Dynasty Buy/Sell/Hold: Week 9
The 2020 fantasy football season is officially halfway over, and once again, we are looking at some players to buy, sell, or hold on your dynasty rosters.
This far into the season, it’s pretty clear which players are for real and which ones are not. By now, you probably know mathematically if you can still make the playoffs. If that’s the case, it’s time to look ahead and make some changes. The worst place to finish in a dynasty league is in the middle of the pack: fifth, sixth, or seventh. You either want to make a playoff run or work towards getting a better pick in next year’s rookie draft. Whatever your situation might be, here are some players to buy, sell, or hold in your dynasty leagues.
David Montgomery (RB – CHI)
First up is the second-year running back in Chicago, David Montgomery, out of Iowa State. Montgomery finished his rookie campaign as the RB24 in PPR scoring, making him just barely a low-end RB2. Right now, he’s the RB14 in PPR scoring, averaging 13.2 PPR points per game on the season. He’s totaled 442 rushing yards, good for 13th in the NFL as well.
Although Montgomery has only found the end zone twice this year, he should do more often as the three-down back in Chicago. Montgomery has been a bit overlooked this year, but he’s been consistent and continues to give you RB2 numbers just about every week with 10 or more fantasy points in six of his eight games this year.
Montgomery isn’t the cheapest player to acquire right now, but if you need a safe RB2, he is one of the cheaper ones out there. Montgomery is a nice, young running back that should have a safe floor as long as he’s in Chicago, even when Tarik Cohen comes back in 2021. He’s someone I’m looking to buy regardless of whether I’m winning now or rebuilding.
Todd Gurley (RB – ATL)
Next up is Todd Gurley, who is currently the RB7 in PPR scoring leagues. Gurley has been finding the end zone just about every week, as he’s scored in six of eight weeks with eight total rushing touchdowns, which is second in the NFL behind only Dalvin Cook.
Gurley has the third-most rushing attempts in the NFL (140) and the fourth-most rushing yards for running backs (531). Gurley has been solid this year, despite averaging 3.8 YPC, which is the second-lowest average he’s had in his six years in the NFL. He also hasn’t been overly involved in the passing game — his zero receiving touchdowns and 13 receptions put him at 37th in the NFL in that category. If you’re making a run at a championship, I have no issue holding onto him — unless you have enough depth that you can afford to move him. However, if you’re not contending, he is definitely a sell-high candidate.
Verdict: Sell High
Tony Pollard (RB – DAL)
The next player I’m looking at is another running back, Tony Pollard of the Dallas Cowboys. It’s no secret that Ezekiel Elliott has struggled over the last few weeks, and we’ve seen the Cowboys give Pollard a bit more week, especially when Elliott fumbled several times the other night.
Elliott is currently averaging 17.3 PPR points per game, which is still giving him low-end RB1 numbers, but this is his worst points per game average in his five years in the NFL. I do still expect Elliott to be good and actually had him as a buy-low candidate recently.
That said, the Cowboys offense is clearly struggling without Dak Prescott, and I’m looking to acquire Pollard on the off chance that something changes in Dallas or the Cowboys just start giving him more work in general. Whether you have Elliott or not, Pollard is someone I’d be looking to buy low on right now, regardless of your team’s situation.
Verdict: Buy Low
Julio Jones (WR – ATL)
Despite missing two games this year, Julio Jones has actually been active in six games so far, although he’s been dealing with a hamstring injury. Jones is currently the WR20 on the season; his teammate, Calvin Ridley, is the WR2. He has 657 yards, good for the fifth-most in the NFL. Yes, Jones has been dealing with this lingering hamstring injury, but it appears that Ridley is taking over as the top wide receiver in Atlanta. That said, Jones is still an absolute stud of a wide receiver, but it’s no secret that his fantasy production has fallen off, as he’s 31 years old and turns 32 in February. If I’m not winning now, I’d be selling high on Jones if possible.
Jones can be a tough one to sell, as many owners are hesitant due to his age, but he’s worth shopping around. Personally, if I’m contending this year, I’d be happy to buy Jones as his price is not nearly what it has been in recent years. That being said, Jones’ price should still be high enough that he’s worth selling high if possible. There are more than likely a few owners who would love to take Jones and just ride off with him into the sunset. On my teams where I’m making a playoff run, I’ll happily hold onto Jones, but if your team is young and rebuilding, he’s a sell-high candidate.
Verdict: Sell High/Hold
Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)
As usual, when I’m talking about quarterbacks here, it’s assumed that I’m referring to Superflex and 2QB leagues. We all saw the brutal injury to Dak Prescott in Week 5 against the Giants, and it’s no secret that Prescott was lighting it up before his injury. He had 1,856 yards with nine touchdowns, adding another three touchdowns that he ran in. It can be fun to extrapolate numbers, but obviously, that can get a bit ridiculous at times. That said, Prescott was on pace for 5,000-plus passing yards and around 30 total touchdowns. Regardless of whether the Cowboys end up re-signing him or not, which they should, Prescott is beyond proven in the NFL and has shown that he can be an elite fantasy option — especially in Superflex and 2QB leagues, where quarterbacks are even more valuable.
If you’re looking at 2021 and beyond, Prescott is definitely someone I’d look to acquire. With some uncertainty around his contract situation and future in the NFL, there are definitely some owners who are hesitant to invest. In one of my Superflex leagues, Prescott was sold for Andy Dalton and a future pick. Obviously, this isn’t going to be a common thing, but it’s a good example of what can happen when a team with an asset like Prescott is in win-now mode. For the most part, I’m buying in on Prescott, but if you’re winning now without him and your team has an obvious hole or two, he could be worth selling. He won’t be cheap in these formats, but I’m still confident in the 27-year old’s future in the NFL, and I’m buying.
Rob Gronkowski (TE – TB)
I’ll make this last one quick, but it’s worth noting that Rob Gronkowski and Tom Brady are clearly back on the same page. It took a few weeks for Gronk to get going, not to mention an injury to O.J. Howard, but he appears to be getting back up to full speed. Gronkowski has scored a touchdown in three straight games and has double-digit fantasy points in those three as well. He’s worked his way up to TE10 on the season, making him a low-end TE1. Gronk isn’t going to be the fantasy stud that he once was, but he’s someone you can start every week moving forward.
If I’m not winning now, I’d definitely sell him, but for the most part, I’m buying him where I can. I’m sure many managers won’t be sold on Gronk as a weekly starter, but if I’m winning now. I’ll gladly buy him if I need a tight end. His price won’t be terrible, and you can start him every week until further notice.
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team, and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.