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Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings From the Most Accurate Experts

Nov 14, 2020

Here’s a look at fantasy football rankings from our most accurate experts of the 2020 season. These rankings are for half-PPR scoring fantasy football formats.

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Week 10 Quarterback Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Kyler Murray ARI vs. BUF 7.6 A+ 24.2 5.6 73% (11/15) 14% Great
2 Josh Allen BUF at ARI 7 A 23.1 3.3 64% (11/17) 10% Great
3 Aaron Rodgers GB vs. JAC 8 A 22.7 0.3 46% (7/15) 0% Great
4 Russell Wilson SEA at LAR 5.8 A 22.2 1.6 46% (7/15) 2% Great
5 Deshaun Watson HOU at CLE 7.8 A 21.8 1.2 57% (8/14) 6% Great
6 Justin Herbert LAC at MIA 3.6 B+ 21.4 9.3 85% (6/7) 3% Great
7 Lamar Jackson BAL at NE 4.4 B+ 21.1 1.6 53% (8/15) 7% Great
8 Tom Brady TB at CAR 3.2 B 20.5 -0.2 37% (6/16) 3% Great
9 Jared Goff LAR vs. SEA 7.2 B 20 0.8 56% (9/16) 5% Great
10 Carson Wentz PHI at NYG 8.4 B 19.5 2.6 60% (9/15) 6% Great
11 Drew Brees NO vs. SF 7.6 B- 19.1 2.9 68% (11/16) 3% Great
12 Ben Roethlisberger PIT vs. CIN 9.4 B- 18.5 0.9 62% (5/8) 4% Great
13 Ryan Tannehill TEN vs. IND 4 C+ 18.1 5.1 66% (10/15) 1% Great
14 Derek Carr LV vs. DEN 5 C+ 17.8 1.3 56% (9/16) 4% Great
15 Tua Tagovailoa MIA vs. LAC 7 C 17.6 -0.7 14% (1/7) 0% Poor
16 Baker Mayfield CLE vs. HOU 7.8 C 17.3 1.2 50% (8/16) 1% Great
17 Joe Burrow CIN at PIT 6.8 C- 17.1 3 75% (6/8) 7% Good
18 Drew Lock DEN at LV 6 D+ 17 0.3 41% (5/12) 5% Good
19 Matthew Stafford DET vs. WAS 8.4 D 16.8 -0.3 50% (4/8) 1% Great
20 Teddy Bridgewater CAR vs. TB 3.2 D 16.6 0.9 37% (6/16) 4% Great

 
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
His second start looked much better than the first, as he completed 20-of-28 passes for 248 yards and two touchdowns, though the lack of volume is a problem. That’s just 50 pass attempts in his first two NFL starts, so unless he’s a hyper-efficient passer (like he was against the Cardinals), he’s not going to provide a very high floor for streamers. The Chargers have faced an average of 37.0 pass attempts per game, as teams have chosen to pass the ball 61.9 percent of the time against them, which is the sixth-highest mark in football. Volume has been necessary, as there have been just two quarterbacks who’ve averaged more than 7.17 yards per attempt against the Chargers. There have been four quarterbacks who’ve finished as top-12 options against the Chargers, but every one of them threw the ball 41-plus times. What has to make you feel good about Tagovailoa this week is that the Chargers have allowed five straight teams to score 29 or more points, while the Dolphins have a 25.3-point implied team total. The lack of pass attempts are a concern though, and unless the Chargers jump out to a big lead, it’s hard to see that changing, which is what keeps Tagovailoa in the middling QB2 range.

Drew Lock (DEN)
It was good to see him take advantage of a great matchup last week, as he racked up a career-high 313 yards, while throwing for two touchdowns and rushing for another. He’s now thrown for 561 yards and five touchdowns over the last two weeks, giving fantasy managers confidence to consider him as a streamer. He’s averaging a league-high 10.0 air yards per target. No other quarterback is averaging above 9.4 intended air yards. The Raiders have struggled to get pressure on the opposing quarterback this year, as they’ve generated a sack on just 3.0 percent of dropbacks, which could mean extra time for Lock to unload deep. The Raiders have allowed 27 pass plays of 20-plus yards, which ranks as the 10th-most in the league. They’ve held opposing quarterbacks to a mediocre 7.57 yards per attempt, but volume (36.1 pass attempts per game) has carried them through. It should also be noted that consistency has been there, as the only two quarterbacks that have finished with less than 7.76 yards per attempt were Cam Newton (duh) and Baker Mayfield (50 MPH wind game). Lock should feel the ability to take chances, too, as the Raiders have intercepted just three passes all year. The high total doesn’t help, but we still can’t forget that Lock has thrown for 254 yards or less in 10-of-11 starts in his career, so you’re going to need touchdown luck on your side. He’s a fine mid-to-low-end QB2 but don’t expect a repeat of the Falcons game.

