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DraftKings Projected Roster Percentage: Week 14 (2020)

DraftKings Projected Roster Percentage: Week 14 (2020)

Welcome to Week 14! The playoffs are upon us in most redraft leagues, and if you made it, congratulations! If not, better luck next year. Before then, though, you can always try out daily fantasy sports (DFS) to kill the time!

Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on numbers pulled from full-slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.

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Quarterback

We don’t have much clear chalk this week, but Russell Wilson is clearly the most popular play at quarterback. Wilson faces the struggling New York Jets, who allow the third-most DraftKings points per game (DKPPG) to the position (25.6), and he’s primed for a big day. While I’d usually be concerned about a team in this spot getting out to too big of a lead, Seattle’s impotent defense should help keep this one close.

Behind Wilson, we have two other guys who should be popular: Ryan Tannehill and Patrick Mahomes. Tannehill has the fourth-worst defense against quarterbacks, and he should be good for a solid chunk of points. I’m skeptical of Mahomes here, however, as the Dolphins are the ninth-best defense against quarterbacks and give up the second-fewest points per game (17.7).

If you’re looking for contrarian plays, I like two of the guys in the 5-10% range a lot. Mike Glennon has been a reliable value play over the past two weeks, and he remains one here. And while Justin Herbert busted last week, he should rebound against Atlanta’s defense, as they rank last against opposing quarterbacks.

Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End

Again, this seems to be a chalk-free week. That said, I expect Breshad Perriman’s rostership percentage to skyrocket, as the Jets probably won’t have Denzel Mims and Jamison Crowder. That will make Perriman the go-to option against the league’s worst wide receiver defense, making him a strong value play.

We have four names in the 20-30% range, including a pair of running backs. Derrick Henry should pop off this week against Jacksonville’s fourth-worst running back defense, making him a good stud to feature, while Aaron Jones should find similar success against Detroit’s league-worst running back defense. Jones is probably the better option given his lower salary, but it’s hard to argue with Henry’s upside.

Of the other should-be popular running backs, I like James Robinson and David Montgomery. Both have fantastic matchups; Robinson will play the eighth-worst running back defense, while Montgomery gets the league’s second-worst. D’Andre Swift should see his numbers jump if he’s active against the league’s third-worst unit, the Packers.

At wide receiver, D.K. Metcalf and Tim Patrick headline the list. While I like Metcalf against the eighth-worst Jets, I don’t get why Patrick is so popular. The Carolina Panthers haven’t been bad against opposing wideouts, and Patrick doesn’t have a great quarterback tossing him the ball. I would avoid him even at that price, as you can get Perriman for less.

Corey Davis, Keenan Allen, D.J. Chark, and Tyreek Hill round out the list for receivers. I’m partial to Allen against Atlanta’s soft secondary, as they give up the second-most DKPPG to wide receivers, but he’ll cost you a pretty penny. Chark should be a smart value play against Tennesee’s fourth-worst defense against the position.

Literally no tight ends grace this list. The most popular one should be Robert Tonyan, but he’s only in the 5-10% range.

Defense

Both sides of the Seahawks and Jets matchup found their way onto this list. They’re both bargain-bin plays due to how badly they’ve played, but you can make a case for either of them. For Seattle: they’ll play the league’s lowest-scoring offense; for New York: they’re incredibly cheap, and the Seahawks’ shift back toward the run has limited their scoring potential.

The Dallas Cowboys should be the most popular option this week, and honestly, I think they’re a great target. The Bengals are terrible, and their offensive line has given up the second-most sacks in the league. They fare better in terms of adjusted sack rate (which compensates for quarterback error), but that doesn’t mean much when you have Brandon Allen under center. They’re a great bargain-bin play if you need one.

The Saints are the most expensive unit on the list, and I love them here. Their defensive line ranks first in adjusted sack rate, while Philadelphia’s offensive line ranks dead last. Jalen Hurts will have a hard time in his first start, and the Saints’ defense should explode as a result.

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Beyond our daily fantasy football content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Football Tools. From our Value Plays – which allows you to identify players who are projected to outperform their salaries – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.

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