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Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings From the Most Accurate Experts

Nov 21, 2020

 
Here’s a look at fantasy football rankings from our most accurate experts of the 2020 season. These rankings are for half-PPR scoring fantasy football formats.

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Week 11 Quarterback Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS % GAMES OPPORTUNITY EFFICIENCY
1 Kyler Murray ARI at SEA 7.2 A+ 25.3 5.5 73% (11/15) 14% Great
2 Patrick Mahomes II KC at LV 6 A 24.9 -0.4 43% (7/16) 3% Great
3 Russell Wilson SEA vs. ARI 6.4 A 23.6 0.9 46% (7/15) 3% Great
4 Lamar Jackson BAL vs. TEN 6.4 A 22.7 1.1 53% (8/15) 7% Good
5 Justin Herbert LAC vs. NYJ 6.8 A 21.7 8.2 87% (7/8) 4% Good
6 Ben Roethlisberger PIT at JAC 9.4 B+ 20.7 2 66% (6/9) 3% Good
7 Deshaun Watson HOU vs. NE 4.4 B+ 20.2 0.7 53% (8/15) 8% Average
8 Aaron Rodgers GB at IND 3.4 B 19.6 1.3 53% (8/15) 1% Good
9 Matt Ryan ATL at NO 5.8 B 19.1 -1.2 47% (8/17) 1% Awful
10 Cam Newton NE at HOU 5.8 B- 18.5 0.6 75% (6/8) 25% Awful
11 Tom Brady TB vs. LAR 3 B- 18.3 0.5 41% (7/17) 4% Average
12 Carson Wentz PHI at CLE 8 C+ 18 1.8 56% (9/16) 6% Average
13 Derek Carr LV vs. KC 5 C 17.7 0.8 56% (9/16) 3% Poor
14 Joe Burrow CIN at WAS 8.6 C 17.2 2.2 66% (6/9) 7% Awful
15 Matthew Stafford DET at CAR 3.2 C- 17.3 0.4 55% (5/9) 1% Average
16 Tua Tagovailoa MIA at DEN 5.8 C- 16.7 -0.9 12% (1/8) 3% Poor
17 Kirk Cousins MIN vs. DAL 6.6 D+ 16.7 0.2 50% (7/14) 0% Good
18 Jameis Winston NO vs. ATL 9.9 D 16.4 1.6 33% (5/15) 3% Awful
19 Ryan Tannehill TEN at BAL 5 D 16.2 4.4 60% (9/15) 1% Great
20 Philip Rivers IND vs. GB 7 D 16 -0.1 46% (7/15) 1% Awful

 
Cam Newton (NE)
The last three games, Newton has finished as the QB12, the QB8, and the QB11. Due to his rushing upside, he’s a safe bet every single week to finish within the top-12. Now, Newton gets a matchup against the Houston Texans that are struggling to stop anyone on defense. Newton should be viewed as a mid-range QB1 in this matchup.

Joe Burrow (CIN)
If you look at NFL’s NextGenStats, you’ll see that Burrow has completed 4.1 percent more than he’s been expected to based on how tight coverage is and the depth of the throws, which ranks as the second-highest mark in the NFL, behind only Russell Wilson. Based on Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric that takes the competition they’ve played into consideration, Washington ranks as the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL. After coming out of a game against the league’s pass rush (Steelers) who generate a sack on 10.5 percent of dropbacks, Burrow gets the No. 2 pass rush, as Washington has generated a sack on 9.6 percent of dropbacks. Because of that, teams have chosen to drop back and pass just 52.8 percent of the time (fourth-lowest in NFL). If there’s a glimmer of hope for Burrow, it’s that Washington generated just a 14.7 percent pressure-rate in Week 10 against Matthew Stafford, which allowed him to throw for 276 yards and three touchdowns. There’s been just one game this year where Burrow has thrown the ball fewer than 36 times and that’s important in this game because Washington has faced just 29.2 pass attempts per game. Their opponents have thrown the ball just 52.8 percent of the time, but knowing the Bengals throw on 62.9 percent of plays, we could see more production than most expect. Breaking down their schedule a bit, Washington has crushed weak competition, while better quarterbacks have played competently. It’s been feast or famine. Which group do you see Burrow in? I’d lean towards the top half, though the pressure is the biggest concern, as his offensive line hasn’t done a good job protecting him. Consider him a semi-risky QB2 who does have top-12 upside and might be a candidate for tournament lineups.