Week 10 Running Back Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Dalvin Cook MIN at CHI 6.2 A+ 19.2 4.2 58% (7/12) 25% Great
2 Aaron Jones GB vs. JAC 5.8 A+ 18.2 2.8 53% (7/13) 22% Great
3 Alvin Kamara NO vs. SF 5.2 A+ 18 -0.1 37% (6/16) 22% Great
4 James Robinson JAC at GB 9.6 A 15.9 3.4 50% (4/8) 17% Great
5 Derrick Henry TEN vs. IND 3.8 A 15.4 3.7 57% (8/14) 26% Great
6 Josh Jacobs LV vs. DEN 4.4 A 15.3 -2.7 23% (3/13) 23% Great
7 Nick Chubb CLE vs. HOU 9.4 A 14.8 -1.7 33% (4/12) 20% Great
8 James Conner PIT vs. CIN 7 A 14.5 -3.2 45% (5/11) 24% Great
9 Chase Edmonds ARI vs. BUF 5.2 A 14.2 0.9 33% (4/12) 12% Great
10 Miles Sanders PHI at NYG 5.4 A 14.2 0 41% (5/12) 12% Great
11 Mike Davis CAR vs. TB 5.4 A- 13.8 -0.1 30% (4/13) 18% Great
12 Kareem Hunt CLE vs. HOU 9.4 A- 12.8 0.8 68% (11/16) 20% Great
13 Antonio Gibson WAS at DET 6.8 B+ 12.5 0.6 50% (4/8) 16% Great
14 D’Andre Swift DET vs. WAS 4.8 B+ 12.5 2.8 75% (6/8) 14% Great
15 Leonard Fournette TB at CAR 9.6 B 11.7 -1 23% (3/13) 8% Great
16 Duke Johnson Jr. HOU at CLE 7.2 B 11 -0.5 38% (5/13) 9% Average
17 Melvin Gordon III DEN at LV 6.8 B 10.7 -0.5 50% (7/14) 15% Great
18 Darrell Henderson LAR vs. SEA 4 B 10.3 0.3 33% (5/15) 26% Good
19 Jerick McKinnon SF at NO 5 B 10.2 0.5 66% (6/9) 8% Great
20 David Montgomery CHI vs. MIN 5 B 10 -1.8 23% (4/17) 17% Average
21 Jonathan Taylor IND at TEN 5 B- 9.9 -2 37% (3/8) 19% Great
22 Zack Moss BUF at ARI 6.6 B- 9.3 2.6 66% (4/6) 13% Great
23 J.K. Dobbins BAL at NE 9.6 C+ 9.2 0.5 50% (4/8) 6% Great
24 Ronald Jones II TB at CAR 9.4 C+ 8.9 -0.4 47% (8/17) 12% Great
25 Giovani Bernard CIN at PIT 6.8 C+ 8.9 0.2 62% (10/16) 9% Great
26 J.D. McKissic WAS at DET 8.2 C+ 8.8 -0.4 43% (7/16) 5% Awful
27 Phillip Lindsay DEN at LV 6.4 C 8.7 -2 33% (4/12) 9% Average
28 Wayne Gallman NYG vs. PHI 6 C 8.4 1.3 41% (5/12) 11% Great
29 Devin Singletary BUF at ARI 6 C 8.2 -2.7 37% (6/16) 9% Poor
30 Jordan Wilkins IND at TEN 4.6 C 7.9 1.6 50% (7/14) 6% Average
31 Jamaal Williams GB vs. JAC 5.6 C 7.5 -0.2 38% (5/13) 11% Poor
32 Damien Harris NE vs. BAL 3.2 C 7.4 0.6 28% (2/7) 5% Great
33 Gus Edwards BAL at NE 9.4 C 7.4 1.7 43% (7/16) 14% Great
34 Chris Carson SEA at LAR 6.4 C+ 7.3 1.1 63% (7/11) 18% Great
35 Malcolm Brown LAR vs. SEA 4 C- 7.3 1.2 50% (8/16) 15% Great
36 Nyheim Hines IND at TEN 6 C- 7.2 1.8 56% (9/16) 10% Great
37 Joshua Kelley LAC at MIA 7.8 C- 7.2 -0.4 50% (4/8) 8% Average
38 James White NE vs. BAL 4.6 C- 7.1 -0.5 38% (5/13) 4% Awful
39 Latavius Murray NO vs. SF 3.8 C- 6.8 -0.5 31% (5/16) 8% Good
40 Rex Burkhead NE vs. BAL 3.8 D+ 6.7 2 53% (8/15) 12% Great
41 Kalen Ballage LAC at MIA 7.2 D+ 6.7 0.8 36% (4/11) 15% Great
42 DeeJay Dallas SEA at LAR 6.2 D+ 6.7 3.2 66% (4/6) 18% Average
43 JaMycal Hasty SF at NO 3.6 D 6.6 -1 42% (3/7) 6% Average
44 Adrian Peterson DET vs. WAS 4.6 D 6.6 0.6 46% (7/15) 11% Good
45 Troymaine Pope LAC at MIA 7 D 6.6 3% Awful
46 Jordan Howard MIA vs. LAC 5.4 D- 6.2 -0.7 57% (4/7) 24% Average
47 Salvon Ahmed MIA vs. LAC 5 D- 6 0.2 100% (1/1) 1% Awful
48 Alexander Mattison MIN at CHI 6.2 F 5.6 0.1 50% (6/12) 8% Average
49 Chris Thompson JAC at GB 9.9 F 5.2 -1.2 50% (6/12) 5% Great
50 Devontae Booker LV vs. DEN 4.2 F 5 1.3 42% (6/14) 2% Great

