early, Kelce should pay off in a big way.
QB: Patrick Mahomes
FLEX A: Tyreek Hill
There’s an argument to be made for Hill as your MVP. While I mentioned StatHero’s boosts for tight end receptions, I didn’t mention their buffs for long-range touchdowns — users get three extra points for 10-39 yard scores and six for those from 40-plus! That said, I would rather have Kelce’s floor at my MVP slot. Hill is a must-roster if you pick the Chiefs, though, because he’s second on this team in targets (35), and Sammy Watkins’ injury will give Mahomes fewer alternatives. If you’re worried about him drawing Tre’Davious White all day, don’t be — Hill plays just under half of his snaps out of the slot, and White won’t follow him there.
FLEX B: Mecole Hardman
We’ll take one final Chiefs receiver for this matchup. Hardman has been incredibly boom-or-bust thus far, but the injury to Watkins should increase his usage. Watkins was averaging 5.8 targets per game before his injury, compared to Hardman’s 3.4 and Demarcus Robinson’s 3.0. While Robinson is likelier to see Watkins’ mid-range looks, I’m expecting Hardman to get one or two more long-yardage chances than usual in what should be a high-scoring game, and he only needs to convert one of those plays to return value at StatHero.
FLEX C: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Let’s round out this aggressive lineup with a safety valve. CEH hasn’t been the player some people expected him to be so far, but he’s still getting used a lot, and volume is king in fantasy sports. CEH has carried the ball 81 times so far, the seventh-most times in the league, and he’s not splitting work with anyone in this backfield. Neither Darrel Williams (11 carries) nor Darwin Thompson (6) is a serious threat to his workload on the ground. His 3.4 receptions per game also give him a nice boost due to StatHero’s PPR scoring, so CEH makes sense as a good high-floor play to balance out Hardman and Hill.
Contrarian Lineup: Detroit Lions
If you want to hold off on picking an elite team in Week 6, the Lions are a smart alternative. They’ll take on the Jacksonville Jaguars, the league’s least-efficient defense, so they’re good bets to produce offensively. While there is some risk that the Lions could get out to a big lead and run out the clock, Detroit’s defense is the third-worst in the league, so Jacksonville should be able to keep things close. The projected point total for this game sits at 54.5, the third-most on the slate, which makes this a fantastic game to target.
MVP: Kenny Golladay
Since he returned in Week 3, Golladay has caught 10 of his 15 targets for 119 yards and two scores. He is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns despite playing in two fewer games than his competition, and he has a team-high 24.6% target share through his two games played. The Lions have a lot of mid-tier weapons, but Golladay is the best of the bunch, and his usage reflects that. He’s always a threat to score from relatively deep, too, as both of his touchdowns would’ve earned you three-point distance bonuses (or six extra points from your MVP slot!).
QB: Matthew Stafford
FLEX A: T.J. Hockenson
In TE-Premium scoring, Hockenson is a lock for this lineup. The Iowa alumnus ranks second on this team in targets (20), and he’s only behind Danny Amendola (21), whose target share has plummeted to 11.4% since Golladay’s return. In contrast, Hockenson has maintained an 18% target share with Golladay back in the lineup, and he’s one of Stafford’s favorite targets close to the goal line. The matchup is also a good one for Hock: the Jaguars are the eighth-worst defense in traditional PPR points allowed to tight ends.
FLEX B: Adrian Peterson
The Detroit backfield is an absolute mess, and it’s hard to justify picking any of their three running backs. That said, Peterson has the highest floor of the bunch, and I’m recommending him as a result. The veteran has toted the rock 54 times this year, good for 13.5 attempts per game, and he’s averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Though he’s only found paydirt once, he has attempted 57.1% of Detroit’s red-zone carries, so he has the best chance to score of the three backs.
FLEX C: Marvin Jones
To be blunt, Jones has been a disappointment through his first four games. He didn’t do much while Kenny Golladay sat out, and he let Quintez Cephus and Marvin Hall steal some of his thunder. That said, Jones has an incredibly high ceiling in this format. Last season, Jones scored nine touchdowns, five of which were from 10 yards or deeper. In 2018, he caught five of them, three of which would’ve triggered StatHero’s distance bonus. He’s not a lock to pop off on any occasion, but as we saw in his four-touchdown showing last season, he has matchup-winning potential, and that’s much more than what any of Detroit’s other players have to offer.
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