FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 11 (2020)
Welcome to Week 11 everyone. The main slate is missing the Kansas City Chiefs, Seattle Seahawks, and Arizona Cardinals. So much for having fun I suppose…
There are still two games with totals over 50 points, however, and there are some good matchups in expected spots. The key to a few of these matchups however will be game-time injury decisions as well as who certain teams are rolling with as starters. Suffice to say, write a few of these players’ names in pencil rather than in ink.
The players below are ones I’m looking at for cash game considerations in Week 11 of the 2020 season:
Jameis Winston (NO): $7,200 vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sean Payton is being secretive about his intentions at quarterback this week, but it should be pretty clear that Winston will take a lot of snaps against a pass-friendly defense. This doesn’t necessarily mean that Taysom Hill won’t be heavily involved in the gameplan, but DFS isn’t like ESPN fantasy football (where Hill is TE eligible).
The Falcons defense (somehow) is giving up more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than the Seattle Seahawks. They have allowed a 300+ yard passer in five of their last six games (with the only player not to do it being Teddy Bridgewater who got injured). Yes, the interceptions are probably going to be there from Winston, but he will likely also rack up a lot of passing yards and a couple scores as well.
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT): $8,000 at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars defense has been terrible this season. They’ve allowed five 300+ yard passing games on the season. Over their last three games opposing quarterbacks are averaging 317 passing yards and two touchdown passes. Roethlisberger has topped 300 passing yards in his last two games with seven touchdowns in those two games.
D’Andre Swift (DET): $6,900 at Carolina Panthers
I’m keeping this one here temporarily due to the matchup, but due to the unforeseen injury news regarding a concussion, be ready to pivot if you’re looking at Swift.
The only reason I didn’t move this player to the notables section is that this matchup is too good to pass up given the Panthers’ inability to stop opposing running backs. If Swift misses this game, Adrian Peterson is absolutely a cash game option at $5,100.
Antonio Gibson (WAS): $6,500 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals defense has been generous to opposing running backs on the ground. Gibson is currently third in the NFL in missed tackles forced per touch according to PFF. They also have graded Gibson as the fifth-highest offensive rookie on the season. Gibson is currently on pace for 1,100 scrimmage yards and 12 touchdowns. He has accounted for a third of Washington’s offensive touchdowns.
The issue with Gibson vs. teammate J.D. McKissic is whether or not the Football Team can get (and maintain) a lead.
Touch shares while leading:
Antonio Gibson (36%) vs. McKissic (11%)
Touch shares while trailing:
Antonio Gibson (19%) vs. McKissic (35%)
Washington currently is a 1.5-point favorite.
— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) November 19, 2020
Jakobi Meyers (NE): $6,000 at Houston Texans
A WR1 at WR3 cost. This week Meyers and company are going against a defense that has been bleeding yards (and fantasy points) to opposing teams. Over the last three weeks, Meyers has the highest scaled WOPR in the league according to airyards.com. He has had a 60% market share of air yards and a 42% target share over that time period. Meyers is third in the NFL in yards per route run (2.99) and is PFF’s third highest-graded receiver on the season. At the price of $6,000 and with his relationship on (and off) the field with Cam Newton, Meyers is about as close to a lock as possible this week.
Story: Patriots WR Jakobi Meyers' connection with Cam Newton began years ago https://t.co/MatZpCVfsd
— Mike Reiss (@MikeReiss) November 13, 2020
Keenan Allen (LAC): $8,000 vs. New York Jets
Start Allen this week, because quite simply the Jets aren’t starting anyone at cornerback.
With Brian Poole on IR, Pierre Desir cut and now Bless Austin dealing with a neck issue, Jets cornerbacks are:
Rookie Bryce Hall
Undrafted rookie Lamar Jackson
Undrafted rookie Javelin Guidry
— Manish Mehta (@MMehtaNYDN) November 19, 2020
Dallas Goedert (PHI): $5,800 at Cleveland Browns
Three Eagles wide receivers were recently quarantined due to COVID-19 calling into question their availability this week. Goedert returning from injury has played in 84% and 93% of the snaps, respectively, in his last two games. This is encouraging as it appears that the Eagles have gone away from using multiple tight ends lately. Entering last week, the Eagles used 12-personnel just 10.8% of the time in their three previous games.
Last week Goedert was targeted six times hauling in four catches for 33 yards.
Dallas Goedert yesterday:
* 62-of-67 snaps
* 19 snaps slot or wide
* 35 routes on 41 Wentz dropbacks
* 6 targets for a 16% share
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) November 16, 2020
Expect Goedert to be heavily involved in the game plan this week if the Eagles are down multiple pass catchers.
Logan Thomas (WAS): $5,200 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Thomas has seen at least four targets in every game this season. In the three games that Alex Smith has played in, Thomas is second in air yards and third in targets. Thomas is averaging 8.8 air yards per target on the season, fourth-most among tight ends with 40 or more targets. The revenge narrative is also in play this week for Thomas.
Highest 2020 TE Dominator Rating
— RotoUnderworld (@rotounderworld) November 18, 2020
Miami Dolphins D/ST: $4,800 at Denver Broncos
The Broncos continue to be a great source for opposing defensive points. Ten interceptions and ten sacks over the last five games will often do that. Throw in the fact that Drew Lock is battling an injury and is a game-time decision? Woof.
The Dolphins defense is fun to watch. They gave Herbert this amoeba look 4 times on 3rd down. pic.twitter.com/5Cp3734eIt
— Daniel Jeremiah (@MoveTheSticks) November 16, 2020
Other notables: Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST: $5,000 @ JAC; Atlanta Falcons D/ST: $3,200 @ NO (the last touchdown Winston threw in the NFL was to Deion Jones)
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