 
Chase Edmonds (ARI)
It was a big disappointment for Edmonds last week, as he got all the work we could’ve asked for but finished with just 88 total yards on a massive 28 touches against the Dolphins. When some have compared his explosiveness to Kenyan Drake‘s and said he was the clear-cut better back, it’s a lot different when coming off the bench fresh while everyone else is tired, so maybe the scheme and offensive line just isn’t allowing for much production in the offense. It’s odd because you’d think Kyler Murray’s presence and threat to run would open more lanes for them but that hasn’t been the case. The Bills have already allowed three running backs to hit 100 yards on the ground against them, including Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Darrell Henderson, and Damien Harris. Those aren’t running backs in the Dalvin Cook/Aaron Jones territory or anything. There have also been six running backs who’ve totaled at least 25 yards through the air, allowing for multiple avenues for production. In terms of fantasy points per weighted opportunity, the Bills allow the 12th-most fantasy points per opportunity, though it’s also worth noting the Dolphins allowed the eighth-most. They have already allowed nine rushing touchdowns on the year (fourth-most) but have yet to allow a receiving touchdown. Prior to the game against the Seahawks, who had to start their third-string running back, the Bills had allowed at least 97 rushing yards and a touchdown to each of the last four backfields they faced (Titans, Chiefs, Jets, and Patriots). Edmonds may have let you down last week, but you cannot pass up his opportunity as long as Drake is out. He should be treated as a low-end RB1.

Mike Davis (CAR)
With Christian McCaffrey back out of the lineup for this game with a different injury, the Panthers will turn right back to Mike Davis. This is a very tough matchup for opposing RBs though, so Davis does receive a bit of a downgrade. He’s a high-end RB2 this week in my rankings due to the matchup, but he should see enough involvement out of the backfield as a receiver to be viewed as a safe option.

D’Andre Swift (DET)
This Lions backfield remains a mess to try and sort through week in and week out. The snap counts are all pretty even between these three players, but Swift remains the most involved. There’s very little upside, due to the offense and the distribution of snaps, but Swift should see enough work to return low-end RB2 value. He’ll need a touchdown to finish much higher than that though. He can be viewed as a low-end RB2 in this tough matchup against the Washington defensive front. Otherwise, it’s probably best to avoid this backfield.