Week 11 Running Back Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS % GAMES OPPORTUNITY EFFICIENCY
1 Dalvin Cook MIN vs. DAL 8.4 A+ 22 3.1 50% (6/12) 24% Great
2 Alvin Kamara NO vs. ATL 6.6 A+ 20.1 1.1 43% (7/16) 23% Average
3 Derrick Henry TEN at BAL 4.4 A+ 15.8 2.2 50% (7/14) 26% Average
4 Aaron Jones GB at IND 3.8 A 15.5 1.4 46% (6/13) 21% Average
5 Josh Jacobs LV vs. KC 8.4 A 15 -2 23% (3/13) 22% Good
6 Miles Sanders PHI at CLE 6.4 A 14.9 -0.2 38% (5/13) 11% Average
7 Nick Chubb CLE vs. PHI 5.6 A 14.9 -1.1 41% (5/12) 18% Great
8 Mike Davis CAR vs. DET 8.6 A 14.6 -0.6 28% (4/14) 17% Poor
9 James Robinson JAC vs. PIT 5.2 A 14.6 2.6 44% (4/9) 16% Great
10 James Conner PIT at JAC 6.4 A- 14.5 -3.7 41% (5/12) 22% Poor
11 Antonio Gibson WAS vs. CIN 7 A- 14.4 1.4 55% (5/9) 17% Good
12 Ezekiel Elliott DAL at MIN 4.8 A- 13.7 -0.8 43% (7/16) 27% Poor
13 Kareem Hunt CLE vs. PHI 6.2 B+ 12.4 0.6 68% (11/16) 20% Good
14 Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC at LV 5.8 B+ 11.9 -2.5 33% (3/9) 18% Awful
15 Duke Johnson Jr. HOU vs. NE 8.4 B 11.8 -0.9 35% (5/14) 9% Awful
16 Todd Gurley II ATL at NO 3.4 B 11.7 0.4 56% (9/16) 20% Good
17 Kalen Ballage LAC vs. NYJ 5.8 B 11.4 1.4 45% (5/11) 18% Awful
18 Damien Harris NE at HOU 9.8 B 11.1 1 37% (3/8) 5% Average
19 Ronald Jones II TB vs. LAR 6.8 B 10.8 -0.1 47% (8/17) 12% Poor
20 Giovani Bernard CIN at WAS 6.4 B 10.7 0.3 62% (10/16) 9% Average
21 Melvin Gordon III DEN vs. MIA 6.8 B- 10.5 -1.3 42% (6/14) 13% Great
22 Salvon Ahmed MIA at DEN 4.8 B- 10.4 4.5 100% (2/2) 16% Poor
23 Carlos Hyde SEA vs. ARI 6.2 C+ 9.9 0.5 45% (5/11) 7% Great
24 J.D. McKissic WAS vs. CIN 6.6 C+ 9.9 -0.2 43% (7/16) 9% Awful
25 Kenyan Drake ARI at SEA 4.6 C+ 9.4 1.8 35% (5/14) 20% Average
26 Leonard Fournette TB vs. LAR 6.6 C 9.3 -1.4 21% (3/14) 8% Poor
27 Nyheim Hines IND vs. GB 8.6 C 8.9 2.9 56% (9/16) 10% Great
28 Chase Edmonds ARI at SEA 6.2 C 8.8 0.5 30% (4/13) 12% Average
29 Rex Burkhead NE at HOU 7.8 C 8.7 2.8 56% (9/16) 12% Great
30 Jonathan Taylor IND vs. GB 8.6 C 8.7 -2.3 33% (3/9) 19% Awful
31 La’Mical Perine NYJ at LAC 5.6 C 8.7 -0.9 25% (2/8) 4% Good
32 J.K. Dobbins BAL vs. TEN 5.2 C 6.8 -0.2 44% (4/9) 6% Great
33 Darrell Henderson LAR at TB 3.8 C 6.8 0.6 40% (6/15) 24% Poor
34 Le’Veon Bell KC at LV 6 C- 6.8 -3.3 18% (2/11) 4% Awful
35 Jamaal Williams GB at IND 4 C- 6.7 -0.1 38% (5/13) 10% Awful
36 Malcolm Brown LAR at TB 4 C- 6.6 1.9 56% (9/16) 15% Good
37 Latavius Murray NO vs. ATL 5.4 D+ 6.5 -0.2 31% (5/16) 7% Poor
38 Gus Edwards BAL vs. TEN 4.4 D+ 6.4 2 50% (8/16) 13% Average
39 Phillip Lindsay DEN vs. MIA 7.8 D+ 6.2 -2.4 30% (4/13) 7% Poor
40 Joshua Kelley LAC vs. NYJ 7.4 D 6 -0.8 44% (4/9) 8% Awful
41 Jordan Wilkins IND vs. GB 8.4 D 5.9 1.5 50% (7/14) 6% Awful
42 Mark Ingram II BAL vs. TEN 4.6 D 5.9 -0.1 46% (6/13) 12% Average
43 Adrian Peterson DET at CAR 9 D 5.8 0.4 43% (7/16) 10% Awful
44 Tony Pollard DAL at MIN 4.2 D- 5.8 2.2 60% (9/15) 3% Average
45 DeeJay Dallas SEA vs. ARI 5 D- 5.3 2.4 57% (4/7) 14% Poor
46 Devontae Booker LV vs. KC 8.6 D- 5.2 2.3 46% (7/15) 3% Great
47 James White NE at HOU 6.6 D- 5.2 -0.9 35% (5/14) 4% Awful
48 Cam Akers LAR at TB 3.6 F 5 -2.1 42% (3/7) 6% Awful
49 Matt Breida MIA at DEN 4.2 F 5 -1.9 27% (3/11) 2% Awful
50 Kerryon Johnson DET at CAR 8.6 D- 5 0.1 36% (4/11) 6% Good

