Monkey Knife Fight Advice: Week 14 (2020 Fantasy Football)
Welcome to Monkey Knife Fight. Monkey Knife Fight is one of the more intriguing entrants in the DFS arena. Instead of the traditional salary cap based contests, Monkey Knife Fight allows DFS players to put their fantasy football knowledge and predictive powers to the test.
They offer fantasy point and stat based contests. Perhaps the most appealing of all of their offerings is the ‘More or Less’ contests. In these contests, you can choose whether a player will fall above or below totals for a preset combination of two to 10 players. Your win probability obviously goes down with the more players you add, but you receive an increased payout multiplier in exchange.
Since Monkey Knife Fight’s fantasy point and stat-based totals are dynamic, meaning the total, total type, and pairings change throughout the week, it is important to search for favorable and advantageous total pairings to exploit on a daily basis. Ideally, when choosing a total pairing you want to feel extremely confident on one of the totals, and feel strongly enough about the other total to proceed. This week we will take a look at two of the ‘More’ options that stood out the most for Week 14. Note that these are not locked in pairings, and may no longer be offered by the time you log in to make your picks.
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Justin Herbert (QB – LAC): 289.5 passing yards
Justin Herbert is finally getting the respect he deserves with the 289.5 passing yards number at MonkeyKnifeFight for Week 14. However, he gets the tag in a tremendous matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons defensive struggles are well documented, but the crux of their issues on defense is the cornerback position. There is talent at safety, linebacker, and the defensive line, unfortunately, their top corner is rookie A.J. Terrell. Atlanta has allowed 364 passing yards per game to the top passers they have faced this season, and are sure to hemorrhage yardage to the talented rookie.
Speaking of the talented rookie, we have touched on him enough yet. Herbert is in the midst of a rookie of the year campaign. But has cooled down a bit in his recent starts. He is averaging 293.1 passing yards per game on the season, with that number dropping due to Herbert struggling against the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots to the tune of 187 and 209 passing yard outings respectively. However, the Falcons have no stud corner to limit Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, which should allow Herbert to flourish in the passing yards department. MKF has built in a cushion for themselves with the 289.5 passing yard number, but anyone who has taken in these two teams this season would tell you that it would be a surprise if Hebert did not see more than 289 passing yards in Week 14. Don’t overthink this one, bang the more for Herbert for Sunday afternoon’s contest.
Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL): 78.5 receiving yards
This looks like one of the better ‘More or Less’ options posted at MKF for Week 14 and comes attached to yet another strong Justin Herbert option. As you have probably heard by now, Julio Jones will be inactive in Week 14 against the Los Angeles Chargers. This means Ridley is going to be the number one receiver, and be treated as such. He has seen over 10 targets per game while Julio has been sidelined this season, and should crack double-digit targets once again against Los Angeles.
Ridley has averaged 35.5 more receiving yards per game when Julio Jones has been inactive over the past three seasons. He has averaged 96.75 receiving yards per game when Julio has been sidelined versus 61.25 receiving yards when he has been active. Ridley has increased that number to 98.6 receiving yards in the three games Julio has missed this season. Suffice it to say that even without Ridley being in the middle of his true breakout season that he still would be a strong play at 78.5 receiving yards against the Los Angeles Chargers. He has averaged 82 receiving yards per game and leads the Falcons in both target share and air yard share. Click ‘More’ for Ridley for Week 14.
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