Week 10 Wide Receiver Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Davante Adams GB vs. JAC 7 A+ 20.6 2.7 69% (9/13) 20% Great
2 DeAndre Hopkins ARI vs. BUF 7 A+ 16.7 -1 57% (8/14) 12% Great
3 Stefon Diggs BUF at ARI 8.2 A+ 16.4 -1.8 31% (5/16) 9% Great
4 D.K. Metcalf SEA at LAR 6.2 A+ 15.9 1.3 46% (7/15) 12% Great
5 Keenan Allen LAC at MIA 3.8 A+ 15.9 0.7 60% (9/15) 11% Great
6 Terry McLaurin WAS at DET 5.4 A 15.6 0.2 42% (6/14) 12% Great
7 Allen Robinson II CHI vs. MIN 7.8 A 15.6 0 47% (8/17) 16% Good
8 Tyler Lockett SEA at LAR 6.2 A 15 -2.3 26% (4/15) 14% Great
9 Michael Thomas NO vs. SF 5.6 A 14.1 -3.2 60% (6/10) 10% Awful
10 A.J. Brown TEN vs. IND 4.2 A 14.1 4.1 69% (9/13) 9% Great
11 Will Fuller V HOU at CLE 7.8 A 14.1 0 58% (7/12) 13% Great
12 Robert Woods LAR vs. SEA 7.6 A 13.9 1.7 66% (10/15) 13% Great
13 Cooper Kupp LAR vs. SEA 6.2 A 13.5 -2.7 43% (7/16) 8% Great
14 Robby Anderson CAR vs. TB 5.6 A 13.4 1.2 58% (10/17) 12% Poor
15 Adam Thielen MIN at CHI 3.8 A 13.3 -2.4 27% (3/11) 17% Great
16 Brandin Cooks HOU at CLE 8 A- 13.3 -0.1 42% (6/14) 12% Great
17 D.J. Chark Jr. JAC at GB 2.6 A- 12.7 -0.6 23% (3/13) 13% Great
18 Chase Claypool PIT vs. CIN 8.2 A- 12.1 5 75% (6/8) 15% Great
19 Tyler Boyd CIN at PIT 7.6 A- 12.1 0.8 50% (8/16) 13% Good
20 Chris Godwin TB at CAR 4 A- 11.9 -1.1 27% (3/11) 9% Good
21 Justin Jefferson MIN at CHI 4.8 B+ 11.9 2.7 37% (3/8) 8% Great
22 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT vs. CIN 8.6 B+ 11.9 -2.3 41% (5/12) 11% Great
23 Mike Evans TB at CAR 4.2 B+ 11.8 -3.4 38% (5/13) 12% Great
24 Diontae Johnson PIT vs. CIN 8.8 B 11.8 0.1 40% (6/15) 9% Great
25 Travis Fulgham PHI at NYG 6.4 B 11.6 4.4 44% (4/9) 18% Good
26 DeVante Parker MIA vs. LAC 4.8 B 11.6 0.8 43% (7/16) 6% Great
27 Jerry Jeudy DEN at LV 5.8 B 11.5 0.6 50% (4/8) 10% Good
28 D.J. Moore CAR vs. TB 5.6 B 11.4 -0.8 50% (8/16) 9% Great
29 Tee Higgins CIN at PIT 6.8 B- 11.3 3.1 62% (5/8) 11% Good
30 Jarvis Landry CLE vs. HOU 7.6 B 11.1 -0.2 31% (5/16) 8% Average
31 Christian Kirk ARI vs. BUF 4.2 B- 11.1 1.5 57% (8/14) 13% Great
32 Mike Williams LAC at MIA 4 C+ 10.8 0.1 42% (6/14) 13% Good
33 Brandon Aiyuk SF at NO 9 C+ 10.7 3.6 71% (5/7) 11% Good
34 Curtis Samuel CAR vs. TB 5.8 C+ 10.7 0.3 50% (8/16) 8% Great
35 Sterling Shepard NYG vs. PHI 7.2 C+ 10.6 -1 33% (4/12) 12% Average
36 Marquise Brown BAL at NE 7.2 C+ 10.6 -2.7 33% (5/15) 18% Average
37 John Brown BUF at ARI 8.4 C+ 10.2 -0.5 42% (6/14) 10% Good
38 Marvin Jones Jr. DET vs. WAS 5.8 C+ 9.4 -0.6 50% (6/12) 16% Great
39 Antonio Brown TB at CAR 4.4 C+ 9.4 -4.5 0% (0/1) 5% Awful
40 Jakobi Meyers NE vs. BAL 4 C+ 9.3 0.9 45% (5/11) 5% Awful
41 Corey Davis TEN vs. IND 5.4 C 9.2 -0.3 38% (5/13) 9% Great
42 Darius Slayton NYG vs. PHI 5.8 C 9.2 0.6 37% (6/16) 16% Good
43 Tim Patrick DEN at LV 6.2 C 8.9 1.4 64% (9/14) 11% Great
44 Cole Beasley BUF at ARI 8.8 C 8.7 2.2 75% (12/16) 7% Good
45 Darnell Mooney CHI vs. MIN 7.4 C 8.4 1.7 44% (4/9) 11% Good
46 Jalen Reagor PHI at NYG 6.8 C 8.2 1.8 100% (3/3) 9% Poor
47 Emmanuel Sanders NO vs. SF 5.4 C 8.1 -0.7 42% (6/14) 13% Good
48 Randall Cobb HOU at CLE 8.2 C 8.1 2.4 62% (10/16) 7% Great
49 A.J. Green CIN at PIT 6.8 C 8 -3.7 25% (2/8) 11% Awful
50 Anthony Miller CHI vs. MIN 8.2 C- 8 0.4 47% (8/17) 10% Good