 
Antonio Gibson (WAS)
Gibson performed well in a great matchup last week and there’s little reason to doubt that he won’t do the same thing here. Washington should look to lean on Gibson early and often in this one and he has an excellent chance of finding the end zone yet again. Fire up Gibson as a low-end RB1.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)
The Chiefs have been having a real issue getting their ground game going, though it’s hard to blame Edwards-Helaire, as he’s averaged a rock-solid 4.65 yards per carry, which ranks No. 3 among running backs with 100-plus carries, behind only Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry. For whatever reason, he’s been limited to 10 or less carries in four of the last five games. The Chiefs backfield as a whole has averaged just 24.0 touches per game, so lack of volume is a real problem. The Raiders have allowed a rushing touchdown once every 19.7 carries, so volume hasn’t been necessary to post solid fantasy numbers against them. Running backs have also been targeted 23.5 percent of the time against the Raiders, which is the highest mark in the league. The bye week is generally when teams decide to make major fundamental changes to their attack moving forward, so it’s possible that the Chiefs realize they need to get their ground game working a bit more. Clelin Ferrell has been the best run-stopping edge rusher the Raiders have and he’s out for this game after testing positive for COVID. Back in their Week 5 game, Edwards-Helaire totaled 80 yards on just 13 touches, so if he gets more, he should produce like you expected him to when you drafted, but again, the lack of touches is problematic. Unless the Chiefs have changed their ways, he’s stuck in middling RB2 territory in what’s been a great matchup for running backs. The Chiefs could choose to go back to the way things were pre-Bell, as he’s shown he’s in the final stages of his career and doesn’t have the appeal he once did. He’s nothing more than a handcuff to Edwards-Helaire at this point, as he’s totaled just 14 touches that netted 41 total yards over the last two games combined.

Salvon Ahmed (MIA)
After seeing just seven carries in his season debut with the Dolphins, Ahmed was thrust into a larger role in Week 10 and he delivered, racking up 85 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries against the Chargers. The combination of DeAndre Washington and Patrick Laird received just four carries between the two of them, so Ahmed basically got the Myles Gaskin role. The downside was that he finished with just one target. It wasn’t lack of snaps, as he led the running backs in routes. We have to assume he’s done enough to hold onto that role, even with Breida expected back. Even when healthy, Breida hasn’t totaled more than 10 touches in a game with the Dolphins. The Broncos had been one of the best run defenses in football, but they had a hiccup last week, allowing a ridiculous 193 yards and four touchdowns on 37 carries to the Raiders running backs last week. I suppose we’ve seen them slip in Week 8 as well when the Chargers running backs combined for 188 yards on 34 carries, though they didn’t score. Through the first six weeks, the Broncos hadn’t allowed more than 116 rushing yards in a game. What changed? Mike Purcell, their best nose tackle, went down with a season ending injury and has missed the last three weeks. The loss of him and Jurrell Casey have proven to be too much for them to handle. Because of that, Ahmed should be played as a low-end RB2/high-end RB3. I’d say higher, but we really don’t know how the touches will be divided with Breida back. As for Breida, he’s nothing more than an RB4-type option who’s guaranteed nothing more than five touches or so.

