Happy Holidays! We have one final NFL DFS slate of 2020, and I hope it’s been a profitable year for you. Each week, I’ll break down the projected player roster percentages at the top DFS sites. These figures are generated based on numbers pulled from full-slate contests, so they won’t be perfectly accurate, but they give us a good measurement of who’s popular.

Check out our full Projected Roster % Report here

Quarterback

Two quarterbacks should be near-chalk at FanDuel this week: Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. You should bet on them in cash leagues and against them in tournaments.

Mahomes is in a smash spot as the slate’s highest-priced quarterback. The Atlanta Falcons give up the most FanDuel points per game (FDPPG) to quarterbacks (23.8), and the Chiefs are just one win away from clinching a bye. Expect them to come out shooting.

Next, Hurts will take on the Cowboys. This game isn’t as an immediately obvious target, as the Cowboys allow only the 14th-most FDPPG to the position, but they’re also giving up the most rushing yards per game (161.8). That bodes well for Hurts, who has averaged 84.5 rushing yards per game in his two starts.

If you’re trying to spend down at quarterback, Mitch Trubisky should be a smart pivot, as the Jaguars give up the second-most FDPPG to quarterbacks (23).

Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End

David Montgomery is chalk this week. He ranks as the PPR RB1 since Week 12, and he’ll take on the Jaguars this week, and they give up the fourth-most FDPPG to running backs (25.8). Expect a big showing from the sophomore for a surprisingly low price.

The only other running back to qualify for this list, Austin Ekeler, is a similarly strong value play. The Broncos give up the 14th-most FDPPG to the position (21.3), but with Keenan Allen still nursing a hamstring injury, Ekeler should see a few more short-yardage targets — especially if Allen has to sit.

We don’t have any clear chalk at wide receiver this week. Lots of DFS players have apparently bet on Randall Cobb’s return from the injured reserve, but he won’t come back this season, so don’t expect those users to remain committed to him come Sunday.

That said, both Tyreek Hill and Robert Woods should be popular options who actually have a chance to play. While Hill is questionable with a hamstring injury, he practiced on Thursday and Friday, and I expect him to power through. He’ll face off against Atlanta’s secondary, which gives up the most FDPPG to the position (36). Meanwhile, Woods will take on Seattle’s second-worst secondary, which gives up 35.9 FDPPG to wideouts. He didn’t do much against them last time, but with Josh Reynolds’ fading role, Woods isn’t a bad target.

Only one tight end qualified for this list: Travis Kelce. He’s been the clear TE1 all season long, and the positional advantage he affords you is well worth his massive salary.

Defense

There is incredibly little consensus at defense this week. Of the three teams, I like the Ravens and Browns the most, as they’ll both take on bottom-four teams in terms of total points per game. The Ravens are in a must-win situation, so expect them to come out firing against a banged-up Daniel Jones. Meanwhile, the Browns have the Jets in a hangover spot after their first win on the year.

I don’t like the Texans much, as their secondary has a league-worst three picks, and they rank 18th in sacks per game (2.3). Cincinnati’s offense might be bad, but so is Houston’s defense, and there’s not much floor here.

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Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.