 
Adam Thielen (MIN)
The worst part about Thielen’s struggles is that he’s seeing 42.6 percent of the Vikings’ air yards, which ranks as the second-highest percentage in the NFL. It’s extremely hard for a receiver to be consistent in fantasy when his team is on pace for 418 pass attempts. We already know the Bears allow the third-fewest fantasy points per game as a whole, but to know that wide receivers have accounted for just 43.6 percent of the production by skill-position players against them (third-lowest number in the NFL) highlights just how bad this matchup is. It doesn’t help that wide receivers have caught a touchdown once every 57.0 targets against them, which is less often than any team in the NFL. By comparison, the Vikings have allowed one every 10.3 targets. Thielen doesn’t play on one side more than the other but rather flips back and forth, so he’ll see a mixture of both Kyle Fuller and Jaylon Johnson, who’ve combined to allow just 50-of-102 passing for 637 yards and three touchdowns in their coverage. That’s just 6.25 yards per target and a touchdown every 34.0 targets. When these two teams met last year, Thielen finished with just two catches for six yards on six targets, and that was before he suffered his injury that derailed his season. It’s extremely tough to bench Thielen, but lower expectations into the mid-to-low-end WR2 territory. A.J. Brown was the first wide receiver to finish top-20 against them this year.

Robby Anderson (CAR)
He’s seen 39.4 percent of the Panthers’ air yards this year, so his production isn’t by accident. The unfortunate part is that he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1, and if you recall, that was just a blunder by the cornerback that left Anderson wide open for a long touchdown. Still, despite the lack of scoring, Anderson has finished as a top-46 wide receiver every single week, which is tough to do. Unfortunately, he hasn’t finished better than WR19 in half PPR formats since Week 1. It may not get much easier against the Bucs this week, as they’ve allowed just one top-12 performance this year. It needs to be noted that two of the top-three performances they allowed to wide receivers were to the Panthers, though. Both Anderson (9/109/0) and Moore (8/120/0) had phenomenal games without finding the end zone. They were two of just four wide receivers who’ve totaled more than 74 yards against the Bucs this year (others were Nelson Agholor and Allen Robinson). The one thing we know is that you need volume against them, as no receiver has finished with more than 72 yards without seeing at least nine targets against them. The Bucs did not use Carlton Davis in a shadow role in their first meeting, so we shouldn’t expect it here, either. Anderson should be considered a solid WR2 whose floor has been ridiculously good.

Tee Higgins (CIN)
Even though he wasn’t a full-time starter until Week 3, Higgins ranked as the No. 23 receiver in fantasy heading into his bye week. Since the time he joined the starting lineup in Week 3, through Week 8, he’d posted the ninth-most PPR points among receivers. He’s finished at least 62 yards and/or a touchdown in six straight games. The average reception against the Steelers goes for 14.59 yards, which is the third-highest mark in the NFL and bodes well for Higgins’ decent 13.2 air yards per target. It’s worth noting that he has the toughest matchup of the Bengals receivers, lining up at RWR the most, which is where Joe Haden plays. He’s a veteran cornerback who’s allowed just 22-of-43 passing for 300 yards and two touchdowns in his coverage this year. Higgins will some of Steven Nelson as well, who’s been just a step behind Haden but still solid. But when you look at the team as a whole, there are holes in the secondary, as they’ve allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per target to wide receivers. Higgins deserves the benefit of the doubt to be in your starting lineup as a WR3.

