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DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy: Wednesday (1/6)

DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy: Wednesday (1/6)

After a meager five-game slate on Tuesday, we have a full 11-game ledger here. Numerous teams will back-to-backs, and we have a ton of injury question marks to monitor, so keep an eye on our injury news up until the first tipoff. With that in mind, let’s get into it!

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

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Value Plays: Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Trae Young (ATL) vs. CHA $9,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Mike Conley (UTH) at NYK $6,800 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
George Hill (OKC) at NO $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • It’s Trae Day in the NBA, and we’ll discuss that more in the studs section.
  • Conley is averaging over 35 DraftKings points per game, and it’s hard to understand why he remains below $7K.
  • Hill is averaging 23.3 DK points per game, and that’s a huge total from a $4,500 player.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Paul George (LAC) at GSW $8,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Victor Oladipo (IND) vs. HOU $7,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Eric Bledsoe (NOR) vs. OKC $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • George has been a stud all season long with 45 DK points per game, and he should be able to continue that against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. If Kawhi is out in the second half of this back-to-back set, PG would be my favorite play of the day. If PG is out again, Kawhi is the choice.
  • Oladipo is averaging 39 DK points per game, and he should continue that against a lackluster Rockets defense.
  • Bledsoe has finally found his form in New Orleans. He’s averaging 40 DK points per game over his last two outings.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at GSW $9,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Jimmy Butler (MIA) vs. BOS $7,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Kelly Oubre (GSW) vs. LAC $5,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • Kawhi is one of my favorite plays of the day, and we’ll discuss that more later on.
  • It’s weird to see Butler this cheap, and we’re going to take advantage of it while we can.
  • Oubre’s shot was busted early on, but 28 DK points in three of his last four games is a really promising sign going forward.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Domantas Sabonis (IND) vs. HOU $9,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Draymond Green (GSW) vs. LAC $5,200 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
P.J. Washington (CHA) at ATL $5,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • Sabonis has been one of the best players around, and we love him against a dreadful Rockets defense.
  • Draymond is a $7,000 player when he’s right, and it’s just a matter of time before he gets back there.
  • Washington is averaging 25 fantasy points per game, and he should be able to surpass that against a 28th-ranked Hawks defense.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Clint Capela (ATL) vs. CHA $6,700 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Mitchell Robinson (NYK) vs. UTH $5,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Bismack Biyombo (CHA) at ATL $5,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

  • Capela has played at least 30 minutes in three-straight games, and he’s averaging 37 DK points per game in that span. That’s tough for a Charlotte team without their starting center.
  • Robinson is one of the best per-minute producers around, and he should be asked to play a lot here against Rudy Gobert.
  • Biyombo is starting for the Hornets with Cody Zeller injured and averages about 25 DK points per game in this role.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) $10,900: While Giannis got off to a slow start, he’s been rolling ever since. In fact, he’s averaging 32.7 points, 11.3 rebounds, 7.3 assists, 1.7 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game over his last three fixtures. That’s a 61-point floor, which included a game over this bad Pistons team.
  • Joel Embiid (PHI) $9,900: Embiid has at least 40 DraftKings points in all six games this season, and we love that floor against the Wizards. Washington is currently allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing centers and ranks 25th in total defense.
  • Trae Young (ATL) $9,600: Young is another player with a great floor, as he’s scored at least 38 DK points in every game this season. We love that against a Charlotte team that’s allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards. In two meetings with them last season, Trae averaged 58 fantasy points per game.
  • Domantas Sabonis (IND) $9,200: Sabonis has been a complete revelation this season, averaging 20.6 points, 11.3 rebounds, 6.7 assists, 0.9 steals, and 0.6 blocks per game. That’s really bad news for a Houston club that ranks 24th in both points allowed and defensive efficiency.
  • Kawhi Leonard (LAC) $9,100: This is slightly risky in the second half of a back-to-back set, but we love Kawhi if he plays. The big reason why is this matchup, with Golden State ranked 28th in defensive efficiency and dead-last in points allowed. If Leonard is ruled out, Paul George is one of the best options on the board.

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Stephen Curry (GSW) $9,800: This game has Clippers blowout written all over it, and that’s bad news for Curry. Each of the Warriors’ first three losses has been by at least 25 points apiece, with Curry never surpassing 45 fantasy points in any of them. We also don’t like this massive price increase after Curry’s last two games.
  • Bradley Beal (WAS) $9,000: I continue to worry about Beal’s usage next to Russell Westbrook, with Westbrook stealing rebounds and assists from everyone else. That makes this price tag hard to justify, especially against a Philly team that owns the NBA’s most efficient defense.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) $7,300: SGA has really been struggling the last few games, as he’s averaging 27 DK points per game over his last three fixtures. That’s not good enough at this price, and it makes us hesitant against a surprisingly good Pelicans defense.
  • Chris Paul (PHO) $7,000: CP3 simply hasn’t been the same fantasy asset this year next to Devin Booker. His failure to crack 37 DK points in all but one game is concerning, and it’s going to be even tougher against a fifth-ranked Raptors defense.
  • Blake Griffin (DET) $6,500: Griffin simply hasn’t been playing at this level for years, and he’s going to remain in the fade section until he falls below $6,000. This blowout potential against this stingy Milwaukee defense makes him impossible to use as well.

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Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.

Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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