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FanDuel Projected Roster Percentage: Week 14 (2020)

FanDuel Projected Roster Percentage: Week 14 (2020)

Welcome to Week 14! The playoffs are upon us in most redraft leagues, and if you made it, congratulations! If not, better luck next year. Before then, though, you can always try out daily fantasy sports (DFS) to kill the time!

Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on numbers pulled from full-slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.

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Quarterback

We don’t have much clear chalk this week. At quarterback, four players top the charts in the 10-20% range: Patrick Mahomes, Ryan Tannehill, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady.

I like Wilson a lot here. He’ll face the struggling New York Jets, who allow the third-most FanDuel points per game (FDPPG) to the position (22.9), and he’s primed for a big day. While I’d usually be concerned about a team in this spot getting out to too big of a lead, Seattle’s impotent defense should help keep this one close.

I also like Tannehill, as he’ll face the fourth-worst defense against quarterbacks, which puts him in position for a solid chunk of points. Brady’s matchup against the 15th-best Vikings is less appealing, but his high-quality receiving corps and lower-end price point make him a decent option.

That said, I’m skeptical of Mahomes here. The Dolphins are the ninth-best defense against quarterbacks and give up the second-fewest total points per game (17.7), so I think it’d be smart to pivot away from the high-priced quarterback.

If you’re looking for contrarian plays, I like two of the guys in the 5-10% range a lot. Mike Glennon has been a reliable value play over the past two weeks, and he remains one here. And while Justin Herbert busted last week, he should rebound against Atlanta’s defense, as they give up the most FDPPG to opposing quarterbacks (24.4).

Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End

Again, this seems to be a chalk-free week. That said, I expect Breshad Perriman’s rostership percentage to skyrocket, as the Jets probably won’t have Denzel Mims and Jamison Crowder. That will make Perriman the go-to option against the league’s worst wide receiver defense, making him a strong value play.

We have four running backs in the 20-30% range: Myles Gaskin, Derrick Henry. Of those options, I’m most confident in Henry. He should pop off against Jacksonville’s defense, which gives up the fifth-most FDPPG to the position (25).

Likewise, Robinson and Montgomery have easy matchups. Robinson will play the seventh-worst running back defense, while Montgomery gets the league’s second-worst. And while I do like Gaskin as a value play, he isn’t as well-situated as some of the players around him. Kansas City’s defense gives up the 13th-most FDPPG to running backs, which doesn’t make them a bad team to target, but Montgomery might be worth the extra $600.

Of the other popular running back plays, Aaron Jones makes a smart play against the Lions, as they give up the most FDPPG to the position (30.2), and Austin Ekeler could be a strong play at his low-end price point.

Only one wide receiver ranks in the 20-30% range: Davante Adams. He’s scored at least one touchdown in his last seven games, and since Aaron Rodgers doesn’t have many other weapons to target, he should be in for a big day here, too. That said, I would rather play Jones than Adams this week.

Behind Adams, I like Robby Anderson and Keenan Allen this week. Anderson should have little competition for targets with D.J. Moore sidelined, while Allen faces the Falcons, and they give up the third-most FDPPG to wide receivers (35.4).

Two tight ends make appearances: Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. Both find themselves in tough matchups, as the Colts give up the second-fewest FDPPG to tight ends (6.6), while the Dolphins surrender the fifth-fewest (7.8). It might be a smart week to pay down for a value play like Jordan Akins here.

Defense

The Dallas Cowboys should be one of the most popular options this week, and honestly, I think they’re a great target. The Bengals are terrible, and their offensive line has given up the second-most sacks in the league. They fare better in terms of adjusted sack rate (which compensates for quarterback error), but that doesn’t mean much when you have Brandon Allen under center. They’re a great bargain-bin play if you need one.

I don’t like the Panthers as much. Sure, the Broncos don’t have a great quarterback, but the Panthers won’t have two of their best offensive weapons. Worse, the Broncos have given up the 15th-fewest sacks, and the Panthers have the fifth-fewest sacks on the year.

The Saints are the second-most expensive unit on the list, and I love them here. Their defensive line ranks first in adjusted sack rate, while Philadelphia’s offensive line ranks dead last. Jalen Hurts will have a hard time in his first start, and the Saints’ defense should explode as a result.

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Beyond our daily fantasy football content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Football Tools. From our Value Plays – which allows you to identify players who are projected to outperform their salaries – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.

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