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Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings From the Most Accurate Experts

Nov 28, 2020

Here’s a look at fantasy football rankings from our most accurate experts of the 2020 season. These rankings are for half-PPR scoring fantasy football formats.

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Week 12 Quarterback Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Patrick Mahomes II KC at TB 4.6 A+ 24.1 -0.2 43% (7/16) 3% Great
2 Josh Allen BUF vs. LAC 7 A 24 2.5 62% (10/16) 10% Good
3 Russell Wilson SEA at PHI 9.2 A 23.5 0.6 43% (7/16) 3% Great
4 Kyler Murray ARI at NE 5.4 A 22.9 4.4 66% (10/15) 13% Great
5 Deshaun Watson HOU at DET 8.2 A 21.8 2.5 60% (9/15) 6% Good
6 Justin Herbert LAC at BUF 6.4 A- 20.8 7.9 88% (8/9) 4% Good
7 Aaron Rodgers GB vs. CHI 2.6 B+ 19.8 1.4 56% (9/16) 1% Good
8 Derek Carr LV at ATL 9.8 B 18.9 1 56% (9/16) 3% Poor
9 Tom Brady TB vs. KC 6 B 18.3 0.8 41% (7/17) 4% Average
10 Taysom Hill NO at DEN 6 B 18.1 4.9 73% (11/15) 7% Awful
11 Cam Newton NE vs. ARI 6.2 B- 17.9 0.5 77% (7/9) 23% Poor
12 Matt Ryan ATL vs. LV 5 C+ 17.8 -1.8 47% (8/17) 1% Awful
13 Ben Roethlisberger PIT vs. BAL 2.6 C+ 17.6 1.5 60% (6/10) 3% Good
14 Carson Wentz PHI vs. SEA 7 C 17.4 1.9 56% (9/16) 5% Average
15 Daniel Jones NYG at CIN 8.8 C 17.2 0.9 42% (6/14) 2% Awful
16 Matthew Stafford DET vs. HOU 7.8 C- 16.9 -0.7 50% (5/10) 1% Average
17 Jared Goff LAR vs. SF 8.4 C- 16.6 2 62% (10/16) 4% Average
18 Philip Rivers IND vs. TEN 6.2 C- 16.3 0.4 53% (8/15) 1% Awful
19 Ryan Tannehill TEN at IND 3.2 D+ 16 4.6 62% (10/16) 1% Great
20 Teddy Bridgewater CAR at MIN 4.6 D+ 15.7 1.3 46% (7/15) 4% Average

 
Derek Carr (LV)
He continued his efficient ways against the Chiefs last week, throwing for 275 yards and three touchdowns on just 31 pass attempts. On the year, he’s completed 69.7 percent of his passes for 7.7 yards per attempt, and a 19:3 TD to INT ratio. The downside is that he’s thrown more than 32 passes just three times all year. I’m expecting him to get to that mark this week against the Falcons, who’ve seen 37.3 pass attempts per game. They are allowing a robust 107.0 PPR points per game to their opponents, which ranks second to only the Seahawks. The only reason they don’t allow as many points as the Seahawks do is due to their opponents running just 63.4 plays, not the 72.1 plays the Seahawks face. From an efficiency standpoint, they’ve allowed 1.68 PPR points per play, which is six percent higher than any other team. The NFL is a hard game to predict because there are so many small details, but when you see that type of gap, it stands out. Quarterbacks have outscored running backs by 5.03 fantasy points in PPR formats against the Falcons. Not one other team in the NFL can say that quarterbacks outscore running backs against them. The Raiders should find some consistency through the air, as Falcons opponents have averaged 8.41 yards per attempt, which ranks as the second-highest mark in the league. By comparison, Russell Wilson is averaging 8.25 yards per attempt this year. If you remove rushing production allowed to quarterbacks, the Falcons have allowed more fantasy points through the air than any other team in the league, which is good for the immobile Carr. The 0.55 fantasy points per actual pass attempt ranks as the second-most behind only the Cowboys. When you add in his 29.3-point team-implied total, he looks like a great streamer in the low-end QB1/high-end QB2 range.