Week 11 Wide Receiver Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS % GAMES OPPORTUNITY EFFICIENCY
1 DeAndre Hopkins ARI at SEA 5.6 A+ 17.8 -0.6 60% (9/15) 13% Average
2 Davante Adams GB at IND 4.8 A+ 17.7 2.3 69% (9/13) 19% Good
3 Tyreek Hill KC at LV 6.6 A+ 16.9 -1.6 46% (7/15) 17% Good
4 Julio Jones ATL at NO 8.4 A+ 16.3 -0.7 38% (5/13) 15% Poor
5 Keenan Allen LAC vs. NYJ 7.4 A+ 15.9 0.5 60% (9/15) 10% Average
6 D.K. Metcalf SEA vs. ARI 7.6 A+ 15.6 0.7 46% (7/15) 13% Great
7 Terry McLaurin WAS vs. CIN 8.8 A 15.4 0.1 40% (6/15) 11% Average
8 Tyler Lockett SEA vs. ARI 8 A 15.2 -2.1 26% (4/15) 14% Good
9 Adam Thielen MIN vs. DAL 8 A 14.1 -1.7 33% (4/12) 19% Good
10 Michael Thomas NO vs. ATL 7.6 A 13.9 -4.2 50% (5/10) 13% Awful
11 Diontae Johnson PIT at JAC 7.8 A 13.7 0.6 40% (6/15) 9% Good
12 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT at JAC 7.6 A 13.7 -1.2 50% (6/12) 12% Good
13 Chase Claypool PIT at JAC 7.2 A 13.5 5.4 77% (7/9) 19% Good
14 A.J. Brown TEN at BAL 3.8 A 13.4 3.8 69% (9/13) 9% Great
15 Justin Jefferson MIN vs. DAL 7.8 A 13.4 3 44% (4/9) 8% Average
16 Will Fuller V HOU vs. NE 8.2 A 13.3 -0.5 53% (7/13) 12% Great
17 Tyler Boyd CIN at WAS 5.4 A- 13 0.4 50% (8/16) 12% Awful
18 Tee Higgins CIN at WAS 6.4 A- 12.9 3.6 66% (6/9) 12% Average
19 Robby Anderson CAR vs. DET 5.4 A- 12.6 1 58% (10/17) 11% Awful
20 Cooper Kupp LAR at TB 6.2 A- 12.5 -2.2 43% (7/16) 10% Poor
21 Robert Woods LAR at TB 5.4 B+ 12.4 0.9 60% (9/15) 12% Great
22 Chris Godwin TB vs. LAR 6.8 B+ 12.3 -0.5 36% (4/11) 8% Average
23 D.J. Moore CAR vs. DET 5.4 B+ 12 -0.6 50% (8/16) 8% Average
24 Amari Cooper DAL at MIN 7 B 12 -3.3 31% (5/16) 11% Awful
25 Mike Evans TB vs. LAR 6.6 B 11.9 -2.4 46% (6/13) 14% Average
26 D.J. Chark Jr. JAC vs. PIT 5.4 B 11.9 -0.8 21% (3/14) 12% Good
27 Christian Kirk ARI at SEA 8.6 B 11.7 -0.6 50% (7/14) 12% Great
28 DeVante Parker MIA at DEN 4.8 B 11.6 0.5 43% (7/16) 9% Average
29 Brandin Cooks HOU vs. NE 8.4 B 11.6 -0.4 40% (6/15) 12% Average
30 Jakobi Meyers NE at HOU 8 B 11.6 1.2 50% (6/12) 9% Awful
31 Jamison Crowder NYJ at LAC 5 B- 11.4 0.9 58% (7/12) 8% Great
32 Calvin Ridley ATL at NO 7.8 B+ 11.4 1.4 63% (7/11) 24% Poor
33 Jarvis Landry CLE vs. PHI 5.4 B- 11.3 -1.3 25% (4/16) 8% Awful
34 Marvin Jones Jr. DET at CAR 4 C+ 11.3 0 50% (6/12) 17% Average
35 Jerry Jeudy DEN vs. MIA 4 B- 11.2 0.2 44% (4/9) 10% Awful
36 Mike Williams LAC vs. NYJ 7.4 C+ 11.2 -0.1 42% (6/14) 12% Poor
37 Antonio Brown TB vs. LAR 6.4 C+ 11 -2 50% (1/2) 5% Awful
38 CeeDee Lamb DAL at MIN 6.8 C+ 10.3 1.5 66% (6/9) 12% Poor
39 Curtis Samuel CAR vs. DET 5.6 C+ 10.3 -0.2 43% (7/16) 8% Good
40 Travis Fulgham PHI at CLE 7.6 C+ 9.4 2.8 40% (4/10) 17% Average
41 Marquise Brown BAL vs. TEN 5.6 C 9.2 -3.6 26% (4/15) 17% Awful
42 Jalen Reagor PHI at CLE 7.4 C 9.1 0.7 75% (3/4) 8% Poor
43 Michael Pittman Jr. IND vs. GB 3 C 8.6 0.5 50% (3/6) 5% Awful
44 Corey Davis TEN at BAL 5.4 C 8.5 -0.2 42% (6/14) 9% Good
45 Tim Patrick DEN vs. MIA 4 C 8.5 1.3 60% (9/15) 10% Average
46 Emmanuel Sanders NO vs. ATL 8.4 C 8.5 -0.6 42% (6/14) 11% Poor
47 Michael Gallup DAL at MIN 6.6 C 8.3 -0.8 43% (7/16) 12% Awful
48 KJ Hamler DEN vs. MIA 4 C 8.3 1.1 57% (4/7) 6% Poor
49 Josh Reynolds LAR at TB 5.4 C 8 1.9 75% (12/16) 12% Awful
50 Breshad Perriman NYJ at LAC 5.4 C- 8 4 66% (8/12) 10% Good

