Early DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice: Super Bowl LV (2021)
Last week, I wrote that it was my final article of the season, but I’m ecstatic to give you guys one more! It was actually a great article for me, too, as Leonard Fournette, Darrel Williams, and Travis Kelce carried my lineups.
We’ve got one game left, and it’s the big one! We have the Kansas City Chiefs facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the Chiefs entering this matchup as a 3.5-point favorite. It should be a fascinating matchup, so let’s examine it from a DFS perspective!
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Quarterback of the Week
Tom Brady (TB): $10,000 vs. KC
It would be easy to sit here and recommend Mahomes, but Brady looks like the better value. You can save $2,000 by using TB12, and that’s the route to take with so many great position players available. It’s not like Brady has been some bum, either, as he’s scored at least 20 DraftKings points in six-straight games while averaging 27 fantasy points a game in that span. That’s really not far off of what Mahomes is doing, and if Tampa is trailing in this game, Brady will have to throw a ton. This is a guy who’s played in his fair share of Super Bowls, too. He’s averaged 336.6 passing yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game in his last eight Super Bowl appearances.
Cash Game Running Back
Leonard Fournette (TB): $7,800 vs. KC
Fournette found his way into our cash game running back section last week, and we’re going right back to the well. To put it simply, he’s the only reliable back out there. The former Jaguar has now scored at least 15 DraftKings points in five of his last six games, and he’s taken over this backfield. The thing that really makes him reliable is his receiving, though, because he’s recorded at least four catches in three-straight fixtures. That pairs beautifully with his 16 carries per game through that span, too, which is easily the highest usage of any back on this slate. It’s the far better matchup of the two as well — Tampa owns the best rush defense in the NFL, while Kansas City owns a 21st OPRK against opposing running backs.
GPP Running Back
Darrel Williams (KC): $5,200 vs. TB
Williams was in our article last week as well, so why not go back to him? Even though Clyde Edwards-Helaire returned, Williams got almost all of the goal-line work and looked like the better back. He received 13 carries for the second-straight game, providing 52 rushing yards and another touchdown. He’s scored at least 13 DK points in back-to-back games, which dwarves the six carries for seven yards that CEH had last week. It’s shocking that Williams is $1,800 cheaper than Edwards-Helaire, and he’s an easy pick on this showdown slate. We also like that he’s the pass-catching back because that’s a much easier way to approach this tough matchup.
Cash Game Wide Receiver
Chris Godwin (TB): $8,800 vs. KC
With all of the talented pass-catchers in this game, Godwin is our favorite per-dollar play. While Tyreek Hill is the best pure points play, we want to ride Godwin at a $1,600 discount. We say that because Godwin has proven to be Brady’s top receiver, picking up at least seven targets in five-straight games. They haven’t been worthless targets, either, as Godwin scored at least 19 DraftKings points in four of those five games. If we’re riding Brady and believe that the Bucs will have to play catch-up, it’s hard to overlook Godwin as his top option.
GPP Wide Receiver
Demarcus Robinson (KC): $1,400 vs. TB
Many people may not realize it, but Robinson is the number-two wideout in Kansas City right now. In fact, he played 71 percent of the team’s snaps against the Browns and followed it up with a 65 percent snap share in the win over the Bills. Anyone playing that much in this offense needs to be considered, especially when you see this $1,400 price tag! The reason for the price is due to the fact that Robinson failed to record a catch last week, but the fact that he scored at least 11 DK points in two of his previous three games shows that he can have a solid outing. Also, Tampa will obviously fixate on Hill and Kelce, which should open up some things for Robinson. Not to mention, Tampa owns a 26th OPRK against opposing wide receivers this season. Byron Pringle also played 80 percent of the snaps on Sunday, which makes him a nice GPP play, too.
Tight End of the Week
Travis Kelce (KC): $11,000 vs. TB
This play is pretty obvious. Kelce is the best tight end in the NFL right now, and he’s clearly the best tight end option on this slate. We’re talking about a guy who’s scored at least 22 DraftKings points in 10-straight games. Not even the best wide receivers are doing that! He’s been even more ridiculous in the postseason, collecting 21 receptions for 227 yards and three touchdowns in those two games. The price tag is definitely ridiculous, but he’s earned every bit of it with those ludicrous statistics we just mentioned.
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