Jared Goff (LAR)
After throwing just 10 touchdowns in his previous seven games, Goff goes off and throws for 376 yards and three touchdowns against a Bucs defense that was one of the best in the league coming into that game. Goff has now thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games, though the matchup in Week 12 is a rematch of the game he threw for a season-low 198 yards back in Week 6. The 49ers pass defense isn’t the one it used to be, but it’s worth noting that just two quarterbacks have averaged more than 7.05 yards per attempt against them this year. There have been five quarterbacks who’ve finished top-12 against them, but two of them did solely because of their rushing totals, something we don’t get out of Goff. Since the start of last year, Goff has played them three times, completing just 59-of-108 attempts (54.6 percent) for 599 yards (5.55 yards per attempt) with four touchdowns and two interceptions. The 49ers have seen just 31.4 pass attempts per game against them, so volume seems to be out of the question, too. The 219.6 passing yards per game they’ve allowed ranks as the second-fewest to only Washington. I wouldn’t be pushing my luck with Goff this week.

Week 12 Running Back Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Dalvin Cook MIN vs. CAR 8.8 A+ 22.6 3.8 58% (7/12) 28% Great
2 Derrick Henry TEN at IND 3.2 A+ 17.3 2.3 53% (8/15) 24% Average
3 Nick Chubb CLE at JAC 6 A 16.7 -0.9 41% (5/12) 15% Great
4 Alvin Kamara NO at DEN 6.6 A 16.3 0.6 43% (7/16) 22% Good
5 Aaron Jones GB vs. CHI 3.2 A 16.1 1.3 42% (6/14) 21% Average
6 James Robinson JAC vs. CLE 6.4 A 15.5 2 40% (4/10) 16% Great
7 Josh Jacobs LV at ATL 4.8 A 15.4 -1.7 23% (3/13) 23% Average
8 Ezekiel Elliott DAL vs. WAS 5.8 A 14.9 -0.5 50% (8/16) 26% Poor
9 Miles Sanders PHI vs. SEA 6.2 A 14.7 -0.1 38% (5/13) 10% Average
10 Mike Davis CAR at MIN 4.4 A- 14.3 -0.5 33% (5/15) 17% Poor
11 Antonio Gibson WAS at DAL 7.8 A- 13.8 1.5 60% (6/10) 19% Great
12 Kareem Hunt CLE at JAC 6 A- 13.3 0.3 62% (10/16) 24% Average
13 James Conner PIT vs. BAL 4.8 B+ 12.3 -2.9 41% (5/12) 21% Poor
14 Chris Carson SEA at PHI 5.8 B+ 12.3 0.9 60% (6/10) 20% Good
15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC at TB 4.2 B 12.1 -1.4 40% (4/10) 16% Poor
16 Kalen Ballage LAC at BUF 5.6 B 12 1.4 45% (5/11) 19% Awful
17 Wayne Gallman NYG at CIN 6.8 B 11.9 2.3 50% (6/12) 16% Good
18 David Montgomery CHI at GB 7.6 B 11.8 -1.2 26% (4/15) 17% Awful
19 Duke Johnson Jr. HOU at DET 8.6 B 11.7 -1.1 35% (5/14) 7% Poor
20 Kenyan Drake ARI at NE 8.2 B 11.6 2 42% (6/14) 19% Average
21 Jonathan Taylor IND vs. TEN 5.4 B- 11.3 -1.7 40% (4/10) 18% Awful
22 Damien Harris NE vs. ARI 5.4 B- 10.6 1.1 44% (4/9) 5% Great
23 Ronald Jones II TB vs. KC 8.6 B- 10.5 -0.3 47% (8/17) 12% Poor
24 Gus Edwards BAL at PIT 4.8 C+ 10.4 0.9 43% (7/16) 12% Average
25 Giovani Bernard CIN vs. NYG 7.4 C+ 10.3 0 56% (9/16) 9% Average
26 Raheem Mostert SF at LAR 4.8 C 10.3 5.6 70% (7/10) 7% Great
27 J.D. McKissic WAS at DAL 5 C 9.7 -0.2 43% (7/16) 8% Awful
28 Nyheim Hines IND vs. TEN 6 C 9.7 2.5 50% (8/16) 10% Great
29 Leonard Fournette TB vs. KC 8 C 9.6 -0.7 28% (4/14) 9% Average
30 Zack Moss BUF vs. LAC 5.6 C 9.4 1.3 57% (4/7) 12% Average
31 Melvin Gordon III DEN vs. NO 3.2 C 9.1 -0.4 50% (7/14) 15% Great
32 Kerryon Johnson DET vs. HOU 8 C 8.9 -0.1 33% (4/12) 5% Good
33 Frank Gore NYJ vs. MIA 7.4 C 8.9 -0.7 37% (6/16) 8% Awful
34 Chase Edmonds ARI at NE 8.6 C 8.6 0.8 35% (5/14) 12% Average
35 Adrian Peterson DET vs. HOU 8.8 C 8.3 0.1 43% (7/16) 14% Poor
36 James White NE vs. ARI 2.8 C- 8 -0.4 42% (6/14) 3% Awful
37 Devin Singletary BUF vs. LAC 5.8 C- 8 -2.6 40% (6/15) 9% Awful
38 Darrell Henderson LAR vs. SF 5.2 D+ 7.9 0.6 40% (6/15) 23% Poor
39 Latavius Murray NO at DEN 7.4 D+ 7.3 0.2 37% (6/16) 7% Awful
40 Jamaal Williams GB vs. CHI 3.2 D+ 7.2 -0.1 42% (6/14) 11% Awful
41 Brian Hill ATL vs. LV 6.2 D+ 7.1 0.1 37% (6/16) 3% Poor
42 Carlos Hyde SEA at PHI 5.4 D 7 0.8 45% (5/11) 7% Great
43 Phillip Lindsay DEN vs. NO 2.4 D 6.9 -2.1 38% (5/13) 7% Awful
44 Jerick McKinnon SF at LAR 5.4 D 6.8 -0.1 60% (6/10) 9% Good
45 Malcolm Brown LAR vs. SF 5.4 D- 6.7 1.5 50% (8/16) 13% Good
46 Le’Veon Bell KC at TB 4 D- 6.4 -3.1 18% (2/11) 3% Great
47 Tony Pollard DAL vs. WAS 5.2 D- 6 1.9 60% (9/15) 3% Great
48 Cam Akers LAR vs. SF 4.6 F 5.5 -1.4 50% (4/8) 7% Poor
49 Devontae Booker LV at ATL 5.2 F 5.4 2.2 46% (7/15) 3% Great
50 Samaje Perine CIN vs. NYG 7.2 F 5.2 0.4 22% (2/9) 8% Awful

