FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Divisional Saturday (1/16)
After an entertaining Wild Card weekend, we are onto the Divisional round, starting with two games on Saturday with the Rams visiting the Packers in the afternoon and the Ravens squaring off with the Bills in the nightcap. In cash games on a two-game slate, we want guaranteed touches and touchdowns more than ever, focusing on building a balanced lineup with players with the highest touch share and touchdown opportunity possible. In GPPs, make sure to throw a couple of calculated higher risk options that could steal a score from the obvious play, even if it means leaving some salary on the table.
Cash Game Core
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL): $8,000
I was shocked that Jackson was the cheapest of the three high-priced quarterbacks on Saturday’s two-game slate. His price tag will likely make him a very chalky option at quarterback in cash games and thus one to pivot away from in GPPs. Jackson has been reliving his MVP-caliber play over the last six weeks with a low of 21 FanDuel points during that stretch. The Ravens/Bills matchup has the better chance of being a shootout on Saturday with a tight line and a higher Vegas total than the Rams/Packers tilt.
The Bills have allowed seven rushing scores to opposing quarterbacks this season, including 61 yards and two scores to Kyler Murray and touchdown runs by Cam Newton in both of the Bills’ matchups with the Patriots. Take the salary savings with Jackson in cash games, and you still might have the highest-scoring quarterback on the slate.
Aaron Jones (RB – GB): $7,800
You will probably only be able to fit one of the two high-priced Packers between Davante Adams and Aaron Jones. With another elite wide receiver option on the slate (see Stefon Diggs below), and with Adams contending with one of the top cornerbacks in the league (Jalen Ramsey), my lean is towards using Jones. As the weather gets colder in Green Bay and the Packers installed as a near touchdown favorite, the Packers will turn to their running game a little bit more often, which should benefit Jones.
While Jones cedes carries to Jamaal Williams at times during the season, Jones seemed to get more of a workhorse role in the playoffs last season. With the Packers getting the same first-round bye and home game in last year’s playoffs, Jones absorbed 21 of the Packers’ 24 running back carries against the Seahawks, which included a pair of short-yardage scores.
Stefon Diggs (WR – BUF): $8,600
If I am using one high-priced stud wide receiver in my cash game lineup this week, it will be Diggs. Diggs put up 128 yards and a score in the Wild Card round and has topped 128 yards receiving in four of his last five games. He is a lock for at least eight targets against a beatable Ravens secondary that likes to take chances, which can result in some big plays for a sharp route runner like Diggs.
As a side note, I am also not worried about going back to fellow Bills wide receiver John Brown again in cash games, even though he put up a goose egg last week. He was on the field a team-high 96 percent of the offensive snaps and has the ability to beat the Ravens secondary deep for a big one to make his day.
Mark Andrews (TE – BAL): $6,600
Andrews was fairly quiet last weekend with six targets for just four catches and 41 yards without a score, while Marquise Brown gobbled up the targets and yardage. The roles should be reversed this week as Brown will have to deal with the Bills’ top corner, Tre’Davious White. Meanwhile, Andrews may roam free against the Bills defense that allowed 5.8 receptions (32nd) for 62 yards (31st) and 0.5 touchdowns (18th) per game to tight ends this season. Andrews could be a difference-maker in DFS lineups on Saturday if he doubles up the field at tight end.
Other Cash Options
- Josh Allen (QB – BUF): $8,800
- Cam Akers (RB – LAR): $7,000
- JK Dobbins (RB – BAL): $6,500
- Devin Singletary (RB – BUF): $5,700
- Davante Adams (WR – GB): $9,000
- Cooper Kupp (WR – LAR): $6,100
- John Brown (WR – BUF): $5,500
GPP Stacking Options
Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB): $8,400 / Davante Adams (WR – GB): $9,000 / Robert Tonyan (TE – GB): $6,200
While I am a little bit leery of using Adams in cash games since there is another uber stud in a better matchup, I still believe that Adams is more than capable of beating his matchup against Ramsey. After all, DK Metcalf put up five catches for 95 yards and two scores while primarily under Ramsey’s watch, and Metcalf isn’t near as good a route runner as Adams.
Meanwhile, Rodgers could be the forgotten quarterback on the slate of the big three since he is priced in between Jackson and Josh Allen and has the toughest matchup of the trio against the Rams. Rodgers, the likely MVP, has thrown for at least three touchdown passes in six of his last seven games, and touchdowns equal money on a small two-game slate. Tonyan is also a strong pivot off of Andrews at tight end as he has become a trusted red-zone target for Rodgers with 11 scores this season, including finding the end zone in six of the last seven games.
- Gus Edwards (RB – BAL): $5,300
- Malcolm Brown (RB – LAR): $5,000
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR – GB): $5,500
- Gabriel Davis (WR – BUF): $5,400
- Allen Lazard (WR – GB): $5,300
- Willie Snead (WR – BAL): $5,000
- Isaiah McKenzie (WR – BUF): $4,800
- Tyler Higbee (TE – LAR): $5,200
- Dawson Knox (TE – BUF): $5,000
Beyond our daily fantasy football content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Football Tools. From our Value Plays – which allows you to identify players who are projected to outperform their salaries – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.