 
Keenan Allen (LAC)
We’re now eight games into Herbert’s career (half of a season), and over that time, Allen is the No. 5 wide receiver in fantasy football, which includes a game where he had to leave before halftime. He saw “just” seven targets in Week 10, which was his season-low in the full games he’s played. He’s now going out to play a Jets team that’s allowed six wide receivers to finish with 22-plus PPR points and as the WR11 or better. The toughest matchup against them is in the slot, so it’s good news that Allen has played just 46.5 percent of his snaps there. It’s not like he can’t beat Brian Poole, but it’s easier to beat Pierre Desir and Blessuan Austin on the perimeter. Allen should see Austin more, who’s been the better of the two, though he’s still allowed a 99.8 QB Rating in his coverage. Look, when you have a receiver who’s averaging 10.3 targets per game going against a secondary that’s allowed a 7.17 percent catch-rate and 9.34 yards per target, you’re starting him as a WR1, period.

A.J. Brown (TEN)
After catching a 21-yard pass on the second play of the game, Brown didn’t have another catch for the remainder of the contest against the Colts. It’s a game of inches, they say. He dropped what would’ve been a 72-yard touchdown in the first quarter of that game, which would have completely changed his day. It was his first game with fewer than seven targets, so we can’t overreact, but his matchup in Week 11 isn’t going to be easy one to get back on track. The Ravens have allowed a wide receiver touchdown once every 43.8 targets, which ranks as the best in the league. The Titans must find a way to get the ball into Brown’s hands, because once that happens, he’s electric, averaging 6.8 yards after the catch. That’s how he overcame a tough matchup against the Bears, so maybe he can do it again. With Jimmy Smith dinged up, the Ravens turned to Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters on the perimeter, while moving to veteran Tramon Williams in the slot. That worked out pretty well, as the Patriots receivers accounted for just five catches and 59 yards. This is far from a great matchup and Brown proved that in the playoffs last year, catching just 1-of-3 targets for nine yards against them. He’s too talented to bench, but temper expectations into WR2 territory against a team who’s allowed just two wide receivers to finish with more than 81 yards this year.

Mike Evans (TB)
It may have gone overlooked by some, but Evans has played in the slot 52.5 percent of the time over the last four games. The Bucs are trying to free him up from those shutdown perimeter cornerbacks. He’s caught 9-of-10 targets for 123 yards while in there, so it’s working. When playing against the Rams, wide receivers are averaging 8.3 fewer fantasy points than their seasonal average, which makes this the toughest matchup in football. Teams are targeting wide receivers on just 49.8 percent of their pass attempts, which is easily the lowest mark in the league, as no other team has seen fewer than a 51.7 percent target share. This is problematic when we have three wide receviers that need to be projected for heavy targets. Not only are targets a problem, but wide receivers have caught a touchdown once every 39.0 targets, which ranks as the second-fewest in the league, behind only the Ravens. Evans will have his hands full on the perimeter, as both Jalen Ramsey and Darious Williams have been lights out. Evans should be considered a WR3 this week in what might be the toughest matchup in football.