 
Nick Chubb (CLE)
Chubb succeeded in a tough matchup last week, but there’s reason to be “concerned” about him moving forward. Last week, Chubb rode the bench when the Browns were at the goal line. Hunt saw the majority of the touches in the key area of the field last week while Chubb watched from the sideline. Chubb’s obviously a must-start option each week, especially in this matchup against the Jaguars, but he’s not going to present immense upside if he’s not getting that work.

Wayne Gallman (NYG)
Gallman has been impressive in the opportunities he’s gotten to carry the ball this season. He’s performed well in some tough matchups and he now gets a very favorable one here with the Bengals defense. Gallman should be viewed as a mid-range RB2 with upside due to the matchup.

Damien Harris (NE)
Harris wasn’t able to put up crazy yardage numbers in a favorable matchup, but he cashed in on a long touchdown run to save his fantasy day. Harris should continue to see the majority of the work on the ground even if Sony Michel is activated for this next game. He can be viewed as a low-end RB2 again in week 12.

Week 12 Wide Receiver Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Davante Adams GB vs. CHI 4.8 A+ 17.5 2.3 71% (10/14) 20% Good
2 Tyreek Hill KC at TB 5.2 A+ 17 -0.1 53% (8/15) 18% Good
3 Keenan Allen LAC at BUF 4.4 A+ 16.9 1 60% (9/15) 10% Average
4 D.K. Metcalf SEA at PHI 5.8 A+ 16.1 0.4 43% (7/16) 13% Great
5 Stefon Diggs BUF vs. LAC 4.6 A+ 16.1 -1.6 33% (5/15) 9% Average
6 DeAndre Hopkins ARI at NE 9.4 A+ 15.8 -1 60% (9/15) 13% Average
7 Terry McLaurin WAS at DAL 8.2 A 15.7 0 40% (6/15) 11% Poor
8 Tyler Lockett SEA at PHI 6.4 A 15.4 -1.9 31% (5/16) 14% Good
9 Calvin Ridley ATL vs. LV 6.6 A 15.2 0.1 54% (6/11) 24% Poor
10 Will Fuller V HOU at DET 5.4 A 15.1 -0.6 50% (7/14) 9% Great
11 Michael Thomas NO at DEN 5.8 A 14.7 -4.1 50% (5/10) 17% Awful
12 Justin Jefferson MIN vs. CAR 4.6 A 14 3.1 50% (5/10) 8% Good
13 A.J. Brown TEN at IND 4 A 14 3.6 71% (10/14) 9% Great
14 Cooper Kupp LAR vs. SF 5.4 A 14 -1.3 50% (8/16) 11% Awful
15 Allen Robinson II CHI at GB 4 A 13.8 0.1 50% (8/16) 15% Awful
16 Robert Woods LAR vs. SF 4.4 A 13.7 1.7 62% (10/16) 12% Great