Week 10 Tight End Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Darren Waller LV vs. DEN 5.8 A+ 13.5 -1.8 31% (5/16) 20% Great
2 T.J. Hockenson DET vs. WAS 8.4 A 10.5 0.5 63% (7/11) 20% Great
3 Noah Fant DEN at LV 5.6 A- 10 -0.6 35% (5/14) 8% Great
4 Dallas Goedert PHI at NYG 6.4 B+ 9.8 -0.3 36% (4/11) 4% Great
5 Mark Andrews BAL at NE 3.8 B+ 9.5 -0.3 53% (8/15) 17% Great
6 Evan Engram NYG vs. PHI 8.2 B 8.7 -1 44% (4/9) 10% Great
7 Rob Gronkowski TB at CAR 5.6 B 8.6 -0.4 44% (4/9) 12% Great
8 Hunter Henry LAC at MIA 3.2 B- 8.1 -2.8 26% (4/15) 7% Average
9 Eric Ebron PIT vs. CIN 7 B- 8 0.1 60% (6/10) 12% Great
10 Austin Hooper CLE vs. HOU 8.6 C+ 7.9 -2.3 36% (4/11) 8% Average
11 Jared Cook NO vs. SF 5.8 C+ 7.8 1.8 60% (9/15) 11% Great
12 Jonnu Smith TEN vs. IND 5.6 C 7.4 0.3 46% (7/15) 15% Great
13 Robert Tonyan GB vs. JAC 6.2 C 7.4 1.7 42% (6/14) 6% Great
14 Jimmy Graham CHI vs. MIN 5.2 C- 7.3 1.1 43% (7/16) 15% Great
15 Mike Gesicki MIA vs. LAC 5.8 C- 7.1 0 31% (5/16) 11% Good
16 Trey Burton IND at TEN 8 D+ 6.9 2.3 80% (4/5) 12% Great
17 Logan Thomas WAS at DET 5.4 D+ 6.3 0.5 40% (6/15) 8% Great
18 Jordan Reed SF at NO 5.8 D 6.2 0.4 25% (1/4) 8% Good
19 Gerald Everett LAR vs. SEA 6.2 D 6.1 0.8 53% (7/13) 4% Great
20 Tyler Higbee LAR vs. SEA 6.4 D- 5.3 2.1 60% (9/15) 8% Great

 
Eric Ebron (PIT)
Despite the Steelers’ wide receivers seeing tons of targets, Ebron has managed to see 5.9 targets per game since the start of Week 2. He’s totaled at least 43 yards and/or a touchdown in 6-of-7 games, which is rare for tight ends in today’s game. Vance McDonald tested positive for COVID, and not that he was taking much appeal from Ebron, it does free up another 1.4 targets per game. It surely helps to know that the Bengals opponents have targeted their tight end on 25.1 percent of passes, which ranks as the third-highest number in football. That’s been a major factor in them allowing 17.6 PPR points per game to tight ends, which ranks as the second-highest number in football. Prior to Jonnu Smith not running routes and not seeing targets (caught 2-of-2 targets for 29 yards), the Bengals had allowed three straight top-three tight end performances to Hunter Bryant, Trey Burton, and Mark Andrews. If he gets targets, he’ll produce in this game. Ebron should be squarely in the middle of the TE1 conversation.

Austin Hooper (CLE)
He was forced to miss their last two games due to an appendectomy, so the bye week seemed to come at the right time. Prior to his injury, Hooper’s target share was rising almost every week. His target share percentage has gone 5, 17, 17, 23, 27, 21. Keep in mind that was with Odell Beckham in the lineup. Now going into a matchup with the Texans, who’ve allowed a robust 73.6 percent catch-rate (8th-highest) and 7.92 yards per target (9th-highest) to tight ends, Hooper should offer a stable floor in his return to the lineup. The only tight end who saw five-plus targets against the Texans and didn’t finish as a top-15 tight end was Tyler Eifert. When you know that teams average a massive 68.0 plays per game against the Texans, we’re expecting at least 30-35 pass attempts out of Mayfield, which should net more than a handful for Hooper. He’s in the high-end TE2 conversation with some upside should he return to the target share he had pre-injury.

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