If you had the first overall pick in your redraft league, I’m sure you were excited about getting Christian McCaffrey. But we’re 10 weeks into the season now, and he’ll have played just three times by the end of Carolina’s Week 10 matchup. Sorry, I guess it’s just not your year.

Fortunately, you can always pivot to DFS! Injuries may derail your lineup one week, but they won’t affect you the next, so it’s a great alternative if you’re struggling through a losing season thanks to the injury bug.

Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on numbers pulled from full-slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.

Check out our full Projected Roster % Report here

Quarterback

Kyler Murray is close to chalk this week, so you should bet on him in cash leagues and against him in tournaments. His tilt with the Bills is already projected to be the highest-scoring game on the slate, and since safety Micah Hyde may not be able to suit up, Murray could be an even more valuable fantasy asset.

Behind Murray, Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen should both be popular picks. Both are slightly cheaper than Murray, although not by much. Allen is an especially good start, especially since Cardinals safety Budda Baker may also not be good to go.

Rodgers has an easy matchup, and the Packers should certainly beat the Jaguars on Sunday. That said, there’s a decent chance that they prioritize the run, and that would come at his expense. If you’re looking to spend up at quarterback, Murray is probably the smarter choice because of his rushing floor.

Of the remaining names, Goff offers certainly the most value. He’ll face the Seattle Seahawks, and they’re giving up the most DraftKings points per game (DKPPG) to the position (30.4).

Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End

Woah. Davante Adams and Mike Davis are chalk this week, so you should bet on them in tournaments and against them in cash leagues. I know that Austin Ekeler shows up in the +40% range as well, but he isn’t going to play this week, so don’t expect to see him in any lineups.

While Adams has been exceptional this season, Week 10 might not be the best week to play him — there’s a good chance that the Packers roll with the running game here, and Allen Lazard has a good chance to return. Both of those factors make his $9,000 a risky investment.

Mike Davis looks like a phenomenal value, however. With Christian McCaffrey sidelined once again, he should see a ton of work, and he’s worth starting at this price even against a tough Tampa Bay defense.

We’ve only got one other player above the 10-20% range: Aaron Jones. I’ve been hyping up the Packers running game in this article, so I’m not surprised to see that Jones is close to chalk. Since the Jaguars give up the sixth-most DKPPG to the position (28.7), he’s a fantastic stud starter this week. He could trend closer to chalk as kickoff approaches.

Among the rest of the names here, I’m a big fan of Robert Woods. He’ll play the Seahawks this week, and Seattle gives up the most DKPPG (63.2) to the position. James Robinson is another starter to highlight, as I think he’ll overcome a poor game script to pop off against Green Bay’s defense, as they give up the second-most DKPPG to running backs (35).

In a week without Travis Kelce, both Austin Hooper and Darren Waller cracked this list. Hooper is an attractive option because of his price point, and he has a decent chance to hit value for you here. Waller is the better upside play, though, as he gets a ton of volume and can be relied upon to help your lineups cash.

Defense

We don’t have much consensus at defense here, although all but two of these teams have something in common — they’re favored in the betting market. Two teams, the Packers and Saints, are particularly large favorites. While I’m not a fan of Green Bay, as they won’t have Jaire Alexander this week, the Saints are a fantastic option as 9.5-point favorites. And since the Niners won’t have Jimmy Garoppolo, Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, and Deebo Samuel, they’re an especially nice offense to target.

So who are the underdogs on this list? The New York Giants and the Seattle Seahawks. The Giants four-point dogs against the Philadelphia Eagles, and they’re not a bad pick here, as they give up the 13th-fewest total points per game to opposing offenses. I don’t like Seattle, though, as their defense has been unable to stop anyone all year — which is reflected in their price

Personally, I would have to roll with the Washington Football Team here. They give up the 11th-fewest points per game, yet they get the third-most sacks per game, and the Lions’ offensive line has the 11th-worst adjusted sack rate in the league. Even better, the Lions can’t defend against the run, so Washington should be able to control the time of possession. They’re only $3,200 on DraftKings, and I would start them over any of the other units on this list.

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Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.