17 Diontae Johnson PIT vs. BAL 4.2 A- 13.4 1.2 46% (7/15) 10% Good
18 Brandin Cooks HOU at DET 5.4 A- 13.3 -0.4 37% (6/16) 10% Poor
19 D.J. Moore CAR at MIN 6.6 A- 13.2 -0.1 56% (9/16) 9% Average
20 Chase Claypool PIT vs. BAL 5.2 B+ 13.2 5 80% (8/10) 19% Great
21 Chris Godwin TB vs. KC 6.6 B+ 13.2 0 45% (5/11) 7% Average
22 Mike Evans TB vs. KC 5.6 B 12.9 -1.7 53% (7/13) 14% Average
23 Robby Anderson CAR at MIN 7.2 B 12.8 0.7 52% (9/17) 10% Awful
24 Amari Cooper DAL vs. WAS 4 B 12.6 -2.6 31% (5/16) 10% Poor
25 DeVante Parker MIA at NYJ 7.6 B 12.4 0.3 43% (7/16) 11% Average
26 Julio Jones ATL vs. LV 6 A- 12.2 -1.1 38% (5/13) 15% Poor
27 Marvin Jones Jr. DET vs. HOU 7.8 B 12.1 -1.2 41% (5/12) 15% Average
28 Adam Thielen MIN vs. CAR 5.4 A- 11.8 -0.5 38% (5/13) 20% Good
29 Antonio Brown TB vs. KC 5.8 B- 11.7 -0.9 66% (2/3) 5% Awful
30 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT vs. BAL 3.8 B- 11.6 -1.2 50% (6/12) 11% Good
31 CeeDee Lamb DAL vs. WAS 4.4 B- 11.4 2 70% (7/10) 14% Poor
32 Christian Kirk ARI at NE 6.2 C+ 11.4 -0.5 50% (7/14) 12% Great
33 Curtis Samuel CAR at MIN 7.2 C+ 11.2 0.8 50% (8/16) 8% Good
34 Sterling Shepard NYG at CIN 9.2 C+ 11.1 -1 30% (4/13) 10% Awful
35 Tyler Boyd CIN vs. NYG 8 C+ 11.1 1 50% (8/16) 11% Awful
36 Darius Slayton NYG at CIN 9.2 C+ 10.8 -0.7 37% (6/16) 14% Awful
37 Michael Pittman Jr. IND vs. TEN 6.2 C+ 10.7 1.1 57% (4/7) 4% Average
38 Jakobi Meyers NE vs. ARI 7.8 C 10.7 0.7 50% (6/12) 8% Awful
39 Cole Beasley BUF vs. LAC 4.8 C 10.3 3.3 80% (12/15) 7% Average
40 Jerry Jeudy DEN vs. NO 7 C 9.9 -0.5 40% (4/10) 11% Awful
41 Mike Williams LAC at BUF 4.6 C 9.8 0.3 50% (7/14) 11% Poor
42 Tee Higgins CIN vs. NYG 8.4 C 9.8 2.3 60% (6/10) 12% Poor
43 Nelson Agholor LV at ATL 6.6 C 9.7 3.5 63% (7/11) 12% Good
44 Corey Davis TEN at IND 5.4 C 9.6 0.2 46% (7/15) 8% Good
45 Jarvis Landry CLE at JAC 6.2 C 9.6 -1.9 18% (3/16) 7% Awful
46 Jalen Reagor PHI vs. SEA 7.6 C 9.5 0 60% (3/5) 8% Awful
47 Travis Fulgham PHI vs. SEA 7.6 C 9.4 1.6 36% (4/11) 16% Average
48 Jamison Crowder NYJ vs. MIA 4 C 9.4 -0.4 50% (6/12) 7% Great
49 Tim Patrick DEN vs. NO 6.8 C- 9.2 1.3 60% (9/15) 9% Average
50 Breshad Perriman NYJ vs. MIA 4.4 C- 9.1 4.5 75% (9/12) 9% Great

