Dynasty Buy/Sell/Hold: Week 11
The 2020 season continues to just fly by and we’re already heading into Week 11 with the fantasy football playoffs just around the corner. By now, you probably already know if you’re going to make a playoff run or not, but if your team is on the fence and you need to get a couple of wins, these buys and sells could be crucial. There are a few players that I’m looking at this week that you can try to get your hands on to help you win now. On the other hand, if you’re rebuilding it’s always a good time to target future draft picks. Whatever your situation might be, here are some players I’m buying, selling, or holding on my dynasty teams.
Nyheim Hines (RB – IND)
The first guy I’m looking at this week is Nyheim Hines of the Indianapolis Colts. He’s coming off a huge game against the Titans where he totaled 115 total yards and two touchdowns. Hines has several games this year where he went off and is currently the RB16 in PPR scoring thanks to those big games. Outside of his three weeks where he put up 20+ PPR points, he has just one game with double-digit fantasy points. At this point, many owners are freaking out about Jonathan Taylor and I’ve even seen some comparisons to Trent Richardson’s rookie campaign. I definitely still think Taylor is the most talented back on this offense and with a solid offensive line, I’m still banking on Taylor taking over. If you’re not winning right now, Hines is one of the more obvious sell-high candidates right now. If you’re making a playoff run, I don’t mind holding onto him, but honestly, I don’t think you’ll ever feel very comfortable with starting him. Even with his very nice playoff schedule for the fantasy playoffs. In seven of his nine games, he’s had 28 rushing yards or fewer. He’s obviously involved in the passing game enough that he could still be fantasy relevant with a decent floor, but for the most part I’m selling high. If there’s an owner in your league who thinks Hines is legit and that Taylor could be a bust, I’d sell high if possible.
Verdict – Sell High
Aaron Jones (RB – GB)
Right now, Aaron Jones is the RB7 in PPR scoring and has been great this year, although his touchdowns have started to drop, which was expected. He’s got seven total touchdowns this year after racking up 19 last year, which was tied for the top in the NFL with Christian McCaffrey. Jones draws an above-average schedule for the fantasy playoffs, with the Lions, Panthers, and Titans. However, in his next three games, he has tough matchups against the Colts, Bears, and Eagles. Jones is coming off a season where he wasn’t just good, but he was elite and finished as the RB2 overall. He’s on pace to finish as an RB1 once again, and for 2021 he’ll be entering his fifth season in the NFL and turns 26 years old.
The biggest thing I’m looking at with Jones is that he’ll be an unrestricted free agent after this 2020 season, and it’s pretty clear that he’ll be expecting a large contract. The Packers will need to make some changes with their cap situation, or find a good chunk that they can pay Jones with. There’s definitely a chance that the Packers move on from him, and if I’m not winning now, I’d sell high. On the other hand, if you’re making a playoff run, your best bet is to hold and hope his touchdown production continues. It’s always tough to sell high-end running backs like this, but if your team is rebuilding, he’s someone worth considering cashing out on.
Verdict – Sell High/Hold
Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN)
Every once in a while, there are players who I am comfortable with buying, even if their price tag is high. Right now, I’m looking at the fifth-year wide receiver for the Bengals, Tyler Boyd. He’s absolutely not going to be cheap to buy, but he’s clearly looked the part and is someone that I’m comfortable with paying up for. His teammate, rookie Tee Higgins is currently the WR22 on the season and just put up his second 100+ yard game of his career. AJ Green is done, at least with the Bengals he’s not relevant for fantasy football purposes anymore, he’s the WR76 in PPR. Boyd is the WR12 in PPR right now and is coming off a very solid 2019 season and his second straight 1,000+ yard season. He’s going to be a vital part of this offense and although he’s been better than Higgins for fantasy purposes, he doesn’t get quite the love he deserves, and most of the focus in the dynasty world right now is on the rookie, Higgins.
I’m using this time to buy Boyd if I can, despite the fact that his price tag is still pretty high. According to our dynasty rankings, Boyd is the WR28 while Higgins is the WR22. He’s also got an excellent playoff schedule this year, matching up against the Cowboys, Steelers, and Texans in Weeks 14 through 16. I don’t mind acquiring Higgins as well as he really has looked great too, but Boyd is a more reasonable buy candidate right now. Higgins will simply be too expensive. Owners tend to fall in love with the young players, which is fair, but Boyd is probably going to be cheaper to acquire.
Verdict – Buy
Corey Davis (WR – TEN)
One player that has quietly had a very nice season, is Corey Davis of the Tennessee Titans. In a fairly similar light to Higgins, the younger player on this offense continues to get the hype. AJ Brown has not just been good, but he’s been elite and I’m definitely not saying that the hype isn’t warranted, it absolutely is. However, Davis has averaged 13.7 points per game in PPR formats, and he’s played in seven of their nine games this year. I am not really even expecting a fourth-year breakout season for Davis, but as someone who was a very talented prospect and a top-five draft pick, he’s definitely got the pedigree and has shown flashes at times. Most Davis owners are probably either sick of holding on to him or are still waiting for a breakout. I’m looking to acquire Davis where I can as he’s been a solid Flex option or WR3 when he’s been active. Davis has two 100+ yard games this year as well, and with all of the hype around Brown, you might be able to find a cheap way of getting a piece of this offense by acquiring Davis.
Verdict – Buy Low
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) and Marquise Brown (WR – BAL)
I’m including both of these guys here just because I believe they’re both in a similar position. Lamar Jackson has been underwhelming this year, which isn’t saying much considering he’s the QB9 overall. However, after a season like he had last year, fantasy owners definitely aren’t as excited about owning Jackson as they were a year ago. That being said, Jackson still is extremely talented and young, and his upside in the rushing game is obviously huge for his fantasy value. He’s not cheap by any means, but this might be one of the cheapest opportunities for you to buy Jackson. He’s also got a very nice playoff schedule, drawing the Browns, Jaguars, and Giants in Weeks 14 through 16. Jackson was being drafted as the QB1 or QB2 in every draft, especially in Superflex and 2QB leagues where he was often the first or second player off the board in startup drafts. Either way, he’s still extremely valuable in those formats and this might be the cheapest you’ll see his price in a long time.
Verdict – Buy
Marquise Brown isn’t someone who I’ve ever been crazy about as a prospect, but he’s cheap enough now that I’d consider buying. He’s currently the WR46 in PPR scoring and is averaging 6.1 points per game, and in 2019 he averaged just 7.2 points per game. His 55 targets are good for the 34th in the NFL for wide receivers and he actually leads the Ravens in both yards (431) and targets. Mark Andrews has 53 targets and has two more catches than Brown for what it’s worth. Regardless, Brown is being targeted the most on this offense and his price tag is cheap enough that I’d be interested in buying. He’s currently the WR32 in our dynasty rankings, so he won’t cost you too much. For the upside, he could bring in this offense and with his nice schedule moving forward, I’d be buying low if possible.
Verdict – Buy Low
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