Top 10 NFL Player Prop Bets On DraftKings (Week 12)
We compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from DraftKings Sportsbook to give you the best prop bet picks. Here are our top 10 picks for Week 12.
|1||Brandon Allen (CIN – QB)||vs. NYG||Passing Yards||
|2||D.J. Moore (CAR – WR)||@ MIN||Receiving Yards||
|3||Mike Williams (LAC- WR)||@ BUF||Receiving Yards||
|4||Josh Allen (BUF – QB)||vs. LAC||Passing Yards||
|5||Damien Harris (NE – RB)||vs. ARI||Rushing Yards||
|6||Kirk Cousins (MIN – QB)||vs. CAR||Passing Yards||
|7||Phillip Lindsay (DEN – RB)||vs. NO||Rushing Yards||
|8||DeAndre Hopkins (ARI – WR)||@ NE||Receiving Yards||
|9||Taysom Hill (NO – QB)||@ DEN||Rushing Yards||
|10||Darius Slayton (NYG – WR)||@ CIN||Receiving Yards||
Brandon Allen (CIN – QB): OVER 215.5 Passing Yards
The Cincinnati Bengals have apparently seen enough of Ryan Finley, as they pegged Brandon Allen as this week’s starter early in the week. Allen started three games for Denver last year, throwing for 515 yards while posting a 1-2 record. Allen has familiarity with head coach Zac Taylor as they were together on the Los Angeles Rams where Taylor was an assistant in 2017 and 2018. That familiarity should help Allen fare better than he did in his time in Denver. In addition, running back Giovanni Bernard is questionable for Sunday’s game. If he cannot go, it could be a much heavier pass-heavy attack in a game the Bengals should be trailing.
D.J. Moore (CAR – WR): OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards
D.J. Moore has at least 55 yards receiving in five of his last six games, including four games of 93+ yards in that span. Though he had instant chemistry with the team’s backup quarterback P.J. Walker, Moore will have a healthy Teddy Bridgewater throwing him passes. He gets set to face the Vikings’ 25th-ranked pass defense that allows 260.7 YPG. Moore has 13 receptions of 20+ yards and four catches of 40+ yards, so he will not need many targets to surpass this total.
Mike Williams (LAC – WR): OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Williams has at least 72 receiving yards in three of his last four games and has been one of quarterback Justin Herbert’s favorite targets since he took over the starting job. He has had at least seven targets in four of his last six games and might be peppered with even more passes in this one if Buffalo’s shutdown cornerback Tre’Davious White shadows Keenan Allen all game. 42.5 receiving yards is an awfully conservative projection for Williams in a game that has a projected 52.5 points.
Josh Allen (BUF – QB): UNDER 285.5 Passing Yards
Bills quarterback Josh Allen has topped this projected total just twice in the last six games. Now he faces the 13th-ranked Chargers defense that allows just 228.7 passing yards per game. Los Angeles’s fierce pass rush may cause Allen to get the ball out of his hands quicker than usual. Allen’s rushing attempts have declined for four straight weeks, so this could be the week offensive coordinator Brian Daboll draws up some more designed runs as they are coming off their bye week. In addition, it may take Allen time to get used to the fact that one of his best offensive linemen Cody Ford has been ruled out with a torn meniscus.
Damien Harris (NE – RB): OVER 48.5 Rushing Yards
Damien Harris has exceeded this projected total in four of the last five games. Now he has less competition in the backfield as teammate Rex Burkhead is out for the season. Look for head coach Bill Belichick to utilize a more traditional backfield with Harris as his bell cow while James White serves as the passing down back. The Patriots will likely use a conservative ball-control game plan so as to keep Arizona’s explosive offense off the field, which means Harris may see 20+ touches.
Kirk Cousins (MIN – QB): OVER 227.5 Passing Yards
After not attempting 30 or more passes in five of the first seven games, Kirk Cousins has that many attempts in back to back weeks. His low projection is a result of second-leading receiver Adam Thielen missing Sunday’s game after testing positive for the coronavirus. However, Thielen’s absence should lead to more stacked boxes to limit Dalvin Cook, which in turn should help Cousins’ output. Cousins has a passer rating of 145.4 when not under pressure since Week 8, which is best among 34 qualified quarterbacks. That bodes well considering the Carolina defense ranks 26th in sacks per game.
Phillip Lindsay (DEN – RB): OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards
The Denver Broncos backfield had a breakout game last week as Phillip Lindsay and Melvin Gordon combined for 166 yards on 31 carries against the Dolphins. They look to continue that success against a Saints defense that ranks second against the run allowing just 74.3 yards per game. Lindsay out-carried Gordon 16-15 last week, so a similar workload should easily have him surpass this low total even if he is facing a stout run defense.
DeAndre Hopkins (ARI – WR): OVER 73.5 Receiving Yards
DeAndre Hopkins has had a rollercoaster the last six weeks from a yardage perspective. He has surpassed 100 receiving yards three times in that span, while being held to 73 yards or less the other three times. He is facing a New England defense that is not the vintage defense we are accustomed to under Bill Belichick. If Patriots cornerback Stephon Gilmore is still hampered by a knee injury that cost him three games, Hopkins’ outlook receives a massive boost.
Taysom Hill (NO – QB): UNDER 53.5 Rushing Yards
In his first game as starting quarterback, Taysom Hill ran for 51 yards on ten attempts. The more Hill grows comfortable in this Saints offense, the less we should see him run and the more head coach Sean Payton will utilize him as a more conventional quarterback. Teammate Alvin Kamara had his worst game of the season with 45 total yards last week, so we should see the Saints had a more concerted effort to get him going which will come at the expense of Hill’s rushing total.
Darius Slayton (NYG – WR): OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards
Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton has at least seven targets in two of his last three games and has responded with 74.5 YPG in those games. His 15.4 YPC ranks 14th in the NFL and faces a Bengals defense that allows 254.7 passing yards per game which ranks 23rd in the league. New York’s implied total is 25 points, and Slayton is a good bet to be responsible for a lot of that success.
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