 
Davante Adams (GB)
He’s now scored eight touchdowns over the last five games, including at least one in every game. Last week was the first time he’s seen fewer than 10 targets in a full game, though you’ll take eight targets if it amounts to 7/106/1 against one of the better defenses in the league. He’ll have to do it again in Week 12 against a Bears team that’s been among the best in football at limiting wide receiver production. They’ve allowed a ridiculously-low 11.2 receptions per game to wide receivers and have allowed just five touchdowns to them. When you add in the 58.6 percent completion-rate and 7.77 yards per target, they rank as the second-toughest matchup in the league for wide receivers. Kyle Fuller has allowed just 1.07 PPR points per target in his coverage this year, which ranks as the third-lowest mark in football. Fortunately, the Bears don’t shadow, which means Adams will also see plenty of rookie Jaylon Johnson. After playing extremely well at the start of the season, he’s fallen off just a bit over their last six games, allowing 19-of-32 passing for 310 yards and two touchdowns in his coverage. Adams should remain in lineups as a WR1 despite the tough matchup.

A.J. Brown (TEN)
Things weren’t looking good for AJ Brown there for a while in last week’s contest. He had a few uncharacteristic drops, but he absolutely made up for it with his monstrous TD catch. Brown was shut down the last time they played the Colts, but he’s too talented to sit on your bench. Brown should be viewed as a mid-range WR2 this week due to the matchup.

Antonio Brown (TB)
Brown has now seen 2.4 air yards per snap, which ranks as the third-highest in the NFL among receivers with 25-plus targets. Brady is clearly trying to get the ball to him, as evidenced by his 21 targets over the last two weeks. Brown has looked decent on them, though he’s lacking that elite separation he used to get. It was a tough matchup last week, though this week isn’t going to be much easier. He plays almost all his snaps on the perimeter, which means he’ll see a mix of Bashaud Breeland and Charvarius Ward in coverage. Both cornerbacks have allowed less than 1.72 PPR points per target in their coverage, though we did see Breeland slip a bit last week, allowing 4-of-4 passing for 55 yards and a touchdown to the Raiders’ wide receivers. While Brown’s talent can rise above the competition, the issue is that you can’t expect all the Bucs receivers to post top-30 numbers, especially considering the Chiefs have allowed just nine wide receivers to do that all year. Knowing that Brown plays on the perimeter the most, he’s the one who’ll have the hardest time. Because of that, he’s in the low-end WR3 territory, though Brady clearly wants him to be “the guy.”