Week 11 Tight End Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS % GAMES OPPORTUNITY EFFICIENCY
1 Travis Kelce KC at LV 5.4 A+ 15.5 0.9 60% (9/15) 9% Great
2 Darren Waller LV vs. KC 6.2 A 12.7 -1.9 31% (5/16) 19% Poor
3 Mark Andrews BAL vs. TEN 8.6 A 11.2 -1.1 46% (7/15) 16% Good
4 T.J. Hockenson DET at CAR 4 B+ 10.2 -0.4 54% (6/11) 19% Poor
5 Hunter Henry LAC vs. NYJ 8.2 B+ 9.3 -2.5 33% (5/15) 8% Awful
6 Dallas Goedert PHI at CLE 6.6 B 8.7 -0.4 33% (4/12) 4% Good
7 Noah Fant DEN vs. MIA 4.4 B 8.3 -1 33% (5/15) 7% Average
8 Rob Gronkowski TB vs. LAR 6.4 B- 8 0.1 50% (5/10) 11% Poor
9 Hayden Hurst ATL at NO 7.2 B- 7.3 0.2 43% (7/16) 7% Good
10 Eric Ebron PIT at JAC 7 C+ 7.3 -0.3 50% (5/10) 11% Average
11 Austin Hooper CLE vs. PHI 8 C+ 7.2 -2.8 36% (4/11) 7% Awful
12 Jonnu Smith TEN at BAL 5.2 C 7.1 0.4 53% (8/15) 15% Great
13 Jared Cook NO vs. ATL 9.4 C 6.9 1.1 53% (8/15) 10% Average
14 Mike Gesicki MIA at DEN 4.6 C- 6.5 0.1 31% (5/16) 11% Awful
15 Logan Thomas WAS vs. CIN 6.4 C- 6.2 0.5 40% (6/15) 8% Average
16 Dalton Schultz DAL at MIN 5.4 D+ 6.1 1.1 40% (6/15) 5% Good
17 Robert Tonyan GB at IND 4.4 D+ 5.8 1.5 42% (6/14) 6% Great
18 Tyler Higbee LAR at TB 3.6 D 5.8 2.1 60% (9/15) 8% Great
19 Trey Burton IND vs. GB 7.2 D 5.1 1.2 66% (4/6) 12% Average
20 Kyle Rudolph MIN vs. DAL 8.4 D 4.8 -0.1 46% (7/15) 4% Poor

 
Dallas Goedert (PHI)
He was hurt early in the game, which led to him missing some time to get checked for a concussion. It allowed his teammate Richard Rodgers step in to produce a bit. The two of them combined for 11 targets, eight receptions, and 93 yards last week, so the thought process behind playing Goedert was correct but the results were less than ideal. The Browns have allowed just 8.98 yards per reception to tight ends, which is the second-lowest number in the league, but have still managed to allow the 10th-most fantasy points per game to them. Volume has been a constant against them, as there have been eight tight ends who’ve seen six-plus targets against them. The lack of linebacker and safety health/talent on the roster is likely the reason for that. Whatever the case, eight tight ends have also racked up four-plus receptions in this matchup, which gives Goedert a floor that tight end owners can only dream of in 2020. Did you know that Goedert’s four catches for 33 yards last week ranked 15th among tight ends? Seriously, it’s bad. Knowing the targets and receptions will be there again this week, keep Goedert in lineups as a TE1.

Jonnu Smith (TEN)
Would you believe me if I told you that Week 10 was the first since Week 5 where Smith saw more than four targets? It’s no coincidence that he hasn’t caught more than two balls since Week 5, either. It seems that his increased usage earlier in the season was due to A.J. Brown being out of the lineup, as his return has buried Smith down the pecking order. He hasn’t topped 40 yards since way back in Week 3, which puts him back in the touchdown-or-bust territory with many other tight ends. The Ravens have allowed just four touchdowns to tight ends on the season, but if there’s one position the Ravens are average against, it’s tight ends. They’ve allowed a 67.2 percent catch-rate (14th), 7.33 yards per target (14th), a touchdown every 16.0 targets (15th), and 1.78 PPR points per target (16th). See what I mean about average? Smith falls into the high-end TE2 range as someone who’s flashed at times but is no longer a must-start.

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