Week 12 Tight End Rankings

RK PLAYER NAME TEAM OPP MATCHUP RATING START/SIT PROJ. FPTS AVG. POINTS  % GAMES  OPPORTUNITY  EFFICIENCY 
1 Travis Kelce KC at TB 4.6 A+ 15.5 1 60% (9/15) 9% Great
2 Darren Waller LV at ATL 9.9 A 13.8 -1.4 37% (6/16) 17% Poor
3 T.J. Hockenson DET vs. HOU 9 A 11.2 -0.1 54% (6/11) 16% Average
4 Mark Andrews BAL at PIT 2.6 A- 10.8 -1 46% (7/15) 16% Good
5 Hunter Henry LAC at BUF 6.4 B+ 9.8 -2.2 33% (5/15) 10% Poor
6 Dallas Goedert PHI vs. SEA 6.2 B 8.8 -0.1 33% (4/12) 5% Great
7 Evan Engram NYG at CIN 6.4 B 8 -1.4 40% (4/10) 10% Poor
8 Noah Fant DEN vs. NO 6.6 B 8 -1.1 26% (4/15) 7% Average
9 Hayden Hurst ATL vs. LV 5.4 B- 7.6 -0.2 43% (7/16) 8% Average
10 Rob Gronkowski TB vs. KC 6.6 B- 7.2 -0.2 45% (5/11) 11% Poor
11 Eric Ebron PIT vs. BAL 5.4 C+ 7.1 0.2 60% (6/10) 11% Average
12 Austin Hooper CLE at JAC 4.8 C 7 -2.8 33% (4/12) 8% Awful
13 Jonnu Smith TEN at IND 4.4 C 7 0.6 56% (9/16) 16% Great
14 Mike Gesicki MIA at NYJ 6.6 C- 6.9 0.3 31% (5/16) 12% Awful
15 Robert Tonyan GB vs. CHI 6.4 D+ 6.7 1.9 46% (7/15) 7% Great
16 Logan Thomas WAS at DAL 8 D+ 6.3 0.3 40% (6/15) 9% Average
17 Dalton Schultz DAL vs. WAS 6.6 D 6.3 1.4 46% (7/15) 8% Average
18 Jordan Reed SF at LAR 7 D 6.2 0.9 40% (2/5) 7% Average
19 Jordan Akins HOU at DET 6.8 D 6.1 1.1 53% (7/13) 7% Awful
20 Jimmy Graham CHI at GB 6.6 D- 6 0.5 37% (6/16) 14% Average

 
Hunter Henry (LAC)
I feel like I’m living out Groundhog Day with Henry. I swear he’s had like the same game for each of the last eight games. It feels like that because he’s finished with exactly four receptions in five of his last six games and has posted between 23-50 yards in each of his last eight games. Oh, and he’s finished between 4-8 targets in every game this season. Here are his weekly finishes: 14, 12, 17, 28, 10, 29, 18, 26, 2, 6. So, he’s been a top-10 tight end three times, yet we always rank him as a top-10 option because, well, tight ends. Opponents have given their tight ends a 24.0 percent target share against the Bills, which is the second-highest mark in the league. That’s obviously led to production, as tight ends make up 21.3 percent of the production by skill-position players against them, which is the fourth-highest mark. They’ve allowed a league-high 5.9 receptions and 64.2 yards per game to tight ends, which is massive for Henry, who’s obviously been struggling with his yardage. There have been five tight ends who’ve seen five-plus targets against the Bills, and four of them were able to finish with 17.8 or more PPR points. Could this be the week where Henry enters beyond four-catch territory? It probably should be. Start him as a rock-solid TE1.

Jonnu Smith (TEN)
After scoring three touchdowns over the last three weeks, Smith is back as a top-five tight end. The good news? He’s seen six targets in each of the last two games. The bad news? He hasn’t topped 32 yards since back in Week 5. He’s turned into a touchdown-or-bust tight end, but fortunately, he’s scored eight total touchdowns this year. Teams have chosen to target their tight ends 22.9 percent of the time against the Colts, which ranks as the fifth-highest percentage in the league. Despite that high percentage, they allowed the first receiving touchdown to a tight end just last week. The 1.19 PPR points per target they’ve allowed to tight ends is the second-lowest number in football to only the Steelers. Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric has them as the sixth-toughest matchup for tight ends. Smith was targeted six times against them in their last meeting that only netted two catches for 14 yards, but he did score a rushing touchdown, salvaging his fantasy day. Considering the Colts have allowed just 5.19 yards per target and one touchdown on 74 targets to the position, it’s probably not wise to bet on Smith as anything more than a middling TE2 this week.

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